Alianza Lima vs FBC Melgar: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 28 September

Alianza Lima

W W D W D

3rd place in Autumn

0 - 0

28/09/2023 21:30

FBC Melgar

W W W D W

2nd place in Autumn

Peru Primera Division

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Alianza Lima vs FBC Melgar on 28 September 2023 (kick-off: 21:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Alianza Lima vs FBC Melgar preview before placing your bet.

Alianza Lima will face FBC Melgar in Peru Primera Division on September 28, 2023 at 21:30.
Alianza Lima are currently 3rd with 37 points after 18 matches.
FBC Melgar sit 2nd with 38 points from 18 matches.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

STANDINGS UP TO 28/09/2023

Autumn	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Universitario De Deportes	39	18	11	6	1	28	8	20
02 FBC Melgar	38	18	11	5	2	31	13	18
03 Alianza Lima	37	18	10	7	1	18	6	12
04 Sporting Cristal	36	18	10	6	2	31	13	18
05 AD Tarma	34	18	9	7	2	21	13	8
06 Sport Huancayo	29	18	8	5	5	22	14	8
07 Univ.Cesar Vallejo	24	18	7	3	8	25	19	6
08 Deportivo Garcilaso	24	18	7	6	5	24	20	4
09 Cienciano	24	18	6	6	6	21	20	1
10 Sport Boys	23	18	6	5	7	15	23	-8
11 UTC Cajamarca	19	18	3	10	5	21	23	-2
12 Cusco FC	18	18	4	6	8	18	23	-5
13 Carlos Manucci	17	17	4	5	8	16	22	-6
14 EM Deportivo Binacional	17	18	5	2	11	25	34	-9
15 Deportivo Union Comercio	17	18	4	5	9	18	32	-14
16 Academia Deportiva Cantolao	17	18	5	2	11	12	26	-14
17 Alianza Atletico Sullana	16	18	4	4	10	14	25	-11
18 Atletico Grau	15	17	3	6	8	17	27	-10
19 Deportivo Municipal	12	16	4	0	12	17	33	-16

Apertura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Alianza Lima	42	18	14	0	4	37	16	21
02 Sporting Cristal	35	18	9	8	1	33	18	15
03 Universitario De Deportes	34	18	11	1	6	29	14	15
04 Cusco FC	32	18	10	2	6	24	22	2
05 Sport Huancayo	27	18	8	3	7	30	25	5
06 Univ.Cesar Vallejo	27	18	7	6	5	25	23	2
07 Carlos Manucci	27	18	8	3	7	17	18	-1
08 Deportivo Garcilaso	25	18	6	7	5	32	27	5
09 FBC Melgar	25	18	6	7	5	24	22	2
10 Deportivo Municipal	24	18	7	3	8	19	21	-2
11 Cienciano	24	18	7	3	8	23	28	-5
12 Atletico Grau	23	18	6	5	7	31	21	10
13 Alianza Atletico Sullana	23	18	6	5	7	32	33	-1
14 AD Tarma	21	18	5	6	7	23	23	0
15 UTC Cajamarca	21	18	5	6	7	16	22	-6
16 Deportivo Union Comercio	19	18	5	4	9	24	40	-16
17 EM Deportivo Binacional	18	18	5	3	10	28	34	-6
18 Sport Boys	18	18	5	3	10	13	26	-13
19 Academia Deportiva Cantolao	9	18	2	3	13	9	36	-27

Head To Head

19/05/2023 19:30

FBC Melgar

2 - 1

Alianza Lima

PER D1

12/11/2022 21:00

Alianza Lima

2 - 0

FBC Melgar

PER D1

09/11/2022 16:00

FBC Melgar

1 - 0

Alianza Lima

PER D1

21/09/2022 20:30

Alianza Lima

2 - 0

FBC Melgar

PER D1

12/03/2022 16:30

FBC Melgar

1 - 0

Alianza Lima

PER D1

22/09/2021 14:15

Alianza Lima

1 - 0

FBC Melgar

PER D1

FBC Melgar

100%

Draw

Alianza Lima

Alianza Lima Last 6 matches

24/09/2023 18:15

Carlos Manucci 1 - 2 Alianza Lima

PER D1

17/09/2023 19:30

Alianza Lima 3 - 1 Deportivo Union Comercio

PER D1

09/09/2023 16:00

Academia Deportiva Cantolao 0 - 2 Alianza Lima

PER D1

26/08/2023 21:30

Alianza Lima 1 - 0 Alianza Atletico Sullana

PER D1

20/08/2023 19:00

Cienciano 0 - 0 Alianza Lima

PER D1

16/08/2023 21:30

Alianza Lima 1 - 0 Sport Huancayo

PER D1

Win

83%

Draw

17%

Lost

Last 6 matches FBC Melgar

24/09/2023 16:15

FBC Melgar 3 - 1 Deportivo Union Comercio

PER D1

19/09/2023 16:20

Academia Deportiva Cantolao 0 - 1 FBC Melgar

PER D1

15/09/2023 16:20

FBC Melgar 4 - 0 Alianza Atletico Sullana

PER D1

09/09/2023 20:00

Cienciano 0 - 1 FBC Melgar

PER D1

27/08/2023 16:30

FBC Melgar 1 - 3 Sport Huancayo

PER D1

19/08/2023 16:30

Cusco FC 1 - 1 FBC Melgar

PER D1

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Peru Primera Division

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Alianza Lima

FBC Melgar

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.95

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.34

Scored

Avg. per game

0.72

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.67

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 38 matches

YesNo

26 (68%)12 (32%)

In last 38 matches

NoYes

22 (61%)14 (39%)

Alianza Lima

Recent matches

FBC Melgar

Under /Over

(66%)25 13(34%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(72%)26 10(28%)

Under /Over

(21%)8 30(79%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(33%)12 24(67%)

Under /Over

(39%)15 23(61%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(39%)14 22(61%)

/Yes

(39%)15 23(61%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(50%)18 18(50%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Alianza Lima

FBC Melgar

Shots

Alianza Lima

Total shots

10.57 avg / game

Blocked

49 total

Avg. 2.45

FBC Melgar

Total shots

12.03 avg / game

Blocked

41 total

Avg. 2.28

Alianza Lima Pass FBC Melgar

Total passes

11307

Avg. 333 / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

52%

Total passes

12140

Avg. 357 / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

57%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Alianza Lima

Played games

FBC Melgar

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.53

Clean sheets

0.36

4.79

182

Corners

147

4.08

6.39

243

Throw-ins

342

9.50

1.63

Offsides

1.81

2.47

GK saves

1.69

Alianza Lima

DISCIPLINARY

FBC Melgar

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.74

104

2.03

0.18

0.06

13.39

509

Fouls

370

10.28

13.79

524

Tackles

409

11.36

NEXT MATCHES

08/01

Alianza Lima

Alianza Atletico Sullana

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Alianza Lima vs FBC Melgar Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Alianza Lima vs FBC Melgar on 28 September 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Peru Primera Division fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Alianza Lima vs FBC Melgar Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Alianza Lima's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against FBC Melgar's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Peru Primera Division Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Peru Primera Division standings and the Peru Primera Division form table to understand exactly where Alianza Lima and FBC Melgar sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Peru Primera Division predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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