Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Atletico Morelia: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 16 January

Alebrijes de Oaxaca

W D W D L

13th place in Apertura

0-3

16/01/2026 21:00

Atletico Morelia

L D W L W

7th place in Apertura

Mexico Primera Divison A

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Atletico Morelia on 16 January 2026 (kick-off: 21:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Atletico Morelia preview before placing your bet.

Alebrijes de Oaxaca are currently 13th with 13 points after 14 matches.
Atletico Morelia sit 7th with 19 points from 14 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Atletico Morelia to win with probability 45%.
Head-to-head history favors Atletico Morelia, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Alebrijes de Oaxaca have no wins, while 3 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

21:00

2026-01-16

Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Atletico Morelia - Prediction & Odds

Alebrijes de Oaxaca

Atletico Morelia

2026-01-16 21:00

STANDINGS UP TO 16/01/2026

Apertura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CF Atlante	30	14	9	3	2	35	10	25
02 Cancun	30	14	9	3	2	25	7	18
03 Tampico Madero	30	14	8	6	0	24	15	9
04 Irapuato	23	14	6	5	3	23	19	4
05 Mineros de Zacatecas	21	14	5	6	3	26	24	2
06 Leones Negros	21	14	6	3	5	19	17	2
07 Atletico Morelia	19	14	5	4	5	19	21	-2
08 Tepatitlan de Morelos	18	14	4	6	4	21	16	5
09 Venados FC	18	14	5	3	6	29	30	-1
10 Atletico La Paz	17	14	4	5	5	25	30	-5
11 Club Chivas Tapatio	15	14	4	3	7	20	18	2
12 Tlaxcala	14	14	3	5	6	14	27	-13
13 Alebrijes de Oaxaca	13	14	3	4	7	16	25	-9
14 Correcaminos UAT	10	14	2	4	8	16	35	-19
15 CSyD Dorados de Sinaloa	5	14	1	2	11	8	26	-18

Clausura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Tepatitlan de Morelos	26	14	7	5	2	21	10	11
02 Cancun	25	14	7	4	3	24	17	7
03 Atletico Morelia	23	14	7	2	5	18	12	6
04 Atletico La Paz	22	14	5	7	2	22	12	10
05 Tampico Madero	21	14	6	3	5	15	15	0
06 Mineros de Zacatecas	21	14	6	3	5	19	20	-1
07 Club Chivas Tapatio	20	14	6	2	6	28	24	4
08 CF Atlante	20	14	5	5	4	21	17	4
09 Irapuato	20	14	6	2	6	27	24	3
10 Tlaxcala	20	14	5	5	4	16	17	-1
11 Venados FC	16	14	4	4	6	25	25	0
12 Alebrijes de Oaxaca	16	14	4	4	6	20	29	-9
13 CSyD Dorados de Sinaloa	13	14	3	4	7	17	28	-11
14 Correcaminos UAT	12	14	3	3	8	14	27	-13
15 Leones Negros	11	14	2	5	7	15	25	-10

Head To Head

09/08/2025 18:00

Atletico Morelia

3 - 1

Alebrijes de Oaxaca

MEX Lig2

08/02/2025 21:00

Atletico Morelia

2 - 1

Alebrijes de Oaxaca

MEX Lig2

25/08/2024 18:00

Alebrijes de Oaxaca

1 - 1

Atletico Morelia

MEX Lig2

13/04/2024 19:05

Alebrijes de Oaxaca

3 - 3

Atletico Morelia

MEX Lig2

04/10/2023 23:05

Atletico Morelia

0 - 0

Alebrijes de Oaxaca

MEX Lig2

13/04/2023 21:05

Atletico Morelia

2 - 1

Alebrijes de Oaxaca

MEX Lig2

Alebrijes de Oaxaca

Draw

50%

Atletico Morelia

50%

Alebrijes de Oaxaca Last 6 matches

04/01/2026 21:00

Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 - 1 Chapulineros INT CF

07/11/2025 21:00

Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1 - 1 Correcaminos UAT MEX Lig2

01/11/2025 21:00

Tampico Madero 3 - 1 Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEX Lig2

24/10/2025 21:00

Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1 - 1 Tepatitlan de Morelos MEX Lig2

17/10/2025 22:00

Leones Negros 0 - 1 Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEX Lig2

10/10/2025 21:00

Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1 - 1 Atletico La Paz MEX Lig2

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Atletico Morelia

10/01/2026 21:00

Atletico Morelia 3 - 0 Correcaminos UAT MEX Lig2

22/11/2025 21:00

Irapuato 1 - 1 Atletico Morelia MEX Lig2

19/11/2025 22:00

Atletico Morelia 0 - 0 Irapuato MEX Lig2

16/11/2025 19:00

Cancun 1 - 1 Atletico Morelia MEX Lig2

13/11/2025 21:15

Atletico Morelia 3 - 1 Cancun MEX Lig2

08/11/2025 23:00

Atletico Morelia 0 - 0 Tampico Madero MEX Lig2

Win

33%

Draw

67%

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Mexico Primera Divison...

Played games

Goals

Scored

229

Avg. per game

1.19

Conceded

334

Avg. per game

1.73

Scored

303

Avg. per game

1.33

Conceded

270

Avg. per game

1.18

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 193 matches

YesNo

129 (67%)64 (33%)

In last 193 matches

NoYes

169 (74%)59 (26%)

Alebrijes de Oaxaca

Recent matches

Atletico Morelia

Under /Over

(82%)37 8(18%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(76%)34 11(24%)

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

/Yes

(56%)25 20(44%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Alebrijes de Oaxaca

Atletico Morelia

Shots

Alebrijes de Oaxaca

Total shots

7.97 avg / game

Blocked

7 total

Avg. 3.50

Atletico Morelia

Total shots

8.93 avg / game

Blocked

1 total

Avg. 1.00

Alebrijes de Oaxaca Pass Atletico Morelia

Total passes

1055

Avg. 528 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

49%

Total passes

548

Avg. 548 / game

Accurate

91%

Ball possession

50%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Alebrijes de Oaxaca

193

Played games

Atletico Morelia

228

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.21

Clean sheets

0.32

3.97

767

Corners

979

4.29

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

0.02

Offsides

0.00

0.08

GK saves

0.03

Alebrijes de Oaxaca

DISCIPLINARY

Atletico Morelia

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.46

474

489

2.14

0.17

0.12

0.09

Fouls

0.05

0.21

Tackles

0.06

NEXT MATCHES

Tepatitlan de Morelos

NEXT MATCHES

CSyD Dorados de Sinaloa

Atletico Morelia

MEX

How We Build the Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Atletico Morelia Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Atletico Morelia on 16 January 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Mexico Primera Divison A fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Atletico Morelia Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Alebrijes de Oaxaca's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Atletico Morelia's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Mexico Primera Divison A Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Mexico Primera Divison A standings and the Mexico Primera Divison A form table to understand exactly where Alebrijes de Oaxaca and Atletico Morelia sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Mexico Primera Divison A predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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