Alianza Lima vs UTC Cajamarca: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 04 May

Alianza Lima

W D W W W

2nd place in Autumn

1-0

04/05/2024 01:30

UTC Cajamarca

W L L L D

15th place in Autumn

Peru Primera Division

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Alianza Lima vs UTC Cajamarca on 04 May 2024 (kick-off: 01:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Alianza Lima vs UTC Cajamarca preview before placing your bet.

Alianza Lima are currently 2nd with 36 points after 17 matches.
UTC Cajamarca sit 15th with 15 points from 17 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Alianza Lima to win with probability 72%.
Head-to-head history favors Alianza Lima, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. UTC Cajamarca have one win, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

01:30

2024-05-04

Alianza Lima vs UTC Cajamarca - Prediction & Odds

Alianza Lima

UTC Cajamarca

2024-05-04 01:30

STANDINGS UP TO 04/05/2024

Autumn	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Universitario De Deportes	37	17	11	4	2	31	10	21
02 Alianza Lima	36	17	11	3	3	25	11	14
03 Sporting Cristal	34	17	10	4	3	47	15	32
04 FBC Melgar	32	17	9	5	3	30	16	14
05 Atletico Grau	32	17	8	8	1	25	11	14
06 Cusco FC	31	17	9	4	4	28	23	5
07 Alianza Atletico Sullana	30	17	8	6	3	17	15	2
08 Cienciano	26	17	8	2	7	28	24	4
09 AD Tarma	23	17	6	5	6	18	16	2
10 Deportivo Garcilaso	23	17	7	2	8	17	17	0
11 Sport Huancayo	19	17	5	4	8	21	28	-7
12 Los Chankas	18	17	4	6	7	17	21	-4
13 Carlos Manucci	17	17	4	5	8	23	30	-7
14 Sport Boys	16	17	4	4	9	14	31	-17
15 UTC Cajamarca	15	17	3	6	8	14	24	-10
16 Comerciantes Unidos	13	17	3	4	10	14	29	-15
17 Univ.Cesar Vallejo	10	17	2	4	11	15	31	-16
18 Deportivo Union Comercio	8	17	2	2	13	13	45	-32

Apertura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Universitario De Deportes	40	17	12	4	1	32	7	25
02 Sporting Cristal	40	17	13	1	3	44	20	24
03 FBC Melgar	38	17	12	2	3	36	19	17
04 Alianza Lima	33	17	11	0	6	32	16	16
05 Cusco FC	29	17	9	2	6	22	21	1
06 AD Tarma	28	17	8	4	5	29	24	5
07 Cienciano	26	17	6	8	3	20	20	0
08 Comerciantes Unidos	22	17	6	4	7	22	31	-9
09 Los Chankas	21	17	6	3	8	25	26	-1
10 Univ.Cesar Vallejo	20	17	4	8	5	19	24	-5
11 Atletico Grau	19	17	4	7	6	19	17	2
12 Sport Boys	19	17	5	4	8	18	20	-2
13 Sport Huancayo	19	17	5	4	8	18	29	-11
14 UTC Cajamarca	16	17	4	4	9	21	29	-8
15 Deportivo Garcilaso	14	17	3	5	9	20	26	-6
16 Alianza Atletico Sullana	14	17	3	5	9	11	19	-8
17 Carlos Manucci	14	17	3	5	9	11	34	-23
18 Deportivo Union Comercio	9	17	1	6	10	17	34	-17

Head To Head

06/08/2023 01:00

Alianza Lima

1 - 0

UTC Cajamarca

PER D1

05/03/2023 20:30

UTC Cajamarca

0 - 1

Alianza Lima

PER D1

28/08/2022 20:30

UTC Cajamarca

1 - 1

Alianza Lima

PER D1

10/04/2022 18:15

Alianza Lima

1 - 0

UTC Cajamarca

PER D1

02/10/2021 20:30

Alianza Lima

2 - 0

UTC Cajamarca

PER D1

11/09/2020 20:30

Alianza Lima

0 - 2

UTC Cajamarca

PER D1

Alianza Lima

67%

Draw

17%

UTC Cajamarca

17%

Alianza Lima Last 6 matches

28/04/2024 22:30

FBC Melgar 1 - 0 Alianza Lima PER D1

24/04/2024 00:30

Colo Colo 0 - 0 Alianza Lima CON CLA

19/04/2024 01:00

Alianza Lima 3 - 0 Sport Boys PER D1

15/04/2024 00:30

Alianza Lima 2 - 0 Atletico Grau PER D1

10/04/2024 22:00

Cerro Porteno 1 - 0 Alianza Lima CON CLA

06/04/2024 22:30

Carlos Manucci 0 - 4 Alianza Lima PER D1

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches UTC Cajamarca

27/04/2024 20:00

UTC Cajamarca 3 - 2 Atletico Grau PER D1

20/04/2024 20:30

Carlos Manucci 2 - 0 UTC Cajamarca PER D1

15/04/2024 20:00

UTC Cajamarca 2 - 0 Los Chankas PER D1

07/04/2024 00:30

Cienciano 1 - 1 UTC Cajamarca PER D1

31/03/2024 20:30

UTC Cajamarca 1 - 2 Sporting Cristal PER D1

16/03/2024 20:00

AD Tarma 2 - 1 UTC Cajamarca PER D1

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Peru Primera Division

Played games

Goals

Scored

380

Avg. per game

1.43

Conceded

244

Avg. per game

0.92

Scored

247

Avg. per game

1.19

Conceded

299

Avg. per game

1.44

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 266 matches

YesNo

205 (77%)61 (23%)

In last 266 matches

NoYes

136 (65%)72 (35%)

Alianza Lima

Recent matches

UTC Cajamarca

Under /Over

(76%)34 11(24%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

/Yes

(60%)27 18(40%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(56%)25 20(44%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Alianza Lima

UTC Cajamarca

Shots

Alianza Lima

Total shots

11.85 avg / game

Blocked

361 total

Avg. 2.82

UTC Cajamarca

Total shots

11.66 avg / game

Blocked

318 total

Avg. 2.89

Alianza Lima Pass UTC Cajamarca

Total passes

73698

Avg. 351 / game

Accurate

80%

Ball possession

52%

Total passes

51441

Avg. 314 / game

Accurate

78%

Ball possession

47%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Alianza Lima

266

Played games

UTC Cajamarca

208

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.42

112

Clean sheets

0.23

4.85

1289

Corners

1031

4.96

5.00

1331

Throw-ins

1147

5.51

1.56

415

Offsides

303

1.46

2.18

579

GK saves

604

2.90

Alianza Lima

DISCIPLINARY

UTC Cajamarca

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.22

590

469

2.25

0.17

0.15

11.48

3053

Fouls

2549

12.25

10.03

2669

Tackles

1890

9.09

NEXT MATCHES

08/02

Alianza Lima

Alianza Atletico Sullana

NEXT MATCHES

Universitario De Deportes

PER

How We Build the Alianza Lima vs UTC Cajamarca Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Alianza Lima vs UTC Cajamarca on 04 May 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Peru Primera Division fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Alianza Lima vs UTC Cajamarca Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Alianza Lima's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against UTC Cajamarca's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Peru Primera Division Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Peru Primera Division standings and the Peru Primera Division form table to understand exactly where Alianza Lima and UTC Cajamarca sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Peru Primera Division predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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