Alaves vs CD Lugo: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 11 March

Alaves
WLDDW
4th place in Spanish Segunda Division
1
0-0
FT
11/03/2023 13:30
CD Lugo
LLDLL
22nd place in Spanish Segunda Division
Spanish Segunda Division
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Alaves vs CD Lugo on 11 March 2023 (kick-off: 13:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Alaves vs CD Lugo preview before placing your bet.

  • Alaves will face CD Lugo in Spanish Segunda Division on March 11, 2023 at 13:30.
  • Alaves are currently 4th with 71 points after 42 matches.
  • CD Lugo sit 22nd with 31 points from 42 matches.
  • Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 2 - 1 and average coefficient 1.37.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
favorite match
13:30

2023-03-11

Alaves vs CD Lugo - Prediction & Odds

Alaves
Alaves
CD Lugo
CD Lugo
2023-03-11 13:30
66
22
12
1
2 - 1
2 - 1
2.25
1.37
FT
0-0 0-0
-
weather
14℃～15℃
STANDINGS UP TO 11/03/2023
Overall Table PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Granada CF Granada CF
75 42 22 9 11 55 30 25
02 Las Palmas Las Palmas
72 42 18 18 6 49 29 20
03 Levante Levante
72 42 18 18 6 46 30 16
04 Alaves Alaves
71 42 19 14 9 47 33 14
05 Eibar Eibar
71 42 19 14 9 45 36 9
06 Albacete Albacete
67 42 17 16 9 58 47 11
07 Andorra CF Andorra CF
59 42 16 11 15 47 37 10
08 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo
59 42 16 11 15 34 35 -1
09 FC Cartagena FC Cartagena
58 42 16 10 16 47 49 -2
10 Tenerife Tenerife
57 42 14 15 13 42 37 5
11 Racing Santander Racing Santander
54 42 14 12 16 39 40 -1
12 Burgos CF Burgos CF
54 42 13 15 14 33 35 -2
13 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza
53 42 12 17 13 40 39 1
14 Leganes Leganes
53 42 14 11 17 37 42 -5
15 SD Huesca SD Huesca
52 42 11 19 12 36 36 0
16 Mirandes Mirandes
52 42 13 13 16 48 54 -6
17 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon
50 42 11 17 14 43 48 -5
18 Villarreal B Villarreal B
50 42 13 11 18 49 55 -6
19 Malaga Malaga
44 42 10 14 18 37 44 -7
20 Ponferradina Ponferradina
44 42 9 17 16 40 53 -13
21 Ibiza Eivissa Ibiza Eivissa
34 42 7 13 22 33 66 -33
22 CD Lugo CD Lugo
31 42 6 13 23 27 57 -30
Head To Head
10/09/2022 08:00
CD Lugo CD Lugo
1 - 2
Alaves Alaves
SPA D2
19/03/2016 13:00
Alaves Alaves
0 - 0
CD Lugo CD Lugo
SPA D2
18/10/2015 11:00
CD Lugo CD Lugo
1 - 0
Alaves Alaves
SPA D2
22/03/2015 11:00
CD Lugo CD Lugo
3 - 2
Alaves Alaves
SPA D2
18/10/2014 11:59
Alaves Alaves
1 - 0
CD Lugo CD Lugo
SPA D2
18/05/2014 12:15
CD Lugo CD Lugo
0 - 1
Alaves Alaves
SPA D2
CD Lugo
3
50%
Draw
1
17%
Alaves
2
33%
Alaves Alaves Last 6 matches
25/02/2023 11:15
Alaves 0 - 0 FC Cartagena
SPA D2
19/02/2023 11:15
Alaves 4 - 2 Ibiza Eivissa
SPA D2
11/02/2023 11:15
Real Zaragoza 1 - 4 Alaves
SPA D2
04/02/2023 16:00
Alaves 2 - 0 Eibar
SPA D2
29/01/2023 09:00
Mirandes 1 - 3 Alaves
SPA D2
21/01/2023 16:00
Alaves 3 - 0 Racing Santander
SPA D2
Win
83%
Draw
17%
Lost
0%
Last 6 matches CD Lugo CD Lugo
26/02/2023 11:15
Levante 3 - 1 CD Lugo
SPA D2
18/02/2023 11:15
CD Lugo 0 - 2 Eibar
SPA D2
11/02/2023 16:00
Las Palmas 3 - 0 CD Lugo
SPA D2
05/02/2023 16:00
CD Lugo 0 - 0 Ibiza Eivissa
SPA D2
29/01/2023 13:30
Albacete 2 - 0 CD Lugo
SPA D2
22/01/2023 16:00
CD Lugo 1 - 2 Villarreal B
SPA D2
Win
0%
Draw
17%
Lost
83%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues Spanish Segunda Divisi...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games
Alaves
Alaves
46
 CD Lugo
CD Lugo
42
Goals
Scored
31
Avg. per game
0.67
Conceded
16
Avg. per game
0.35
Scored
14
Avg. per game
0.33
Conceded
33
Avg. per game
0.79
Scored a goal
In last 6 matches
YesNo
2 (33%)4 (67%)
In last 6 matches
NoYes
3 (50%)3 (50%)
In last 46 matches
YesNo
24 (52%)22 (48%)
In last 46 matches
NoYes
12 (29%)30 (71%)
Alaves

Alaves

Recent matches

CD Lugo

CD Lugo

Under /Over

(56%)25 20(44%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(62%)26 16(38%)

Under /Over

(18%)8 37(82%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(26%)11 31(74%)

Under /Over

(27%)12 33(73%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(31%)13 29(69%)

/Yes

(40%)18 27(60%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(40%)17 25(60%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
Alaves Alaves
CD Lugo CD Lugo
Shots
Alaves
Alaves
Total shots
11.28 avg / game
Blocked
36 total
Avg. 2.57
CD Lugo
CD Lugo
Total shots
9.45 avg / game
Blocked
35 total
Avg. 2.06
Alaves Alaves Pass CD Lugo CD Lugo
Total passes
15865
Avg. 345 / game
Accurate
—
Ball possession
47%
Total passes
12945
Avg. 308 / game
Accurate
—
Ball possession
42%
TOTAL ATTACKS
Alaves
Alaves
4361
Avg. 94.80 / game
 CD Lugo
CD Lugo
3973
Avg. 94.60 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
Alaves
Alaves
2064
Avg. 44.87 / game
 CD Lugo
CD Lugo
1499
Avg. 35.69 / game
OTHERS
Alaves
Alaves
46
Played games
CD Lugo
CD Lugo
42
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.43
20
Clean sheets
12
0.29
5.50
253
Corners
162
3.86
17.28
795
Throw-ins
662
15.76
2.09
96
Offsides
70
1.67
2.00
92
GK saves
144
3.43
Alaves
Alaves
DISCIPLINARY
CD Lugo
CD Lugo
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
2.76
127
Yellow card
101
2.40
0.17
8
Red card
7
0.17
14.98
689
Fouls
562
13.38
10.26
472
Tackles
354
8.43
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How We Build the Alaves vs CD Lugo Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Alaves vs CD Lugo on 11 March 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Spanish Segunda Division fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Alaves vs CD Lugo Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Alaves's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against CD Lugo's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Spanish Segunda Division Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Spanish Segunda Division standings and the Spanish Segunda Division form table to understand exactly where Alaves and CD Lugo sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Spanish Segunda Division predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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