AFC Ajax vs Groningen: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 21 May

Betiball's prediction for AFC Ajax vs Groningen on 21 May 2026 (kick-off: 12:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full AFC Ajax vs Groningen preview before placing your bet.

AFC Ajax vs Groningen: Starting Lineups Time : 21/05/2026 12:45

AFC Ajax
2 - 0
Finished
Groningen
84' event Takehiro Tomiyasu / Davy Klaassen
71' event Maher Carrizo / Steven Berghuis
71' event Kasper Dolberg / Wout Weghorst
64' event Mika Godts
62' event Youri Regeer / Sean Steur
57' event Jorthy Mokio
24' event Davy Klaassen
event 90+2' Mats Seuntjens
event 90+1' Brynjolfur Darri Willumsson
event 77' Rui Jorge Monteiro Mendes / Tygo Land
event 68' Brynjolfur Darri Willumsson Goal Disallowed - offside
event 67' Mats Seuntjens / David van der Werff
event 67' Wouter Prins / Marvin Peersman
event 67' Ryan Metu / Travis Hernes
event 61' Dies Janse
event 40' Marvin Peersman
event 32' Brynjolfur Darri Willumsson / Thom van Bergen
84' event Takehiro Tomiyasu / Davy Klaassen
event 90+2' Mats Seuntjens
71' event Maher Carrizo / Steven Berghuis
event 90+1' Brynjolfur Darri Willumsson
71' event Kasper Dolberg / Wout Weghorst
event 77' Rui Jorge Monteiro Mendes / Tygo Land
64' event Mika Godts
event 68' Brynjolfur Darri Willumsson Goal Disallowed - offside
62' event Youri Regeer / Sean Steur
event 67' Mats Seuntjens / David van der Werff
57' event Jorthy Mokio
event 67' Wouter Prins / Marvin Peersman
24' event Davy Klaassen
event 67' Ryan Metu / Travis Hernes
event 61' Dies Janse
event 40' Marvin Peersman
event 32' Brynjolfur Darri Willumsson / Thom van Bergen
AFC Ajax AFC Ajax
Substitutions
#43 Rayane Bounida
#7 Maher Carrizo
#9 Kasper Dolberg
#10 Oscar Gloukh
#64 Kennynho Kasanwirjo
#19 Don-Angelo Konadu
#50 Marvin Muzungu
#6 Youri Regeer
#52 Paul Reverson
#32 Takehiro Tomiyasu
#45 Ryan van de Pavert
#58 Valentijn van der Velde
AFC Ajax AFC Ajax Groningen Groningen
12Shots5
5Shots on Goal1
13Fouls17
4Corner Kick0
17Free kick13
4Offside2
1Yellow card4
1Aerial1
1Save3
9Successful Tackles12
9Interceptions14
29Long pass16
3Successful center1
4Shots off goal2
3Blocked2
9Tackle12
10Dribbles5
19Throw-in14
546Passes345
86Attacks128
29Dangerous attacks33
1Corner Kicks(HT)0
4BigChances1
4BigChancesMissed0
8ShotsInsideBox2
4ShotsOutsideBox3
56DuelsWon50
1.83ExpectedGoals0.16
1.55xGOpenPlay0.16
1.83xGNonPenalty0.16
22Touches In Opposition Box12
11AccurateCrosses6
43GroundDuelsWon38
13AerialDuelsWon12
22Clearances14
Groningen Groningen
Substitutions
#22 Sven Bouland
#44 Jismerai Dillema
#21 Hidde Jurjus
#48 Robin Kelder
#27 Rui Jorge Monteiro Mendes
#16 Tyrique Mercera
#34 Ryan Metu
#2 Wouter Prins
#20 Mats Seuntjens
#13 Lovro Stubljar
#15 Elvis van der Laan
#9 Brynjolfur Darri Willumsson
Commentary
90+2' Mats Seuntjens - Groningen receive a yellow card
90+1' Brynjolfur Darri Willumsson - Groningen receive a yellow card
84' AFC Ajax — substitution: Takehiro Tomiyasu / Davy Klaassen
77' Groningen — substitution: Rui Jorge Monteiro Mendes / Tygo Land
71' AFC Ajax — substitution: Maher Carrizo / Steven Berghuis
71' AFC Ajax — substitution: Kasper Dolberg / Wout Weghorst
68' VAR review - Groningen
67' Groningen — substitution: Mats Seuntjens / David van der Werff
67' Groningen — substitution: Wouter Prins / Marvin Peersman
67' Groningen — substitution: Ryan Metu / Travis Hernes
64' Mika Godts - AFC Ajax receive a yellow card
62' AFC Ajax — substitution: Youri Regeer / Sean Steur
61' Dies Janse - Groningen receive a yellow card
57' Goal! Jorthy Mokio - AFC Ajax
40' Marvin Peersman - Groningen receive a yellow card
32' Groningen — substitution: Brynjolfur Darri Willumsson / Thom van Bergen
24' Goal! Davy Klaassen - AFC Ajax

How We Build the AFC Ajax vs Groningen Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for AFC Ajax vs Groningen on 21 May 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

AFC Ajax vs Groningen Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess AFC Ajax's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Groningen's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live standings and the form table to understand exactly where AFC Ajax and Groningen sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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