Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 23 May

Betiball's prediction for Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano on 23 May 2026 (kick-off: 15:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano preview before placing your bet.

Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano: Starting Lineups Time : 23/05/2026 15:00

Alaves
1 - 2
Finished
Rayo Vallecano
87' event Nahuel Tenaglia
84' event Ibrahim Diabate / Lucas Boye
84' event Ander Guevara Lajo / Jon Guridi
79' event Abde Rebbach
74' event Denis Suarez Fernandez / Pablo Ibanez Lumbreras
69' event Angel Perez
33' event Carlos Nahuel Benavidez Protesoni / Victor Parada Gonzalez
13' event Antonio Martinez Lopez
event 90+3' Alfonso Espino
event 90' Randy Nteka
event 88' Andrei Ratiu / Ivan Balliu Campeny
event 73' Sergio Camello
event 64' Pathe Ciss
event 61' Alexandre Zurawski / Oscar Valentín
event 61' Pathe Ciss / Abdul Mumin
event 54' Sergio Camello
event 46' Jorge de Frutos Sebastian / Alvaro Garcia
event 38' Sergio Camello / Carlos Martin
87' event Nahuel Tenaglia
event 90+3' Alfonso Espino
84' event Ibrahim Diabate / Lucas Boye
event 90' Randy Nteka
84' event Ander Guevara Lajo / Jon Guridi
event 88' Andrei Ratiu / Ivan Balliu Campeny
79' event Abde Rebbach
event 73' Sergio Camello
74' event Denis Suarez Fernandez / Pablo Ibanez Lumbreras
event 64' Pathe Ciss
69' event Angel Perez
event 61' Alexandre Zurawski / Oscar Valentín
33' event Carlos Nahuel Benavidez Protesoni / Victor Parada Gonzalez
event 61' Pathe Ciss / Abdul Mumin
13' event Antonio Martinez Lopez
event 54' Sergio Camello
event 46' Jorge de Frutos Sebastian / Alvaro Garcia
event 38' Sergio Camello / Carlos Martin
Alaves Alaves
Substitutions
#6 Ander Guevara Lajo
#4 Denis Suarez Fernandez
#23 Carlos Nahuel Benavidez Protesoni
#22 Ibrahim Diabate
#20 Calebe Goncalves Ferreira da Silva
#31 Gregoire Swiderski
#3 Youssef Enriquez Lekhedim
#9 Mariano Diaz Mejia
#13 Raul Fernandez Mateos
#17 Jonathan Castro Otto, Jonny
#10 Carles Alena Castillo
#34 Aitor Manas
Alaves Alaves Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano
19Shots15
11Shots on Goal7
13Fouls14
10Corner Kick5
14Free kick13
3Offside3
3Yellow card3
23Aerial19
5Save10
11Successful Tackles14
3Interceptions8
33Long pass26
0Assist2
5Successful center2
4Substitution5
0Shots off goal6
1Hit The Post0
9Head Success12
8Blocked2
11Tackle14
6Dribbles5
23Throw-in15
347Passes378
97Attacks84
49Dangerous attacks23
4Corner Kicks(HT)2
1BigChances4
0BigChancesMissed2
11ShotsInsideBox8
8ShotsOutsideBox7
42DuelsWon49
1.73ExpectedGoals1.39
1.08xGOpenPlay1.28
1.73xGNonPenalty1.39
2.72xGOT1.95
26Touches In Opposition Box12
21AccurateCrosses12
33GroundDuelsWon37
9AerialDuelsWon12
12Clearances22
Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano
Substitutions
#9 Alexandre Zurawski
#2 Andrei Ratiu
#6 Pathe Ciss
#10 Sergio Camello
#19 Jorge de Frutos Sebastian
#8 Oscar Guido Trejo
#13 Augusto Batalla
#24 Florian Lejeune
#33 Jozhua Vertrouwd
#21 Fran Perez
#3 Pep Chavarria
#30 Juanpe Gil
Commentary
90+3' Alfonso Espino - Rayo Vallecano receive a yellow card
90' Goal! Randy Nteka - Rayo Vallecano
88' Rayo Vallecano — substitution: Andrei Ratiu / Ivan Balliu Campeny
87' Nahuel Tenaglia - Alaves receive a yellow card
84' Alaves — substitution: Ibrahim Diabate / Lucas Boye
84' Alaves — substitution: Ander Guevara Lajo / Jon Guridi
79' Abde Rebbach - Alaves receive a yellow card
74' Alaves — substitution: Denis Suarez Fernandez / Pablo Ibanez Lumbreras
73' Goal! Sergio Camello - Rayo Vallecano
69' Angel Perez - Alaves receive a yellow card
64' Pathe Ciss - Rayo Vallecano receive a yellow card
61' Rayo Vallecano — substitution: Alexandre Zurawski / Oscar Valentín
61' Rayo Vallecano — substitution: Pathe Ciss / Abdul Mumin
54' Sergio Camello - Rayo Vallecano receive a yellow card
46' Rayo Vallecano — substitution: Jorge de Frutos Sebastian / Alvaro Garcia
38' Rayo Vallecano — substitution: Sergio Camello / Carlos Martin
33' Alaves — substitution: Carlos Nahuel Benavidez Protesoni / Victor Parada Gonzalez
13' Goal! Antonio Martinez Lopez - Alaves

How We Build the Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano on 23 May 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Alaves's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Rayo Vallecano's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live standings and the form table to understand exactly where Alaves and Rayo Vallecano sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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