AFC Bournemouth vs Brighton Hove Albion Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – April 28

AFC Bournemouth

L W W L L

12th place in English Premier League

3-0

28/04/2024 09:00

Brighton Hove Albion

L L W D L

11th place in English Premier League

English Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for AFC Bournemouth vs Brighton Hove Albion on April 28, 2024 (kick-off: 09:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full AFC Bournemouth vs Brighton Hove Albion preview before placing for you.

AFC Bournemouth are currently 12th with 48 points after 38 matches.
Brighton Hove Albion sit 11th with 48 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: AFC Bournemouth to win with probability 40%.
Head-to-head history favors Brighton Hove Albion, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. AFC Bournemouth have 2 wins, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

09:00

2024-04-28

AFC Bournemouth vs Brighton Hove Albion - Prediction & Odds

AFC Bournemouth

Brighton Hove Albion

2024-04-28 09:00

STANDINGS UP TO 28/04/2024

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Manchester City	91	38	28	7	3	96	34	62
02 Arsenal	89	38	28	5	5	91	29	62
03 Liverpool	82	38	24	10	4	86	41	45
04 Aston Villa	68	38	20	8	10	76	61	15
05 Tottenham Hotspur	66	38	20	6	12	74	61	13
06 Chelsea	63	38	18	9	11	77	63	14
07 Newcastle United	60	38	18	6	14	85	62	23
08 Manchester United	60	38	18	6	14	57	58	-1
09 West Ham United	52	38	14	10	14	60	74	-14
10 Crystal Palace	49	38	13	10	15	57	58	-1
11 Brighton Hove Albion	48	38	12	12	14	55	62	-7
12 AFC Bournemouth	48	38	13	9	16	54	67	-13
13 Fulham	47	38	13	8	17	55	61	-6
14 Wolves	46	38	13	7	18	50	65	-15
15 Everton	40	38	13	9	16	40	51	-11
16 Brentford	39	38	10	9	19	56	65	-9
17 Nottingham Forest	32	38	9	9	20	49	67	-18
18 Luton Town	26	38	6	8	24	52	85	-33
19 Burnley	24	38	5	9	24	41	78	-37
20 Sheffield United	16	38	3	7	28	35	104	-69

Head To Head

24/09/2023 09:00

Brighton Hove Albion

3 - 1

AFC Bournemouth

ENG PR

04/04/2023 14:45

AFC Bournemouth

0 - 2

Brighton Hove Albion

ENG PR

04/02/2023 11:00

Brighton Hove Albion

1 - 0

AFC Bournemouth

ENG PR

21/01/2020 15:30

AFC Bournemouth

3 - 1

Brighton Hove Albion

ENG PR

28/12/2019 08:30

Brighton Hove Albion

2 - 0

AFC Bournemouth

ENG PR

13/04/2019 10:00

Brighton Hove Albion

0 - 5

AFC Bournemouth

ENG PR

AFC Bournemouth

33%

Draw

Brighton Hove Albion

67%

AFC Bournemouth Last 6 matches

13/04/2024 12:30

AFC Bournemouth 2 - 2 Manchester United ENG PR

06/04/2024 10:00

Luton Town 2 - 1 AFC Bournemouth ENG PR

02/04/2024 14:45

AFC Bournemouth 1 - 0 Crystal Palace ENG PR

30/03/2024 11:00

AFC Bournemouth 2 - 1 Everton ENG PR

13/03/2024 15:30

AFC Bournemouth 4 - 3 Luton Town ENG PR

09/03/2024 11:00

AFC Bournemouth 2 - 2 Sheffield United ENG PR

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Brighton Hove Albion

13/04/2024 10:00

Burnley 1 - 1 Brighton Hove Albion ENG PR

06/04/2024 12:30

Brighton Hove Albion 0 - 3 Arsenal ENG PR

03/04/2024 14:30

Brentford 0 - 0 Brighton Hove Albion ENG PR

31/03/2024 09:00

Liverpool 2 - 1 Brighton Hove Albion ENG PR

14/03/2024 16:00

Brighton Hove Albion 1 - 0 AS Roma UEFA EL

10/03/2024 10:00

Brighton Hove Albion 1 - 0 Nottingham Forest ENG PR

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues English Premier League

Played games

AFC Bournemouth

Brighton Hove Albion

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.42

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.47

Scored

Avg. per game

1.58

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.42

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 19 home matches

YesNo

14 (74%)5 (26%)

In last 19 home matches

NoYes

15 (79%)4 (21%)

AFC Bournemouth

Recent matches

Brighton Hove Albion

Under /Over

(84%)16 3(16%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(84%)16 3(16%)

Under /Over

(32%)6 13(68%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(32%)6 13(68%)

Under /Over

(63%)12 7(37%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(53%)10 9(47%)

/Yes

(53%)10 9(47%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(68%)13 6(32%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

AFC Bournemouth

Brighton Hove Albion

Shots

AFC Bournemouth

Total shots

14.47 avg / game

Blocked

83 total

Avg. 4.61

Brighton Hove Albion

Total shots

16.00 avg / game

Blocked

96 total

Avg. 5.05

AFC Bournemouth Pass Brighton Hove Albion

Total passes

7192

Avg. 379 / game

Accurate

77%

Ball possession

45%

Total passes

11492

Avg. 605 / game

Accurate

89%

Ball possession

60%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

AFC Bournemouth

Played games

Brighton Hove Albion

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.26

Clean sheets

0.16

7.05

134

Corners

134

7.05

21.58

410

Throw-ins

270

14.21

1.32

Offsides

1.95

3.16

GK saves

2.42

AFC Bournemouth

DISCIPLINARY

Brighton Hove Albion

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.84

1.89

0.11

0.11

13.32

253

Fouls

218

11.47

18.21

346

Tackles

306

16.11

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the AFC Bournemouth vs Brighton Hove Albion Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for AFC Bournemouth vs Brighton Hove Albion on 28 April 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this English Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

AFC Bournemouth vs Brighton Hove Albion Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess AFC Bournemouth's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Brighton Hove Albion's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

English Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live English Premier League standings and the English Premier League form table to understand exactly where AFC Bournemouth and Brighton Hove Albion sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our English Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

Explore More English Premier League Predictions

Find every upcoming English Premier League fixtures and predictions for this matchday, or browse all football predictions for today across every major league on Betiball.com.

View More View Less