Alaves vs CD Lugo: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 11 March

Alaves

W L D D W

4th place in Spanish Segunda Division

0-0

11/03/2023 13:30

CD Lugo

L L D L L

22nd place in Spanish Segunda Division

Spanish Segunda Division

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Alaves vs CD Lugo on 11 March 2023 (kick-off: 13:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Alaves vs CD Lugo preview before placing your bet.

Alaves are currently 4th with 71 points after 42 matches.
CD Lugo sit 22nd with 31 points from 42 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Alaves to win with probability 66%.
Head-to-head history favors Alaves, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. CD Lugo have 2 wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

13:30

2023-03-11

Alaves vs CD Lugo - Prediction & Odds

Alaves

CD Lugo

2023-03-11 13:30

STANDINGS UP TO 11/03/2023

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Granada CF	75	42	22	9	11	55	30	25
02 Las Palmas	72	42	18	18	6	49	29	20
03 Levante	72	42	18	18	6	46	30	16
04 Alaves	71	42	19	14	9	47	33	14
05 Eibar	71	42	19	14	9	45	36	9
06 Albacete	67	42	17	16	9	58	47	11
07 Andorra CF	59	42	16	11	15	47	37	10
08 Real Oviedo	59	42	16	11	15	34	35	-1
09 FC Cartagena	58	42	16	10	16	47	49	-2
10 Tenerife	57	42	14	15	13	42	37	5
11 Racing Santander	54	42	14	12	16	39	40	-1
12 Burgos CF	54	42	13	15	14	33	35	-2
13 Real Zaragoza	53	42	12	17	13	40	39	1
14 Leganes	53	42	14	11	17	37	42	-5
15 SD Huesca	52	42	11	19	12	36	36	0
16 Mirandes	52	42	13	13	16	48	54	-6
17 Sporting Gijon	50	42	11	17	14	43	48	-5
18 Villarreal B	50	42	13	11	18	49	55	-6
19 Malaga	44	42	10	14	18	37	44	-7
20 Ponferradina	44	42	9	17	16	40	53	-13
21 Ibiza Eivissa	34	42	7	13	22	33	66	-33
22 CD Lugo	31	42	6	13	23	27	57	-30

Head To Head

10/09/2022 08:00

CD Lugo

1 - 2

Alaves

SPA D2

19/03/2016 13:00

Alaves

0 - 0

CD Lugo

SPA D2

18/10/2015 11:00

CD Lugo

1 - 0

Alaves

SPA D2

22/03/2015 11:00

CD Lugo

3 - 2

Alaves

SPA D2

18/10/2014 11:59

Alaves

1 - 0

CD Lugo

SPA D2

18/05/2014 12:15

CD Lugo

0 - 1

Alaves

SPA D2

Alaves

50%

Draw

17%

CD Lugo

33%

Alaves Last 6 matches

25/02/2023 11:15

Alaves 0 - 0 FC Cartagena SPA D2

19/02/2023 11:15

Alaves 4 - 2 Ibiza Eivissa SPA D2

11/02/2023 11:15

Real Zaragoza 1 - 4 Alaves SPA D2

04/02/2023 16:00

Alaves 2 - 0 Eibar SPA D2

29/01/2023 09:00

Mirandes 1 - 3 Alaves SPA D2

21/01/2023 16:00

Alaves 3 - 0 Racing Santander SPA D2

Win

83%

Draw

17%

Lost

Last 6 matches CD Lugo

26/02/2023 11:15

Levante 3 - 1 CD Lugo SPA D2

18/02/2023 11:15

CD Lugo 0 - 2 Eibar SPA D2

11/02/2023 16:00

Las Palmas 3 - 0 CD Lugo SPA D2

05/02/2023 16:00

CD Lugo 0 - 0 Ibiza Eivissa SPA D2

29/01/2023 13:30

Albacete 2 - 0 CD Lugo SPA D2

22/01/2023 16:00

CD Lugo 1 - 2 Villarreal B SPA D2

Win

Draw

17%

Lost

83%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Spanish Segunda Divisi...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

190

Avg. per game

0.65

Conceded

206

Avg. per game

0.70

Scored

150

Avg. per game

0.53

Conceded

188

Avg. per game

0.66

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 294 matches

YesNo

143 (49%)151 (51%)

In last 294 matches

NoYes

113 (40%)170 (60%)

Alaves

Recent matches

CD Lugo

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(62%)28 17(38%)

Under /Over

(27%)12 33(73%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(24%)11 34(76%)

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

/Yes

(56%)25 20(44%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(40%)18 27(60%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Alaves

CD Lugo

Shots

Alaves

Total shots

10.93 avg / game

Blocked

549 total

Avg. 2.76

CD Lugo

Total shots

8.99 avg / game

Blocked

135 total

Avg. 2.33

Alaves Pass CD Lugo

Total passes

84253

Avg. 350 / game

Accurate

74%

Ball possession

46%

Total passes

25336

Avg. 302 / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

46%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Alaves

294

Played games

CD Lugo

283

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.29

Clean sheets

0.32

4.57

1344

Corners

1144

4.04

16.51

4853

Throw-ins

662

2.34

1.69

498

Offsides

212

0.75

2.13

626

GK saves

374

1.32

Alaves

DISCIPLINARY

CD Lugo

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.22

653

701

2.48

0.11

0.14

12.38

3641

Fouls

1762

6.23

11.13

3273

Tackles

1021

3.61

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

Unionistas de Salamanca

How We Build the Alaves vs CD Lugo Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Alaves vs CD Lugo on 11 March 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Spanish Segunda Division fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Alaves vs CD Lugo Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Alaves's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against CD Lugo's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Spanish Segunda Division Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Spanish Segunda Division standings and the Spanish Segunda Division form table to understand exactly where Alaves and CD Lugo sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Spanish Segunda Division predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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