Alfreton Town vs Merthyr Town: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 21 February

Alfreton Town

D W D D W

22nd place in England Conference North Division

3-2

21/02/2026 11:00

Merthyr Town

D L L W L

8th place in England Conference North Division

England Conference North Division

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Alfreton Town vs Merthyr Town on 21 February 2026 (kick-off: 11:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Alfreton Town vs Merthyr Town preview before placing your bet.

Alfreton Town will face Merthyr Town in England Conference North Division on February 21, 2026 at 11:00.
Alfreton Town are currently 22nd with 50 points after 46 matches.
Merthyr Town sit 8th with 70 points from 46 matches.
Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 2 - 1 and average coefficient 1.94.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

11:00

2026-02-21

Alfreton Town vs Merthyr Town - Prediction & Odds

Alfreton Town

Merthyr Town

2026-02-21 11:00

STANDINGS UP TO 21/02/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 AFC Fylde	100	46	32	4	10	112	51	61
02 South Shields	95	46	28	11	7	99	43	56
03 Kidderminster Harriers	87	46	25	12	9	74	51	23
04 Macclesfield Town	79	46	24	7	15	81	68	13
05 Buxton FC	73	46	22	7	17	83	61	22
06 Scarborough	73	46	19	16	11	61	52	9
07 Chester FC	73	46	20	13	13	66	64	2
08 Merthyr Town	70	46	22	4	20	95	86	9
09 Darlington	69	46	20	9	17	78	68	10
10 Spennymoor Town	68	46	19	11	16	62	69	-7
11 AFC Telford United	65	46	17	14	15	85	65	20
12 Marine	62	46	18	8	20	62	72	-10
13 Radcliffe Borough	60	46	18	6	22	76	83	-7
14 Southport FC	60	46	16	12	18	64	71	-7
15 Chorley FC	57	46	15	12	19	66	65	1
16 Worksop Town	57	46	16	9	21	66	74	-8
17 Oxford City	56	46	15	11	20	62	67	-5
18 Bedford Town	53	46	13	14	19	66	77	-11
19 Kings Lynn	52	46	12	16	18	56	64	-8
20 Hereford FC	52	46	14	10	22	64	79	-15
21 Curzon Ashton FC	52	46	13	13	20	67	88	-21
22 Alfreton Town	50	46	12	14	20	49	82	-33
23 Peterborough Sports	39	46	10	9	27	51	96	-45
24 Leamington	29	46	7	8	31	41	90	-49

Head To Head

22/11/2025 11:00

Merthyr Town

6 - 2

Alfreton Town

ENG NLN

Merthyr Town

100%

Draw

Alfreton Town

Alfreton Town Last 6 matches

10/02/2026 15:45

Chester FC 2 - 2 Alfreton Town

ENG NLN

31/01/2026 11:00

Kings Lynn 0 - 2 Alfreton Town

ENG NLN

24/01/2026 11:00

Alfreton Town 1 - 2 Bedford Town

ENG NLN

17/01/2026 11:00

Darlington 3 - 1 Alfreton Town

ENG NLN

30/12/2025 15:45

Alfreton Town 2 - 1 Leamington

ENG NLN

26/12/2025 11:00

Worksop Town 1 - 0 Alfreton Town

ENG NLN

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Merthyr Town

10/02/2026 15:45

Kidderminster Harriers 0 - 0 Merthyr Town

ENG NLN

07/02/2026 11:10

Merthyr Town 2 - 3 Chorley FC

ENG NLN

31/01/2026 11:00

Darlington 3 - 1 Merthyr Town

ENG NLN

27/01/2026 15:45

Merthyr Town 1 - 4 AFC Telford United

ENG NLN

24/01/2026 11:00

Southport FC 1 - 0 Merthyr Town

ENG NLN

17/01/2026 11:00

Merthyr Town 2 - 0 Peterborough Sports

ENG NLN

Win

17%

Draw

17%

Lost

67%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues England Conference Nor...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Alfreton Town

Merthyr Town

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.63

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.00

Scored

Avg. per game

1.04

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.24

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 46 matches

YesNo

22 (48%)24 (52%)

In last 46 matches

NoYes

28 (61%)18 (39%)

Alfreton Town

Recent matches

Merthyr Town

Under /Over

(84%)38 7(16%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(89%)40 5(11%)

Under /Over

(27%)12 33(73%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(67%)30 15(33%)

/Yes

(58%)26 19(42%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(71%)32 13(29%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Alfreton Town

Merthyr Town

Shots

Alfreton Town

Total shots

8.89 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Merthyr Town

Total shots

12.67 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Alfreton Town Pass Merthyr Town

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

46%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

51%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Alfreton Town

Played games

Merthyr Town

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.13

Clean sheets

0.17

4.24

195

Corners

226

4.91

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

Offsides

0.00

GK saves

0.00

Alfreton Town

DISCIPLINARY

Merthyr Town

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.98

1.52

0.07

0.04

0.00

Fouls

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Alfreton Town vs Merthyr Town Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Alfreton Town vs Merthyr Town on 21 February 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this England Conference North Division fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Alfreton Town vs Merthyr Town Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Alfreton Town's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Merthyr Town's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

England Conference North Division Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live England Conference North Division standings and the England Conference North Division form table to understand exactly where Alfreton Town and Merthyr Town sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our England Conference North Division predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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