AFC Bournemouth vs Newcastle United: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 21 September

AFC Bournemouth

W D W W D

6th place in English Premier League

0-0

21/09/2025 06:00

Newcastle United

L L W D W

12th place in English Premier League

English Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for AFC Bournemouth vs Newcastle United on 21 September 2025 (kick-off: 06:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full AFC Bournemouth vs Newcastle United preview before placing your bet.

AFC Bournemouth are currently 6th with 57 points after 38 matches.
Newcastle United sit 12th with 49 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: AFC Bournemouth to win with probability 37%.
Head-to-head history favors AFC Bournemouth, who have won 2 of the last 6 meetings. Newcastle United have one win, while 3 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

06:00

2025-09-21

AFC Bournemouth vs Newcastle United - Prediction & Odds

AFC Bournemouth

Newcastle United

2025-09-21 06:00

STANDINGS UP TO 21/09/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Arsenal	85	38	26	7	5	71	27	44
02 Manchester City	78	38	23	9	6	77	35	42
03 Manchester United	71	38	20	11	7	69	50	19
04 Aston Villa	65	38	19	8	11	56	49	7
05 Liverpool	60	38	17	9	12	63	53	10
06 AFC Bournemouth	57	38	13	18	7	58	54	4
07 Sunderland A.F.C	54	38	14	12	12	42	48	-6
08 Brighton Hove Albion	53	38	14	11	13	52	46	6
09 Brentford	53	38	14	11	13	55	52	3
10 Chelsea	52	38	14	10	14	58	52	6
11 Fulham	52	38	15	7	16	47	51	-4
12 Newcastle United	49	38	14	7	17	53	55	-2
13 Everton	49	38	13	10	15	47	50	-3
14 Leeds United	47	38	11	14	13	49	56	-7
15 Crystal Palace	45	38	11	12	15	41	51	-10
16 Nottingham Forest	44	38	11	11	16	48	51	-3
17 Tottenham Hotspur	41	38	10	11	17	48	57	-9
18 West Ham United	39	38	10	9	19	46	65	-19
19 Burnley	22	38	4	10	24	38	75	-37
20 Wolves	20	38	3	11	24	27	68	-41

Head To Head

18/01/2025 05:30

Newcastle United

1 - 4

AFC Bournemouth

ENG PR

25/08/2024 06:00

AFC Bournemouth

1 - 1

Newcastle United

ENG PR

17/02/2024 08:00

Newcastle United

2 - 2

AFC Bournemouth

ENG PR

11/11/2023 10:30

AFC Bournemouth

2 - 0

Newcastle United

ENG PR

11/02/2023 10:30

AFC Bournemouth

1 - 1

Newcastle United

ENG PR

20/12/2022 12:45

Newcastle United

1 - 0

AFC Bournemouth

ENG LC

AFC Bournemouth

33%

Draw

50%

Newcastle United

17%

AFC Bournemouth Last 6 matches

13/09/2025 07:00

AFC Bournemouth 2 - 1 Brighton Hove Albion ENG PR

30/08/2025 07:00

Tottenham Hotspur 0 - 1 AFC Bournemouth ENG PR

26/08/2025 11:45

AFC Bournemouth 0 - 2 Brentford ENG LC

23/08/2025 07:00

AFC Bournemouth 1 - 0 Wolves ENG PR

15/08/2025 12:00

Liverpool 4 - 2 AFC Bournemouth ENG PR

09/08/2025 09:15

AFC Bournemouth 0 - 0 Real Sociedad INT CF

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Newcastle United

18/09/2025 12:00

Newcastle United 1 - 2 FC Barcelona UEFA CL

13/09/2025 07:00

Newcastle United 1 - 0 Wolves ENG PR

30/08/2025 09:30

Leeds United 0 - 0 Newcastle United ENG PR

25/08/2025 12:00

Newcastle United 2 - 3 Liverpool ENG PR

16/08/2025 04:30

Aston Villa 0 - 0 Newcastle United ENG PR

09/08/2025 08:00

Newcastle United 0 - 2 Atletico Madrid INT CF

Win

17%

Draw

33%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues English Premier League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

AFC Bournemouth

Newcastle United

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.68

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.61

Scored

Avg. per game

0.74

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.55

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 38 matches

YesNo

19 (50%)19 (50%)

In last 38 matches

NoYes

21 (55%)17 (45%)

AFC Bournemouth

Recent matches

Newcastle United

Under /Over

(76%)29 9(24%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(76%)29 9(24%)

Under /Over

(39%)15 23(61%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(34%)13 25(66%)

Under /Over

(47%)18 20(53%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(58%)22 16(42%)

/Yes

(66%)25 13(34%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(66%)25 13(34%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

AFC Bournemouth

Newcastle United

Shots

AFC Bournemouth

Total shots

13.87 avg / game

Blocked

148 total

Avg. 4.00

Newcastle United

Total shots

13.00 avg / game

Blocked

145 total

Avg. 3.82

AFC Bournemouth Pass Newcastle United

Total passes

15415

Avg. 406 / game

Accurate

79%

Ball possession

50%

Total passes

16767

Avg. 441 / game

Accurate

82%

Ball possession

52%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

AFC Bournemouth

Played games

Newcastle United

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.29

Clean sheets

0.21

5.58

212

Corners

231

6.08

18.84

716

Throw-ins

692

18.21

1.84

Offsides

1.29

2.87

109

GK saves

113

2.97

AFC Bournemouth

DISCIPLINARY

Newcastle United

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.26

1.76

0.05

0.08

12.05

458

Fouls

378

9.95

9.92

377

Tackles

349

9.18

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the AFC Bournemouth vs Newcastle United Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for AFC Bournemouth vs Newcastle United on 21 September 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this English Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

AFC Bournemouth vs Newcastle United Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess AFC Bournemouth's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Newcastle United's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

English Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live English Premier League standings and the English Premier League form table to understand exactly where AFC Bournemouth and Newcastle United sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our English Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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