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Alianza Petrolera vs Deportes Tolima Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – October 22

Betiball's prediction for Alianza Petrolera vs Deportes Tolima on October 22, 2023 (kick-off: 21:20) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Alianza Petrolera vs Deportes Tolima preview before placing for you.

Alianza Petrolera vs Deportes Tolima: Starting Lineups Time : 22/10/2023 21:20

Alianza Petrolera
0 - 1
Finished
Deportes Tolima
84' event Mayer Gil
79' event Pablo Sebastian Bueno / Andres Jair Renteria Morelo
79' event Wilmar Arango / Sebastian Acosta Pineda
78' event Andres Morales / Edwin Torres
72' event Mayer Gil / Jesus Munoz
68' event Jair Castillo
65' event Mateo Rodas / Freddy Florez
62' event Edwin Torres
20' event Leonardo Saldana
event 90+5' Carlos Andres Esparragoza Perez / Yeison Guzman
event 87' Brayan Gil Hurtado
event 80' Fabian Camilo Mosquera Mercado / Juan Pablo Nieto Salazar
event 66' Alvino Volpi Neto
event 60' Jeison Steven Lucumi Mina / Leider Riascos
event 46' Brayan Gil Hurtado / Diego Herazo
event 16' Yeison Guzman
84' event Mayer Gil
event 90+5' Carlos Andres Esparragoza Perez / Yeison Guzman
79' event Pablo Sebastian Bueno / Andres Jair Renteria Morelo
event 87' Brayan Gil Hurtado
79' event Wilmar Arango / Sebastian Acosta Pineda
event 80' Fabian Camilo Mosquera Mercado / Juan Pablo Nieto Salazar
78' event Andres Morales / Edwin Torres
event 66' Alvino Volpi Neto
72' event Mayer Gil / Jesus Munoz
event 60' Jeison Steven Lucumi Mina / Leider Riascos
68' event Jair Castillo
event 46' Brayan Gil Hurtado / Diego Herazo
65' event Mateo Rodas / Freddy Florez
event 16' Yeison Guzman
62' event Edwin Torres
20' event Leonardo Saldana
Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera
Substitutions
#21 Wilmar Arango
#27 Pablo Sebastian Bueno
#26 Mayer Gil
#28 Brayan Gomez
#30 Pier Graziani
#17 Andres Morales
#3 Mateo Rodas
Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima
24Shots8
8Shots on Goal4
9Fouls13
7Corner Kick2
13Free kick11
2Offside1
3Yellow card1
0Red card1
2Save9
4Interceptions7
16Shots off goal4
10Head Success16
5Blocked0
7Tackle15
6Dribbles8
462Passes291
127Attacks68
57Dangerous attacks30
4Corner Kicks(HT)1
Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima
Substitutions
#21 Juan Guillermo Arboleda
#16 Carlos Andres Esparragoza Perez
#30 Brayan Gil Hurtado
#33 Jeison Steven Lucumi Mina
#19 Fabian Camilo Mosquera Mercado
#17 Marlon Torres
#12 Cristian Vargas
Commentary
90+5' Deportes Tolima — substitution: Carlos Andres Esparragoza Perez / Yeison Guzman
87' Brayan Gil Hurtado - Deportes Tolima receive a red card
84' Mayer Gil - Alianza Petrolera receive a yellow card
80' Deportes Tolima — substitution: Fabian Camilo Mosquera Mercado / Juan Pablo Nieto Salazar
79' Alianza Petrolera — substitution: Pablo Sebastian Bueno / Andres Jair Renteria Morelo
79' Alianza Petrolera — substitution: Wilmar Arango / Sebastian Acosta Pineda
78' Alianza Petrolera — substitution: Andres Morales / Edwin Torres
72' Alianza Petrolera — substitution: Mayer Gil / Jesus Munoz
68' Jair Castillo - Alianza Petrolera receive a yellow card
66' Alvino Volpi Neto - Deportes Tolima receive a yellow card
65' Alianza Petrolera — substitution: Mateo Rodas / Freddy Florez
62' Penalty missed! Edwin Torres - Alianza Petrolera
60' Deportes Tolima — substitution: Jeison Steven Lucumi Mina / Leider Riascos
46' Deportes Tolima — substitution: Brayan Gil Hurtado / Diego Herazo
20' Leonardo Saldana - Alianza Petrolera receive a yellow card
16' Goal! Yeison Guzman - Deportes Tolima

How We Build the Alianza Petrolera vs Deportes Tolima Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Alianza Petrolera vs Deportes Tolima on 22 October 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Alianza Petrolera vs Deportes Tolima Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Alianza Petrolera's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Deportes Tolima's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live standings and the form table to understand exactly where Alianza Petrolera and Deportes Tolima sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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