AFC Ajax vs Marseille: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 21 September

AFC Ajax

L D L W D

3rd place in Group B

3-3

21/09/2023 15:00

Marseille

D D W D W

2nd place in Group B

UEFA Europa League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for AFC Ajax vs Marseille on 21 September 2023 (kick-off: 15:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full AFC Ajax vs Marseille preview before placing your bet.

AFC Ajax will face Marseille in UEFA Europa League on September 21, 2023 at 15:00.
AFC Ajax are currently 3rd with 5 points after 6 matches.
Marseille sit 2nd with 11 points from 6 matches.
Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 2 - 1 and average coefficient 2.13.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

15:00

2023-09-21

AFC Ajax vs Marseille - Prediction & Odds

AFC Ajax

Marseille

2023-09-21 15:00

STANDINGS UP TO 21/09/2023

Group B	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Brighton Hove Albion	13	6	4	1	1	10	5	5
02 Marseille	11	6	3	2	1	14	10	4
03 AFC Ajax	5	6	1	2	3	10	13	-3
04 AEK Athens	4	6	1	1	4	6	12	-6

Head To Head

20/07/2016 14:00

Marseille

2 - 2

AFC Ajax

INT CF

18/03/2009 15:45

AFC Ajax

2 - 1

Marseille

UEFA EL

12/03/2009 15:45

Marseille

2 - 1

AFC Ajax

UEFA EL

Marseille

67%

Draw

33%

AFC Ajax

AFC Ajax Last 6 matches

17/09/2023 08:30

FC Twente Enschede 3 - 1 AFC Ajax

HOL D1

03/09/2023 08:30

Fortuna Sittard 0 - 0 AFC Ajax

HOL D1

31/08/2023 14:00

AFC Ajax 0 - 1 Ludogorets Razgrad

UEFA EL

24/08/2023 14:00

Ludogorets Razgrad 1 - 4 AFC Ajax

UEFA EL

19/08/2023 10:30

Excelsior SBV 2 - 2 AFC Ajax

HOL D1

12/08/2023 14:00

AFC Ajax 4 - 1 Heracles Almelo

HOL D1

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Marseille

17/09/2023 11:05

Marseille 0 - 0 Toulouse

FRA D1

01/09/2023 15:00

Nantes 1 - 1 Marseille

FRA D1

26/08/2023 13:00

Marseille 2 - 0 Stade Brestois

FRA D1

18/08/2023 15:00

Metz 2 - 2 Marseille

FRA D1

15/08/2023 15:00

Marseille 2 - 1 Panathinaikos

UEFA CL

12/08/2023 11:00

Marseille 2 - 1 Reims

FRA D1

Win

50%

Draw

50%

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues UEFA Europa League

Played games

AFC Ajax

Marseille

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.98

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.83

Scored

Avg. per game

1.60

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.27

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 47 matches

YesNo

38 (81%)9 (19%)

In last 47 matches

NoYes

39 (75%)13 (25%)

AFC Ajax

Recent matches

Marseille

Under /Over

(93%)42 3(7%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(80%)36 9(20%)

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

Under /Over

(64%)29 16(36%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

/Yes

(71%)32 13(29%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(58%)26 19(42%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

AFC Ajax

Marseille

Shots

AFC Ajax

Total shots

13.19 avg / game

Blocked

159 total

Avg. 3.38

Marseille

Total shots

14.08 avg / game

Blocked

160 total

Avg. 3.33

AFC Ajax Pass Marseille

Total passes

25090

Avg. 558 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

58%

Total passes

23485

Avg. 470 / game

Accurate

83%

Ball possession

52%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

AFC Ajax

Played games

Marseille

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.13

Clean sheets

0.21

5.04

237

Corners

281

5.40

15.15

712

Throw-ins

908

17.46

1.60

Offsides

104

2.00

3.32

156

GK saves

144

2.77

AFC Ajax

DISCIPLINARY

Marseille

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.55

1.83

0.17

0.12

9.38

441

Fouls

586

11.27

14.83

697

Tackles

878

16.88

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the AFC Ajax vs Marseille Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for AFC Ajax vs Marseille on 21 September 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this UEFA Europa League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

AFC Ajax vs Marseille Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess AFC Ajax's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Marseille's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

UEFA Europa League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live UEFA Europa League standings and the UEFA Europa League form table to understand exactly where AFC Ajax and Marseille sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our UEFA Europa League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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