Alaves vs Real Madrid: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 14 December

Betiball's prediction for Alaves vs Real Madrid on 14 December 2025 (kick-off: 16:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Alaves vs Real Madrid preview before placing your bet.

Alaves vs Real Madrid: Starting Lineups Time : 14/12/2025 16:00

Alaves
1 - 2
Finished
Real Madrid
90+3' event Ander Guevara Lajo
89' event Youssef Enriquez Lekhedim / Victor Parada Gonzalez
83' event Ander Guevara Lajo / Denis Suarez Fernandez
70' event Carlos Vicente Goal awarded
68' event Carlos Vicente
67' event Carlos Vicente / Calebe Goncalves Ferreira da Silva
67' event Antonio Martinez Lopez / Pablo Ibanez Lumbreras
67' event Carles Alena Castillo / Abde Rebbach
6' event Victor Parada Gonzalez
event 89' Franco Mastantuono / Vinicius Jose Paixao de Oliveira Junior
event 83' Brahim Diaz / Rodrygo Silva De Goes
event 80' Vinicius Jose Paixao de Oliveira Junior
event 78' Gonzalo Garcia Torres / Arda Guler
event 78' Dean Huijsen / Victor Valdepenas
event 76' Rodrygo Silva De Goes
event 24' Kylian Mbappe Lottin
90+3' event Ander Guevara Lajo
event 89' Franco Mastantuono / Vinicius Jose Paixao de Oliveira Junior
89' event Youssef Enriquez Lekhedim / Victor Parada Gonzalez
event 83' Brahim Diaz / Rodrygo Silva De Goes
83' event Ander Guevara Lajo / Denis Suarez Fernandez
event 80' Vinicius Jose Paixao de Oliveira Junior
70' event Carlos Vicente Goal awarded
event 78' Gonzalo Garcia Torres / Arda Guler
68' event Carlos Vicente
event 78' Dean Huijsen / Victor Valdepenas
67' event Carlos Vicente / Calebe Goncalves Ferreira da Silva
event 76' Rodrygo Silva De Goes
67' event Antonio Martinez Lopez / Pablo Ibanez Lumbreras
event 24' Kylian Mbappe Lottin
67' event Carles Alena Castillo / Abde Rebbach
6' event Victor Parada Gonzalez
Alaves Alaves
Substitutions
#3 Youssef Enriquez Lekhedim
#7 Carlos Vicente
#6 Ander Guevara Lajo
#11 Antonio Martinez Lopez
#10 Carles Alena Castillo
#22 Moussa Diarra
#33 Rúben Montero
#9 Mariano Diaz Mejia
#18 Jon Guridi
#13 Raul Fernandez Mateos
#23 Carlos Nahuel Benavidez Protesoni
#34 Aitor Manas
Alaves Alaves Real Madrid Real Madrid
6Shots13
2Shots on Goal6
12Fouls13
5Corner Kick7
13Free kick12
2Offside0
2Yellow card1
17Aerial9
4Save1
12Successful Tackles16
14Interceptions6
28Long pass29
1Assist2
2Successful center2
5Substitution4
2Shots off goal5
6Head Success7
2Blocked2
12Tackle16
10Dribbles12
28Throw-in16
487Passes461
87Attacks95
56Dangerous attacks38
4Corner Kicks(HT)2
3BigChances2
2BigChancesMissed1
4ShotsInsideBox10
2ShotsOutsideBox3
49DuelsWon57
1.36ExpectedGoals1.86
0.8xGOpenPlay1.72
1.36xGNonPenalty1.86
1.5xGOT2.88
18Touches In Opposition Box31
19AccurateCrosses7
44GroundDuelsWon49
5AerialDuelsWon8
10Clearances20
Real Madrid Real Madrid
Substitutions
#30 Franco Mastantuono
#21 Brahim Diaz
#24 Dean Huijsen
#16 Gonzalo Garcia Torres
#19 Daniel Ceballos Fernandez
#36 Joan Martinez
#13 Andriy Lunin
#43 Sergio Mestre
#45 Thiago Pitarch Pinar
#28 Jorge Cestero Sancho
Commentary
90+3' Ander Guevara Lajo - Alaves receive a yellow card
89' Alaves — substitution: Youssef Enriquez Lekhedim / Victor Parada Gonzalez
89' Real Madrid — substitution: Franco Mastantuono / Vinicius Jose Paixao de Oliveira Junior
83' Alaves — substitution: Ander Guevara Lajo / Denis Suarez Fernandez
83' Real Madrid — substitution: Brahim Diaz / Rodrygo Silva De Goes
80' Vinicius Jose Paixao de Oliveira Junior - Real Madrid receive a yellow card
78' Real Madrid — substitution: Gonzalo Garcia Torres / Arda Guler
78' Real Madrid — substitution: Dean Huijsen / Victor Valdepenas
76' Goal! Rodrygo Silva De Goes - Real Madrid
70' VAR review - Alaves
68' Goal! Carlos Vicente - Alaves
67' Alaves — substitution: Carlos Vicente / Calebe Goncalves Ferreira da Silva
67' Alaves — substitution: Antonio Martinez Lopez / Pablo Ibanez Lumbreras
67' Alaves — substitution: Carles Alena Castillo / Abde Rebbach
24' Goal! Kylian Mbappe Lottin - Real Madrid
6' Victor Parada Gonzalez - Alaves receive a yellow card

How We Build the Alaves vs Real Madrid Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Alaves vs Real Madrid on 14 December 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Alaves vs Real Madrid Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Alaves's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Real Madrid's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live standings and the form table to understand exactly where Alaves and Real Madrid sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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