Albirex Niigata vs Sagan Tosu: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 21 October

Albirex Niigata

W D W D D

10th place in J-League Division 1

1-1

21/10/2023 04:00

Sagan Tosu

W D D L D

14th place in J-League Division 1

J-League Division 1

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Albirex Niigata vs Sagan Tosu on 21 October 2023 (kick-off: 04:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Albirex Niigata vs Sagan Tosu preview before placing your bet.

Albirex Niigata are currently 10th with 45 points after 34 matches.
Sagan Tosu sit 14th with 38 points from 34 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Albirex Niigata to win with probability 46%.
Head-to-head history favors Sagan Tosu, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Albirex Niigata have 2 wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

04:00

2023-10-21

Albirex Niigata vs Sagan Tosu - Prediction & Odds

Albirex Niigata

Sagan Tosu

2023-10-21 04:00

STANDINGS UP TO 21/10/2023

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Vissel Kobe	71	34	21	8	5	60	29	31
02 Yokohama Marinos	64	34	19	7	8	63	40	23
03 Hiroshima Sanfrecce	58	34	17	7	10	42	28	14
04 Urawa Red Diamonds	57	34	15	12	7	42	27	15
05 Kashima Antlers	52	34	14	10	10	43	34	9
06 Nagoya Grampus	52	34	14	10	10	41	36	5
07 Avispa Fukuoka	51	34	15	6	13	37	43	-6
08 Kawasaki Frontale	50	34	14	8	12	51	45	6
09 Cerezo Osaka	49	34	15	4	15	39	34	5
10 Albirex Niigata	45	34	11	12	11	36	40	-4
11 FC Tokyo	43	34	12	7	15	42	46	-4
12 Consadole Sapporo	40	34	10	10	14	56	61	-5
13 Kyoto Sanga	40	34	12	4	18	40	45	-5
14 Sagan Tosu	38	34	9	11	14	43	47	-4
15 Shonan Bellmare	34	34	8	10	16	40	56	-16
16 Gamba Osaka	34	34	9	7	18	38	61	-23
17 Kashiwa Reysol	33	34	6	15	13	33	47	-14
18 Yokohama FC	29	34	7	8	19	31	58	-27

Head To Head

20/05/2023 08:00

Sagan Tosu

2 - 0

Albirex Niigata

JPN D1

29/10/2017 05:00

Albirex Niigata

1 - 0

Sagan Tosu

JPN D1

08/04/2017 06:00

Sagan Tosu

3 - 0

Albirex Niigata

JPN D1

15/03/2017 10:00

Sagan Tosu

2 - 2

Albirex Niigata

JPN LC

27/08/2016 10:00

Sagan Tosu

1 - 0

Albirex Niigata

JPN D1

25/06/2016 10:00

Albirex Niigata

1 - 0

Sagan Tosu

JPN D1

Albirex Niigata

33%

Draw

17%

Sagan Tosu

50%

Albirex Niigata Last 6 matches

29/09/2023 10:00

Kawasaki Frontale 2 - 3 Albirex Niigata JPN D1

23/09/2023 05:00

Albirex Niigata 3 - 1 Yokohama FC JPN D1

17/09/2023 10:00

Gamba Osaka 1 - 1 Albirex Niigata JPN D1

02/09/2023 09:00

Albirex Niigata 1 - 1 Urawa Red Diamonds JPN D1

30/08/2023 10:00

Albirex Niigata 1 - 1 Kawasaki Frontale JE Cup

26/08/2023 09:00

Kashima Antlers 2 - 0 Albirex Niigata JPN D1

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Sagan Tosu

30/09/2023 10:00

Sagan Tosu 3 - 2 Kyoto Sanga JPN D1

23/09/2023 06:00

FC Tokyo 3 - 2 Sagan Tosu JPN D1

15/09/2023 10:30

Yokohama Marinos 1 - 1 Sagan Tosu JPN D1

08/09/2023 11:00

Daegu FC 2 - 1 Sagan Tosu INT CF

02/09/2023 10:00

Sagan Tosu 0 - 2 Hiroshima Sanfrecce JPN D1

26/08/2023 10:00

Sagan Tosu 1 - 1 Gamba Osaka JPN D1

Win

17%

Draw

33%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues J-League Division 1

Played games

Albirex Niigata

Sagan Tosu

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.24

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.29

Scored

Avg. per game

1.06

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.53

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 17 home matches

YesNo

13 (76%)4 (24%)

In last 17 home matches

NoYes

13 (76%)4 (24%)

Albirex Niigata

Recent matches

Sagan Tosu

Under /Over

(71%)12 5(29%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(71%)12 5(29%)

Under /Over

(47%)8 9(53%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(35%)6 11(65%)

Under /Over

(41%)7 10(59%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(35%)6 11(65%)

/Yes

(59%)10 7(41%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(59%)10 7(41%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Albirex Niigata

Sagan Tosu

Shots

Albirex Niigata

Total shots

12.71 avg / game

Blocked

64 total

Avg. 4.27

Sagan Tosu

Total shots

9.00 avg / game

Blocked

42 total

Avg. 2.63

Albirex Niigata Pass Sagan Tosu

Total passes

10256

Avg. 603 / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

58%

Total passes

8256

Avg. 486 / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

55%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Albirex Niigata

Played games

Sagan Tosu

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.29

Clean sheets

0.18

5.35

Corners

5.06

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

1.24

Offsides

1.65

2.00

GK saves

4.18

Albirex Niigata

DISCIPLINARY

Sagan Tosu

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.88

1.12

0.06

0.00

8.53

145

Fouls

192

11.29

15.82

269

Tackles

203

11.94

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Albirex Niigata vs Sagan Tosu Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Albirex Niigata vs Sagan Tosu on 21 October 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this J-League Division 1 fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Albirex Niigata vs Sagan Tosu Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Albirex Niigata's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Sagan Tosu's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

J-League Division 1 Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live J-League Division 1 standings and the J-League Division 1 form table to understand exactly where Albirex Niigata and Sagan Tosu sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our J-League Division 1 predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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