Alaves vs Real Madrid: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 21 December

Betiball's prediction for Alaves vs Real Madrid on 21 December 2023 (kick-off: 16:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Alaves vs Real Madrid preview before placing your bet.

Alaves vs Real Madrid: Starting Lineups Time : 21/12/2023 16:30

Alaves
0 - 1
Finished
Real Madrid
90' event Nahuel Tenaglia
82' event Javier Lopez
78' event Enrique Garcia Martinez, Kike / Samu
78' event Nahuel Tenaglia / Gorosabel
72' event Alex Sola / Abde Rebbach
59' event Ianis Hagi / Jon Guridi
59' event Javier Lopez / Ruben Duarte Sanchez
45' event Ruben Duarte Sanchez
event 90+6' Daniel Ceballos Fernandez / Rodrygo Silva De Goes
event 90+2' Lucas Vazquez Iglesias
event 85' Jude Bellingham
event 76' Jose Luis Sanmartin Mato,Joselu / Brahim Diaz
event 55' Aurelien Tchouameni / Luka Modric
event 54' Jose Ignacio Fernandez Iglesias Nacho
event 54' Jose Ignacio Fernandez Iglesias Nacho Card changed
90' event Nahuel Tenaglia
event 90+6' Daniel Ceballos Fernandez / Rodrygo Silva De Goes
82' event Javier Lopez
event 90+2' Lucas Vazquez Iglesias
78' event Enrique Garcia Martinez, Kike / Samu
event 85' Jude Bellingham
78' event Nahuel Tenaglia / Gorosabel
event 76' Jose Luis Sanmartin Mato,Joselu / Brahim Diaz
72' event Alex Sola / Abde Rebbach
event 55' Aurelien Tchouameni / Luka Modric
59' event Ianis Hagi / Jon Guridi
event 54' Jose Ignacio Fernandez Iglesias Nacho
59' event Javier Lopez / Ruben Duarte Sanchez
event 54' Jose Ignacio Fernandez Iglesias Nacho Card changed
45' event Ruben Duarte Sanchez
Alaves Alaves
Substitutions
#14 Nahuel Tenaglia
#10 Ianis Hagi
#15 Enrique Garcia Martinez, Kike
#7 Alex Sola
#27 Javier Lopez
#31 Jesus Owono
#19 Nikola Maras
#17 Xeber Alkain
#30 Tomas Mendes
#9 Jon Karrikaburu
#23 Carlos Nahuel Benavidez Protesoni
#36 Egoitz Muñoz
Alaves Alaves Real Madrid Real Madrid
8Shots9
2Shots on Goal4
18Fouls13
3Corner Kick3
13Free kick18
1Offside0
3Yellow card1
0Red card1
18Aerial12
3Save2
12Successful Tackles9
7Interceptions3
5Substitution3
6Shots off goal5
10Head Success5
5Blocked2
19Tackle12
7Dribbles9
13Throw-in20
343Passes532
78Attacks104
43Dangerous attacks52
2Corner Kicks(HT)0
Real Madrid Real Madrid
Substitutions
#18 Aurelien Tchouameni
#19 Daniel Ceballos Fernandez
#14 Jose Luis Sanmartin Mato,Joselu
#36 Vinicius Tobias
#33 Gonzalo Garcia
#13 Andriy Lunin
#32 Nicolas Paz Martinez
#30 Francisco Gonzalez
Commentary
90+6' Real Madrid — substitution: Daniel Ceballos Fernandez / Rodrygo Silva De Goes
90+2' Goal! Lucas Vazquez Iglesias - Real Madrid
90' Nahuel Tenaglia - Alaves receive a yellow card
85' Jude Bellingham - Real Madrid receive a yellow card
82' Javier Lopez - Alaves receive a yellow card
78' Alaves — substitution: Enrique Garcia Martinez, Kike / Samu
78' Alaves — substitution: Nahuel Tenaglia / Gorosabel
76' Real Madrid — substitution: Jose Luis Sanmartin Mato,Joselu / Brahim Diaz
72' Alaves — substitution: Alex Sola / Abde Rebbach
59' Alaves — substitution: Ianis Hagi / Jon Guridi
59' Alaves — substitution: Javier Lopez / Ruben Duarte Sanchez
55' Real Madrid — substitution: Aurelien Tchouameni / Luka Modric
54' Jose Ignacio Fernandez Iglesias Nacho - Real Madrid receive a red card
54' VAR review - Real Madrid
45' Ruben Duarte Sanchez - Alaves receive a yellow card

How We Build the Alaves vs Real Madrid Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Alaves vs Real Madrid on 21 December 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Alaves vs Real Madrid Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Alaves's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Real Madrid's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live standings and the form table to understand exactly where Alaves and Real Madrid sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

Explore More Predictions

Find every upcoming fixtures and predictions for this matchday, or browse all football predictions for today across every major league on Betiball.com.

View More View Less