AFC Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 05 March

AFC Ajax

W L D W W

3rd place in Holland Eredivisie

1-0

05/03/2023 11:45

NEC Nijmegen

L W L L L

12th place in Holland Eredivisie

Holland Eredivisie

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for AFC Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen on 05 March 2023 (kick-off: 11:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full AFC Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen preview before placing your bet.

AFC Ajax are currently 3rd with 69 points after 34 matches.
NEC Nijmegen sit 12th with 39 points from 34 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: AFC Ajax to win with probability 77%.
Head-to-head history favors AFC Ajax, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. NEC Nijmegen have no wins, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

11:45

2023-03-05

AFC Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen - Prediction & Odds

AFC Ajax

NEC Nijmegen

2023-03-05 11:45

STANDINGS UP TO 05/03/2023

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Feyenoord	82	34	25	7	2	81	30	51
02 PSV Eindhoven	75	34	23	6	5	89	40	49
03 AFC Ajax	69	34	20	9	5	86	38	48
04 AZ Alkmaar	67	34	20	7	7	68	35	33
05 FC Twente Enschede	64	34	18	10	6	66	27	39
06 Sparta Rotterdam	59	34	17	8	9	60	37	23
07 FC Utrecht	54	34	15	9	10	55	50	5
08 SC Heerenveen	46	34	12	10	12	44	50	-6
09 RKC Waalwijk	41	34	11	8	15	50	64	-14
10 Vitesse Arnhem	40	34	10	10	14	45	50	-5
11 Go Ahead Eagles	40	34	10	10	14	46	56	-10
12 NEC Nijmegen	39	34	8	15	11	42	45	-3
13 Fortuna Sittard	36	34	10	6	18	39	62	-23
14 Volendam	36	34	10	6	18	42	71	-29
15 Excelsior SBV	32	34	9	5	20	32	71	-39
16 Emmen	28	34	6	10	18	33	65	-32
17 SC Cambuur	19	34	5	4	25	26	69	-43
18 Groningen	18	34	4	6	24	31	75	-44

Head To Head

08/01/2023 09:30

NEC Nijmegen

1 - 1

AFC Ajax

HOL D1

23/04/2022 10:30

NEC Nijmegen

0 - 1

AFC Ajax

HOL D1

14/08/2021 15:00

AFC Ajax

5 - 0

NEC Nijmegen

HOL D1

08/04/2017 13:45

NEC Nijmegen

1 - 5

AFC Ajax

HOL D1

20/11/2016 09:30

AFC Ajax

5 - 0

NEC Nijmegen

HOL D1

13/03/2016 11:45

AFC Ajax

2 - 2

NEC Nijmegen

HOL D1

AFC Ajax

67%

Draw

33%

NEC Nijmegen

AFC Ajax Last 6 matches

26/02/2023 09:30

Vitesse Arnhem 1 - 2 AFC Ajax HOL D1

23/02/2023 16:00

Union Berlin 3 - 1 AFC Ajax UEFA EL

19/02/2023 11:45

AFC Ajax 4 - 0 Sparta Rotterdam HOL D1

16/02/2023 13:45

AFC Ajax 0 - 0 Union Berlin UEFA EL

12/02/2023 11:45

AFC Ajax 3 - 1 RKC Waalwijk HOL D1

09/02/2023 13:45

FC Twente Enschede 0 - 1 AFC Ajax HOLC

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches NEC Nijmegen

25/02/2023 16:00

NEC Nijmegen 3 - 0 Volendam HOL D1

19/02/2023 15:00

Excelsior SBV 0 - 3 NEC Nijmegen HOL D1

11/02/2023 13:45

NEC Nijmegen 0 - 0 SC Cambuur HOL D1

08/02/2023 16:00

Feyenoord 2 - 2 NEC Nijmegen HOLC

05/02/2023 09:30

Go Ahead Eagles 1 - 0 NEC Nijmegen HOL D1

28/01/2023 15:00

NEC Nijmegen 1 - 1 Sparta Rotterdam HOL D1

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Holland Eredivisie

Played games

Goals

Scored

651

Avg. per game

2.17

Conceded

377

Avg. per game

1.26

Scored

477

Avg. per game

1.76

Conceded

376

Avg. per game

1.39

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

259 (86%)41 (14%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

219 (81%)52 (19%)

AFC Ajax

Recent matches

NEC Nijmegen

Under /Over

(89%)40 5(11%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(93%)42 3(7%)

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(56%)25 20(44%)

Under /Over

(53%)24 21(47%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(62%)28 17(38%)

/Yes

(62%)28 17(38%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(82%)37 8(18%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

AFC Ajax

NEC Nijmegen

Shots

AFC Ajax

Total shots

15.01 avg / game

Blocked

916 total

Avg. 3.98

NEC Nijmegen

Total shots

13.55 avg / game

Blocked

612 total

Avg. 3.78

AFC Ajax Pass NEC Nijmegen

Total passes

146385

Avg. 567 / game

Accurate

86%

Ball possession

60%

Total passes

78808

Avg. 431 / game

Accurate

79%

Ball possession

51%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

AFC Ajax

300

Played games

NEC Nijmegen

271

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.34

102

Clean sheets

0.25

5.69

1708

Corners

1334

4.92

14.53

4360

Throw-ins

3716

13.71

1.65

496

Offsides

312

1.15

2.55

764

GK saves

807

2.98

AFC Ajax

DISCIPLINARY

NEC Nijmegen

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.47

441

352

1.30

0.08

0.07

9.80

2940

Fouls

2380

8.78

12.04

3611

Tackles

2797

10.32

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the AFC Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for AFC Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen on 05 March 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Holland Eredivisie fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

AFC Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess AFC Ajax's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against NEC Nijmegen's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Holland Eredivisie Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Holland Eredivisie standings and the Holland Eredivisie form table to understand exactly where AFC Ajax and NEC Nijmegen sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Holland Eredivisie predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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