Alianza Lima vs Comerciantes Unidos: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 25 February

Alianza Lima

W D W W W

2nd place in Autumn

5-1

25/02/2024 17:00

Comerciantes Unidos

L L L D D

16th place in Autumn

Peru Primera Division

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Alianza Lima vs Comerciantes Unidos on 25 February 2024 (kick-off: 17:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Alianza Lima vs Comerciantes Unidos preview before placing your bet.

Alianza Lima are currently 2nd with 36 points after 17 matches.
Comerciantes Unidos sit 16th with 13 points from 17 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Alianza Lima to win with probability 70%.
Head-to-head history is evenly balanced: Alianza Lima and Comerciantes Unidos have each won 2 of the last 6 meetings, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

17:00

2024-02-25

Alianza Lima vs Comerciantes Unidos - Prediction & Odds

Alianza Lima

Comerciantes Unidos

2024-02-25 17:00

STANDINGS UP TO 25/02/2024

Autumn	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Universitario De Deportes	37	17	11	4	2	31	10	21
02 Alianza Lima	36	17	11	3	3	25	11	14
03 Sporting Cristal	34	17	10	4	3	47	15	32
04 FBC Melgar	32	17	9	5	3	30	16	14
05 Atletico Grau	32	17	8	8	1	25	11	14
06 Cusco FC	31	17	9	4	4	28	23	5
07 Alianza Atletico Sullana	30	17	8	6	3	17	15	2
08 Cienciano	26	17	8	2	7	28	24	4
09 AD Tarma	23	17	6	5	6	18	16	2
10 Deportivo Garcilaso	23	17	7	2	8	17	17	0
11 Sport Huancayo	19	17	5	4	8	21	28	-7
12 Los Chankas	18	17	4	6	7	17	21	-4
13 Carlos Manucci	17	17	4	5	8	23	30	-7
14 Sport Boys	16	17	4	4	9	14	31	-17
15 UTC Cajamarca	15	17	3	6	8	14	24	-10
16 Comerciantes Unidos	13	17	3	4	10	14	29	-15
17 Univ.Cesar Vallejo	10	17	2	4	11	15	31	-16
18 Deportivo Union Comercio	8	17	2	2	13	13	45	-32

Apertura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Universitario De Deportes	40	17	12	4	1	32	7	25
02 Sporting Cristal	40	17	13	1	3	44	20	24
03 FBC Melgar	38	17	12	2	3	36	19	17
04 Alianza Lima	33	17	11	0	6	32	16	16
05 Cusco FC	29	17	9	2	6	22	21	1
06 AD Tarma	28	17	8	4	5	29	24	5
07 Cienciano	26	17	6	8	3	20	20	0
08 Comerciantes Unidos	22	17	6	4	7	22	31	-9
09 Los Chankas	21	17	6	3	8	25	26	-1
10 Univ.Cesar Vallejo	20	17	4	8	5	19	24	-5
11 Atletico Grau	19	17	4	7	6	19	17	2
12 Sport Boys	19	17	5	4	8	18	20	-2
13 Sport Huancayo	19	17	5	4	8	18	29	-11
14 UTC Cajamarca	16	17	4	4	9	21	29	-8
15 Deportivo Garcilaso	14	17	3	5	9	20	26	-6
16 Alianza Atletico Sullana	14	17	3	5	9	11	19	-8
17 Carlos Manucci	14	17	3	5	9	11	34	-23
18 Deportivo Union Comercio	9	17	1	6	10	17	34	-17

Head To Head

04/10/2018 16:30

Comerciantes Unidos

1 - 0

Alianza Lima

PER D1

22/07/2018 17:00

Alianza Lima

5 - 1

Comerciantes Unidos

PER D1

13/03/2018 14:15

Comerciantes Unidos

3 - 0

Alianza Lima

PER D1

04/02/2018 17:00

Alianza Lima

1 - 1

Comerciantes Unidos

PER D1

03/12/2017 16:00

Alianza Lima

2 - 0

Comerciantes Unidos

PER D1

13/08/2017 16:30

Comerciantes Unidos

0 - 0

Alianza Lima

PER D1

Alianza Lima

33%

Draw

33%

Comerciantes Unidos

33%

Alianza Lima Last 6 matches

18/02/2024 15:00

Deportivo Union Comercio 1 - 3 Alianza Lima PER D1

10/02/2024 21:00

Alianza Lima 0 - 1 Universitario De Deportes PER D1

04/02/2024 15:20

Alianza Atletico Sullana 0 - 2 Alianza Lima PER D1

28/01/2024 21:00

Alianza Lima 2 - 1 Univ.Cesar Vallejo PER D1

21/01/2024 15:00

Alianza Lima 0 - 0 Univ Catolica INT CF

15/01/2024 22:30

Alianza Lima 2 - 0 Deportiva Once Caldas INT CF

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Comerciantes Unidos

19/02/2024 16:00

Comerciantes Unidos 2 - 2 Atletico Grau PER D1

10/02/2024 16:30

Carlos Manucci 1 - 3 Comerciantes Unidos PER D1

05/02/2024 16:00

Comerciantes Unidos 3 - 2 Los Chankas PER D1

27/01/2024 21:00

Cienciano 1 - 0 Comerciantes Unidos PER D1

26/09/2023 16:00

Comerciantes Unidos 1 - 0 Dep.San Martin PER D2

20/09/2023 16:15

Molinos El Pirata 1 - 4 Comerciantes Unidos PER D2

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Peru Primera Division

Played games

Goals

Scored

380

Avg. per game

1.43

Conceded

244

Avg. per game

0.92

Scored

224

Avg. per game

1.32

Conceded

247

Avg. per game

1.45

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 266 matches

YesNo

205 (77%)61 (23%)

In last 266 matches

NoYes

120 (71%)50 (29%)

Alianza Lima

Recent matches

Comerciantes Unidos

Under /Over

(76%)34 11(24%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(60%)27 18(40%)

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

/Yes

(60%)27 18(40%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Alianza Lima

Comerciantes Unidos

Shots

Alianza Lima

Total shots

11.85 avg / game

Blocked

361 total

Avg. 2.82

Comerciantes Unidos

Total shots

10.53 avg / game

Blocked

132 total

Avg. 2.20

Alianza Lima Pass Comerciantes Unidos

Total passes

73698

Avg. 351 / game

Accurate

80%

Ball possession

52%

Total passes

25651

Avg. 298 / game

Accurate

74%

Ball possession

48%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Alianza Lima

266

Played games

Comerciantes Unidos

170

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.42

112

Clean sheets

0.21

4.85

1289

Corners

564

3.32

5.00

1331

Throw-ins

677

3.98

1.56

415

Offsides

104

0.61

2.18

579

GK saves

315

1.85

Alianza Lima

DISCIPLINARY

Comerciantes Unidos

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.22

590

374

2.20

0.17

0.15

11.48

3053

Fouls

1075

6.32

10.03

2669

Tackles

873

5.14

NEXT MATCHES

08/01

Alianza Lima

Alianza Atletico Sullana

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Alianza Lima vs Comerciantes Unidos Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Alianza Lima vs Comerciantes Unidos on 25 February 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Peru Primera Division fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Alianza Lima vs Comerciantes Unidos Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Alianza Lima's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Comerciantes Unidos's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Peru Primera Division Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Peru Primera Division standings and the Peru Primera Division form table to understand exactly where Alianza Lima and Comerciantes Unidos sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Peru Primera Division predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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