Alverca vs Vitoria Guimaraes: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 28 September

Alverca

W L W L D

11th place in Portugal Primera Liga

2-0

28/09/2025 10:30

Vitoria Guimaraes

D W W L L

9th place in Portugal Primera Liga

Portugal Primera Liga

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Alverca vs Vitoria Guimaraes on 28 September 2025 (kick-off: 10:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Alverca vs Vitoria Guimaraes preview before placing your bet.

Alverca are currently 11th with 39 points after 34 matches.
Vitoria Guimaraes sit 9th with 42 points from 34 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Vitoria Guimaraes to win with probability 42%.
Head-to-head history favors Vitoria Guimaraes, who have won 1 of the last 2 meetings. Alverca have no wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

10:30

2025-09-28

Alverca vs Vitoria Guimaraes - Prediction & Odds

Alverca

Vitoria Guimaraes

2025-09-28 10:30

STANDINGS UP TO 28/09/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 FC Porto	88	34	28	4	2	66	18	48
02 Sporting CP	82	34	25	7	2	89	24	65
03 Benfica	80	34	23	11	0	74	25	49
04 Sporting Braga	59	34	16	11	7	64	36	28
05 FC Famalicao	56	34	15	11	8	42	29	13
06 Gil Vicente	50	34	13	11	10	47	38	9
07 Moreirense	43	34	12	7	15	37	49	-12
08 FC Arouca	42	34	12	6	16	47	64	-17
09 Vitoria Guimaraes	42	34	12	6	16	39	51	-12
10 Estoril	39	34	10	9	15	54	57	-3
11 Alverca	39	34	10	9	15	35	52	-17
12 Rio Ave	36	34	8	12	14	35	57	-22
13 Santa Clara	36	34	9	9	16	32	41	-9
14 Nacional da Madeira	34	34	9	7	18	37	45	-8
15 Estrela da Amadora	30	34	6	12	16	38	56	-18
16 Casa Pia AC	30	34	6	12	16	31	57	-26
17 CD Tondela	28	34	6	10	18	27	55	-28
18 AVS Futebol SAD	21	34	3	12	19	27	67	-40

Head To Head

02/04/2004 16:30

Alverca

0 - 1

Vitoria Guimaraes

POR D1

30/11/2003 11:59

Vitoria Guimaraes

2 - 2

Alverca

POR D1

Alverca

Draw

50%

Vitoria Guimaraes

50%

Alverca Last 6 matches

20/09/2025 10:30

Santa Clara 2 - 1 Alverca POR D1

12/09/2025 15:15

Alverca 1 - 0 CD Tondela POR D1

31/08/2025 13:00

Alverca 1 - 2 Benfica POR D1

25/08/2025 15:15

Estrela da Amadora 2 - 2 Alverca POR D1

17/08/2025 13:00

Alverca 0 - 3 Sporting Braga POR D1

10/08/2025 15:30

Moreirense 2 - 1 Alverca POR D1

Win

17%

Draw

17%

Lost

67%

Last 6 matches Vitoria Guimaraes

20/09/2025 15:30

Vitoria Guimaraes 1 - 1 Sporting Braga POR D1

14/09/2025 10:30

Estrela da Amadora 0 - 2 Vitoria Guimaraes POR D1

30/08/2025 13:00

Vitoria Guimaraes 1 - 1 FC Arouca POR D1

23/08/2025 11:00

Moreirense 2 - 0 Vitoria Guimaraes POR D1

16/08/2025 13:00

Vitoria Guimaraes 3 - 2 Estoril POR D1

11/08/2025 15:45

FC Porto 3 - 0 Vitoria Guimaraes POR D1

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Portugal Primera Liga

Played games

Goals

Scored

336

Avg. per game

1.54

Conceded

223

Avg. per game

1.02

Scored

431

Avg. per game

1.48

Conceded

328

Avg. per game

1.12

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 218 matches

YesNo

175 (80%)43 (20%)

In last 218 matches

NoYes

222 (76%)70 (24%)

Alverca

Recent matches

Vitoria Guimaraes

Under /Over

(69%)31 14(31%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

Under /Over

(27%)12 33(73%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(53%)24 21(47%)

/Yes

(51%)23 22(49%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Alverca

Vitoria Guimaraes

Shots

Alverca

Total shots

10.40 avg / game

Blocked

81 total

Avg. 2.45

Vitoria Guimaraes

Total shots

12.75 avg / game

Blocked

566 total

Avg. 3.25

Alverca Pass Vitoria Guimaraes

Total passes

12387

Avg. 364 / game

Accurate

80%

Ball possession

49%

Total passes

85402

Avg. 405 / game

Accurate

80%

Ball possession

51%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Alverca

218

Played games

Vitoria Guimaraes

292

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.34

Clean sheets

0.34

4.55

992

Corners

1467

5.02

3.11

677

Throw-ins

4179

14.31

0.51

112

Offsides

405

1.39

1.06

230

GK saves

648

2.22

Alverca

DISCIPLINARY

Vitoria Guimaraes

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.24

488

715

2.45

0.12

0.12

3.98

867

Fouls

3511

12.02

1.65

359

Tackles

3031

10.38

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Alverca vs Vitoria Guimaraes Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Alverca vs Vitoria Guimaraes on 28 September 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Portugal Primera Liga fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Alverca vs Vitoria Guimaraes Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Alverca's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Vitoria Guimaraes's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Portugal Primera Liga Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Portugal Primera Liga standings and the Portugal Primera Liga form table to understand exactly where Alverca and Vitoria Guimaraes sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Portugal Primera Liga predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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