Alianza Lima vs Gremio (RS): Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 16 July

Betiball's prediction for Alianza Lima vs Gremio (RS) on 16 July 2025 (kick-off: 20:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Alianza Lima vs Gremio (RS) preview before placing your bet.

Alianza Lima vs Gremio (RS): Starting Lineups Time : 16/07/2025 20:30

Alianza Lima
2 - 0
Finished
Gremio (RS)
76' event Hernan Barcos / Jose Paolo Guerrero Gonzales
62' event Erick Leonel Castillo Arroyo
61' event Erick Leonel Castillo Arroyo
59' event Gaspar Gentile
57' event Piero Cari / Fernando Vicente Gaibor
56' event Renzo Renato Garces Mori
56' event Gaspar Gentile / Kevin Quevedo
23' event Sergio Fernando Pena Flores / Alan Martin Cantero
event 78' Ronald Falkoski / Alysson
event 71' Cristian Pavon / Alexander Ernesto Aravena Guzman
event 71' Francis Amuzu / Andre Henrique
event 66' Alex Santana / Mathias Villasanti
event 66' Miguel Monsalve / Edenilson Andrade dos Santos
event 33' Edenilson Andrade dos Santos
event 5' Wagner Leonardo
76' event Hernan Barcos / Jose Paolo Guerrero Gonzales
event 78' Ronald Falkoski / Alysson
62' event Erick Leonel Castillo Arroyo
event 71' Cristian Pavon / Alexander Ernesto Aravena Guzman
61' event Erick Leonel Castillo Arroyo
event 71' Francis Amuzu / Andre Henrique
59' event Gaspar Gentile
event 66' Alex Santana / Mathias Villasanti
57' event Piero Cari / Fernando Vicente Gaibor
event 66' Miguel Monsalve / Edenilson Andrade dos Santos
56' event Renzo Renato Garces Mori
event 33' Edenilson Andrade dos Santos
56' event Gaspar Gentile / Kevin Quevedo
event 5' Wagner Leonardo
23' event Sergio Fernando Pena Flores / Alan Martin Cantero
Alianza Lima Alianza Lima
Substitutions
#17 Jean Pierre Archimbaud Arriaran
#9 Hernan Barcos
#28 Alessandro Burlamaqui
#1 Angelo Ademir Campos Turriarte
#51 Piero Cari
#15 Jesus Castillo
#3 Josue Estrada
#25 Gaspar Gentile
#14 Marco Huaman
#13 Ricardo Cesar Lagos Puyen
#18 Sergio Fernando Pena Flores
#16 Juan Matias Succar Canote
Alianza Lima Alianza Lima Gremio (RS) Gremio (RS)
23Shots8
8Shots on Goal3
13Fouls5
9Corner Kick4
5Free kick13
1Offside2
2Yellow card2
3Save6
8Successful Tackles15
11Interceptions7
30Long pass25
15Shots off goal5
8Tackle15
13Dribbles8
21Throw-in13
464Passes367
109Attacks100
67Dangerous attacks25
4Corner Kicks(HT)2
Gremio (RS) Gremio (RS)
Substitutions
#80 Alex Santana
#9 Francis Amuzu
#15 Camilo
#10 Franco Cristaldo
#12 Gabriel Chapeco
#53 Gustavo Martins
#21 Jemerson de Jesus Nascimento
#25 Lucas Esteves Souza
#11 Miguel Monsalve
#7 Cristian Pavon
#35 Ronald Falkoski
#44 Viery Fernandes Santos Lopes
Commentary
78' Gremio (RS) — substitution: Ronald Falkoski / Alysson
76' Alianza Lima — substitution: Hernan Barcos / Jose Paolo Guerrero Gonzales
71' Gremio (RS) — substitution: Cristian Pavon / Alexander Ernesto Aravena Guzman
71' Gremio (RS) — substitution: Francis Amuzu / Andre Henrique
66' Gremio (RS) — substitution: Alex Santana / Mathias Villasanti
66' Gremio (RS) — substitution: Miguel Monsalve / Edenilson Andrade dos Santos
62' Erick Leonel Castillo Arroyo - Alianza Lima receive a yellow card
61' Goal! Erick Leonel Castillo Arroyo - Alianza Lima
59' Goal! Gaspar Gentile - Alianza Lima
57' Alianza Lima — substitution: Piero Cari / Fernando Vicente Gaibor
56' Renzo Renato Garces Mori - Alianza Lima receive a yellow card
56' Alianza Lima — substitution: Gaspar Gentile / Kevin Quevedo
33' Edenilson Andrade dos Santos - Gremio (RS) receive a yellow card
23' Alianza Lima — substitution: Sergio Fernando Pena Flores / Alan Martin Cantero
5' Wagner Leonardo - Gremio (RS) receive a yellow card

How We Build the Alianza Lima vs Gremio (RS) Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Alianza Lima vs Gremio (RS) on 16 July 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Alianza Lima vs Gremio (RS) Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Alianza Lima's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Gremio (RS)'s away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live standings and the form table to understand exactly where Alianza Lima and Gremio (RS) sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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