Alaves vs Real Sociedad: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 04 February

Betiball's prediction for Alaves vs Real Sociedad on 04 February 2026 (kick-off: 16:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Alaves vs Real Sociedad preview before placing your bet.

Prediction Match Centre

Alaves vs Real Sociedad: Starting Lineups Time : 04/02/2026 16:00

Alaves
2 - 3
Finished
Real Sociedad
90+8' event Pablo Ibanez Lumbreras
90+1' event Jon Guridi / Ander Guevara Lajo
84' event Carles Alena Castillo / Denis Suarez Fernandez
84' event Angel Perez / Abde Rebbach
83' event Lucas Boye
75' event Ander Guevara Lajo
71' event Pablo Ibanez Lumbreras / Calebe Goncalves Ferreira da Silva
71' event Lucas Boye / Aitor Manas
67' event Antonio Martinez Lopez
65' event Antonio Martinez Lopez Penalty awarded
29' event Antonio Martinez Lopez
8' event Abde Rebbach
event 90+2' Igor Zubeldia / Goncalo Manuel Ganchinho Guedes
event 80' Orri Steinn Oskarsson
event 76' Goncalo Manuel Ganchinho Guedes
event 74' Orri Steinn Oskarsson / Brais Mendez
event 74' Dani Diaz / Aihen Munoz Capellan
event 66' Duje Caleta-Car
event 59' Luka Sucic / Carlos Soler Barragan
event 59' Alvaro Odriozola Arzallus / Jon Aramburu
event 45+1' Aihen Munoz Capellan
event 37' Goncalo Manuel Ganchinho Guedes
event 28' Benat Turrientes
event 15' Mikel Oyarzabal
90+8' event Pablo Ibanez Lumbreras
event 90+2' Igor Zubeldia / Goncalo Manuel Ganchinho Guedes
90+1' event Jon Guridi / Ander Guevara Lajo
event 80' Orri Steinn Oskarsson
84' event Carles Alena Castillo / Denis Suarez Fernandez
event 76' Goncalo Manuel Ganchinho Guedes
84' event Angel Perez / Abde Rebbach
event 74' Orri Steinn Oskarsson / Brais Mendez
83' event Lucas Boye
event 74' Dani Diaz / Aihen Munoz Capellan
75' event Ander Guevara Lajo
event 66' Duje Caleta-Car
71' event Pablo Ibanez Lumbreras / Calebe Goncalves Ferreira da Silva
event 59' Luka Sucic / Carlos Soler Barragan
71' event Lucas Boye / Aitor Manas
event 59' Alvaro Odriozola Arzallus / Jon Aramburu
67' event Antonio Martinez Lopez
event 45+1' Aihen Munoz Capellan
65' event Antonio Martinez Lopez Penalty awarded
event 37' Goncalo Manuel Ganchinho Guedes
29' event Antonio Martinez Lopez
event 28' Benat Turrientes
8' event Abde Rebbach
event 15' Mikel Oyarzabal
Alaves Alaves
Substitutions
#19 Pablo Ibanez Lumbreras
#15 Lucas Boye
#10 Carles Alena Castillo
#7 Angel Perez
#18 Jon Guridi
#1 Antonio Sivera Salva
#31 Gregoire Swiderski
#2 Facundo Garces
#8 Antonio Blanco
#3 Youssef Enriquez Lekhedim
Alaves Alaves Real Sociedad Real Sociedad
7Shots11
3Shots on Goal6
17Fouls18
3Corner Kick6
16Free kick17
1Offside3
3Yellow card4
3Save1
12Successful Tackles17
4Interceptions9
24Long pass11
1Assist3
1Successful center2
1Shots off goal3
0Hit The Post1
3Blocked2
11Tackle17
4Dribbles8
31Throw-in29
334Passes389
118Attacks76
38Dangerous attacks38
1Corner Kicks(HT)2
2BigChances3
1BigChancesMissed1
5ShotsInsideBox7
2ShotsOutsideBox4
60DuelsWon70
1.87ExpectedGoals1.48
0.29xGNonPenalty1.48
1.78xGOT1.32
23Touches In Opposition Box19
14AccurateCrosses13
41GroundDuelsWon47
19AerialDuelsWon23
25Clearances42
Real Sociedad Real Sociedad
Substitutions
#20 Alvaro Odriozola Arzallus
#24 Luka Sucic
#26 Dani Diaz
#9 Orri Steinn Oskarsson
#5 Igor Zubeldia
#32 Aitor Fraga
#6 Aritz Elustondo
#4 Jon Gorrotxategi
#12 Yangel Herrera
#15 Pablo Marin Tejada
#22 Wesley Gassova
Commentary
90+8' Pablo Ibanez Lumbreras - Alaves receive a yellow card
90+2' Real Sociedad — substitution: Igor Zubeldia / Goncalo Manuel Ganchinho Guedes
90+1' Alaves — substitution: Jon Guridi / Ander Guevara Lajo
84' Alaves — substitution: Carles Alena Castillo / Denis Suarez Fernandez
84' Alaves — substitution: Angel Perez / Abde Rebbach
83' Lucas Boye - Alaves receive a yellow card
80' Goal! Orri Steinn Oskarsson - Real Sociedad
76' Goal! Goncalo Manuel Ganchinho Guedes - Real Sociedad
75' Ander Guevara Lajo - Alaves receive a yellow card
74' Real Sociedad — substitution: Orri Steinn Oskarsson / Brais Mendez
74' Real Sociedad — substitution: Dani Diaz / Aihen Munoz Capellan
71' Alaves — substitution: Pablo Ibanez Lumbreras / Calebe Goncalves Ferreira da Silva
71' Alaves — substitution: Lucas Boye / Aitor Manas
67' Penalty missed! Antonio Martinez Lopez - Alaves
66' Duje Caleta-Car - Real Sociedad receive a yellow card
65' VAR review - Alaves
59' Real Sociedad — substitution: Luka Sucic / Carlos Soler Barragan
59' Real Sociedad — substitution: Alvaro Odriozola Arzallus / Jon Aramburu
45+1' Aihen Munoz Capellan - Real Sociedad receive a yellow card
37' Goncalo Manuel Ganchinho Guedes - Real Sociedad receive a yellow card
29' Penalty scored! Antonio Martinez Lopez - Alaves
28' Benat Turrientes - Real Sociedad receive a yellow card
15' Goal! Mikel Oyarzabal - Real Sociedad
8' Goal! Abde Rebbach - Alaves

How We Build the Alaves vs Real Sociedad Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Alaves vs Real Sociedad on 04 February 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Alaves vs Real Sociedad Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Alaves's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Real Sociedad's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live standings and the form table to understand exactly where Alaves and Real Sociedad sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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