Alianza Lima vs Deportivo Union Comercio: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 30 July

Alianza Lima

W D W W W

2nd place in Autumn

1-0

30/07/2024 17:30

Deportivo Union Comercio

L L W L L

18th place in Autumn

Peru Primera Division

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Alianza Lima vs Deportivo Union Comercio on 30 July 2024 (kick-off: 17:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Alianza Lima vs Deportivo Union Comercio preview before placing your bet.

Alianza Lima are currently 2nd with 36 points after 17 matches.
Deportivo Union Comercio sit 18th with 8 points from 17 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Alianza Lima to win with probability 78%.
Head-to-head history favors Alianza Lima, who have won 5 of the last 6 meetings. Deportivo Union Comercio have no wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

17:30

2024-07-30

Alianza Lima vs Deportivo Union Comercio - Prediction & Odds

Alianza Lima

Deportivo Union Comercio

2024-07-30 17:30

STANDINGS UP TO 30/07/2024

Autumn	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Universitario De Deportes	37	17	11	4	2	31	10	21
02 Alianza Lima	36	17	11	3	3	25	11	14
03 Sporting Cristal	34	17	10	4	3	47	15	32
04 FBC Melgar	32	17	9	5	3	30	16	14
05 Atletico Grau	32	17	8	8	1	25	11	14
06 Cusco FC	31	17	9	4	4	28	23	5
07 Alianza Atletico Sullana	30	17	8	6	3	17	15	2
08 Cienciano	26	17	8	2	7	28	24	4
09 AD Tarma	23	17	6	5	6	18	16	2
10 Deportivo Garcilaso	23	17	7	2	8	17	17	0
11 Sport Huancayo	19	17	5	4	8	21	28	-7
12 Los Chankas	18	17	4	6	7	17	21	-4
13 Carlos Manucci	17	17	4	5	8	23	30	-7
14 Sport Boys	16	17	4	4	9	14	31	-17
15 UTC Cajamarca	15	17	3	6	8	14	24	-10
16 Comerciantes Unidos	13	17	3	4	10	14	29	-15
17 Univ.Cesar Vallejo	10	17	2	4	11	15	31	-16
18 Deportivo Union Comercio	8	17	2	2	13	13	45	-32

Apertura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Universitario De Deportes	40	17	12	4	1	32	7	25
02 Sporting Cristal	40	17	13	1	3	44	20	24
03 FBC Melgar	38	17	12	2	3	36	19	17
04 Alianza Lima	33	17	11	0	6	32	16	16
05 Cusco FC	29	17	9	2	6	22	21	1
06 AD Tarma	28	17	8	4	5	29	24	5
07 Cienciano	26	17	6	8	3	20	20	0
08 Comerciantes Unidos	22	17	6	4	7	22	31	-9
09 Los Chankas	21	17	6	3	8	25	26	-1
10 Univ.Cesar Vallejo	20	17	4	8	5	19	24	-5
11 Atletico Grau	19	17	4	7	6	19	17	2
12 Sport Boys	19	17	5	4	8	18	20	-2
13 Sport Huancayo	19	17	5	4	8	18	29	-11
14 UTC Cajamarca	16	17	4	4	9	21	29	-8
15 Deportivo Garcilaso	14	17	3	5	9	20	26	-6
16 Alianza Atletico Sullana	14	17	3	5	9	11	19	-8
17 Carlos Manucci	14	17	3	5	9	11	34	-23
18 Deportivo Union Comercio	9	17	1	6	10	17	34	-17

Head To Head

18/02/2024 12:00

Deportivo Union Comercio

1 - 3

Alianza Lima

PER D1

17/09/2023 16:30

Alianza Lima

3 - 1

Deportivo Union Comercio

PER D1

23/04/2023 11:00

Deportivo Union Comercio

1 - 3

Alianza Lima

PER D1

24/11/2019 13:00

Deportivo Union Comercio

2 - 3

Alianza Lima

PER D1

07/06/2019 11:15

Alianza Lima

1 - 1

Deportivo Union Comercio

PER D1

21/09/2018 13:30

Deportivo Union Comercio

1 - 3

Alianza Lima

PER D1

Alianza Lima

83%

Draw

17%

Deportivo Union Comercio

Alianza Lima Last 6 matches

26/07/2024 18:30

Universitario De Deportes 2 - 1 Alianza Lima PER D1

20/07/2024 17:00

Alianza Lima 2 - 0 Alianza Atletico Sullana PER D1

13/07/2024 13:30

Univ.Cesar Vallejo 2 - 3 Alianza Lima PER D1

06/07/2024 13:30

Alianza Lima 1 - 0 Sport Boys INT CF

30/06/2024 14:30

Alianza Lima 1 - 1 Sporting Cristal INT CF

26/06/2024 18:00

Alianza Lima 2 - 3 Bolivar INT CF

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Deportivo Union Comercio

21/07/2024 13:00

Carlos Manucci 0 - 0 Deportivo Union Comercio PER D1

12/07/2024 11:00

Deportivo Union Comercio 1 - 2 Los Chankas PER D1

27/05/2024 12:30

Deportivo Union Comercio 1 - 1 Cienciano PER D1

18/05/2024 13:00

Sporting Cristal 5 - 1 Deportivo Union Comercio PER D1

10/05/2024 12:30

Deportivo Union Comercio 2 - 2 AD Tarma PER D1

04/05/2024 13:30

Comerciantes Unidos 3 - 1 Deportivo Union Comercio PER D1

Win

Draw

50%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Peru Primera Division

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Alianza Lima

Deportivo Union Comercio

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.06

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.44

Scored

Avg. per game

0.50

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.29

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

1 (17%)5 (83%)

In last 34 matches

YesNo

24 (71%)10 (29%)

In last 34 matches

NoYes

14 (41%)20 (59%)

Alianza Lima

Recent matches

Deportivo Union Comercio

Under /Over

(71%)24 10(29%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(76%)26 8(24%)

Under /Over

(26%)9 25(74%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(41%)14 20(59%)

Under /Over

(50%)17 17(50%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(53%)18 16(47%)

/Yes

(38%)13 21(62%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(56%)19 15(44%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Alianza Lima

Deportivo Union Comercio

Shots

Alianza Lima

Total shots

13.85 avg / game

Blocked

35 total

Avg. 2.50

Deportivo Union Comercio

Total shots

9.88 avg / game

Blocked

52 total

Avg. 3.06

Alianza Lima Pass Deportivo Union Comercio

Total passes

11616

Avg. 352 / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

55%

Total passes

9367

Avg. 293 / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

44%

TOTAL ATTACKS

Alianza Lima

3064

Avg. 90.12 / game

Deportivo Union Comercio

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

Deportivo Union Comercio

1010

Avg. 29.71 / game

OTHERS

Alianza Lima

Played games

Deportivo Union Comercio

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.47

Clean sheets

0.09

5.65

192

Corners

122

3.59

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

1.21

Offsides

1.09

1.71

GK saves

115

3.38

Alianza Lima

DISCIPLINARY

Deportivo Union Comercio

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.71

2.06

0.21

0.15

10.35

352

Fouls

372

10.94

12.82

436

Tackles

403

11.85

NEXT MATCHES

08/01

Alianza Lima

Alianza Atletico Sullana

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Alianza Lima vs Deportivo Union Comercio Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Alianza Lima vs Deportivo Union Comercio on 30 July 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Peru Primera Division fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Alianza Lima vs Deportivo Union Comercio Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Alianza Lima's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Deportivo Union Comercio's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Peru Primera Division Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Peru Primera Division standings and the Peru Primera Division form table to understand exactly where Alianza Lima and Deportivo Union Comercio sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Peru Primera Division predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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