Alverca vs Penafiel: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 12 October

Alverca
DWWWW
2nd place in Portugal Segunda Liga
1
2-2
FT
12/10/2024 09:00
Penafiel
LLLLD
11th place in Portugal Segunda Liga
Portugal Segunda Liga
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Alverca vs Penafiel on 12 October 2024 (kick-off: 09:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Alverca vs Penafiel preview before placing your bet.

  • Alverca will face Penafiel in Portugal Segunda Liga on October 12, 2024 at 09:00.
  • Alverca are currently 2nd with 63 points after 34 matches.
  • Penafiel sit 11th with 45 points from 34 matches.
  • Current model prediction leans yellow with a projected score of 1 - 1 and average coefficient 2.40.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
favorite match
09:00

2024-10-12

Alverca vs Penafiel - Prediction & Odds

Alverca
Alverca
Penafiel
Penafiel
2024-10-12 09:00
37
28
35
1
1 - 1
1 - 1
2.25
2.40
FT
2-2 1-1
-
weather
18℃～19℃
STANDINGS UP TO 12/10/2024
Overall Table PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 CD Tondela CD Tondela
64 34 17 13 4 58 35 23
02 Alverca Alverca
63 34 17 12 5 58 34 24
03 Vizela Vizela
62 34 17 11 6 50 30 20
04 SL Benfica B SL Benfica B
55 34 15 10 9 53 38 15
05 SCU Torreense SCU Torreense
54 34 15 9 10 49 42 7
06 Uniao Leiria Uniao Leiria
52 34 15 7 12 49 37 12
07 GD Chaves GD Chaves
51 34 14 9 11 40 34 6
08 Feirense Feirense
49 34 13 10 11 35 34 1
09 FC Felgueiras FC Felgueiras
46 34 11 13 10 43 38 5
10 Viseu Viseu
45 34 11 12 11 43 41 2
11 Penafiel Penafiel
45 34 12 9 13 45 47 -2
12 Maritimo Maritimo
43 34 10 13 11 42 48 -6
13 Leixoes Leixoes
41 34 10 11 13 37 42 -5
14 Porto B Porto B
35 34 8 11 15 36 47 -11
15 Portimonense Portimonense
34 34 9 7 18 38 54 -16
16 Pacos de Ferreira Pacos de Ferreira
33 34 9 6 19 34 50 -16
17 Oliveirense Oliveirense
29 34 7 8 19 30 64 -34
18 CD Mafra CD Mafra
27 34 6 9 19 29 54 -25
Alverca Alverca Last 6 matches
06/10/2024 10:30
CD Mafra 1 - 1 Alverca
POR D2
29/09/2024 09:00
Alverca 1 - 1 Leixoes
POR D2
22/09/2024 10:00
Coimbroes 2 - 3 Alverca
POR CN
15/09/2024 06:00
Maritimo 1 - 2 Alverca
POR D2
30/08/2024 13:00
Alverca 0 - 4 Viseu
POR D2
23/08/2024 13:00
Uniao Leiria 1 - 1 Alverca
POR D2
Win
33%
Draw
50%
Lost
17%
Last 6 matches Penafiel Penafiel
06/10/2024 09:00
Penafiel 1 - 0 Uniao Leiria
POR D2
28/09/2024 13:00
Portimonense 0 - 2 Penafiel
POR D2
21/09/2024 12:00
Tocha 1 - 4 Penafiel
POR CN
15/09/2024 07:45
Penafiel 1 - 1 Porto B
POR D2
01/09/2024 10:30
Pacos de Ferreira 1 - 3 Penafiel
POR D2
25/08/2024 09:00
Penafiel 2 - 2 CD Tondela
POR D2
Win
67%
Draw
33%
Lost
0%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues Portugal Segunda Liga
Played games
Alverca
Alverca
17
 Penafiel
Penafiel
17
Goals
Scored
33
Avg. per game
1.94
Conceded
16
Avg. per game
0.94
Scored
24
Avg. per game
1.41
Conceded
21
Avg. per game
1.24
Scored a goal
In last 6 home matches
YesNo
5 (83%)1 (17%)
In last 6 home matches
NoYes
3 (50%)3 (50%)
In last 17 home matches
YesNo
15 (88%)2 (12%)
In last 17 home matches
NoYes
13 (76%)4 (24%)
Alverca

Alverca

Recent matches

Penafiel

Penafiel

Under /Over

(82%)14 3(18%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(76%)13 4(24%)

Under /Over

(35%)6 11(65%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(53%)9 8(47%)

Under /Over

(47%)8 9(53%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(24%)4 13(76%)

/Yes

(53%)9 8(47%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(65%)11 6(35%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
Alverca Alverca
Penafiel Penafiel
Shots
Alverca
Alverca
Total shots
11.65 avg / game
Blocked
5 total
Avg. 2.50
Penafiel
Penafiel
Total shots
10.00 avg / game
Blocked
3 total
Avg. 3.00
Alverca Alverca Pass Penafiel Penafiel
Total passes
—
Avg. — / game
Accurate
—
Ball possession
50%
Total passes
—
Avg. — / game
Accurate
—
Ball possession
48%
TOTAL ATTACKS
Alverca
Alverca
1317
Avg. 77.47 / game
 Penafiel
Penafiel
1349
Avg. 79.35 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
Alverca
Alverca
894
Avg. 52.59 / game
 Penafiel
Penafiel
877
Avg. 51.59 / game
OTHERS
Alverca
Alverca
17
Played games
Penafiel
Penafiel
17
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.41
7
Clean sheets
3
0.18
5.24
89
Corners
83
4.88
0.00
0
Throw-ins
0
0.00
2.41
41
Offsides
25
1.47
4.18
71
GK saves
57
3.35
Alverca
Alverca
DISCIPLINARY
Penafiel
Penafiel
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
2.18
37
Yellow card
43
2.53
0.12
2
Red card
4
0.24
12.82
218
Fouls
274
16.12
0.00
0
Tackles
0
0.00
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How We Build the Alverca vs Penafiel Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Alverca vs Penafiel on 12 October 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Portugal Segunda Liga fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Alverca vs Penafiel Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Alverca's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Penafiel's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Portugal Segunda Liga Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Portugal Segunda Liga standings and the Portugal Segunda Liga form table to understand exactly where Alverca and Penafiel sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Portugal Segunda Liga predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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