AFC Ajax vs Groningen: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 21 May

AFC Ajax

L W W D L

5th place in Holland Eredivisie

2-0

21/05/2026 12:45

Groningen

W D L L W

9th place in Holland Eredivisie

Holland Eredivisie

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for AFC Ajax vs Groningen on 21 May 2026 (kick-off: 12:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full AFC Ajax vs Groningen preview before placing your bet.

AFC Ajax are currently 5th with 56 points after 34 matches.
Groningen sit 9th with 48 points from 34 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: AFC Ajax to win with probability 49%.
Head-to-head history favors AFC Ajax, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Groningen have one win, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

12:45

2026-05-21

AFC Ajax vs Groningen - Prediction & Odds

AFC Ajax

Groningen

2026-05-21 12:45

STANDINGS UP TO 21/05/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 PSV Eindhoven	84	34	27	3	4	101	45	56
02 Feyenoord	65	34	19	8	7	70	44	26
03 NEC Nijmegen	59	34	16	11	7	77	53	24
04 FC Twente Enschede	58	34	15	13	6	59	40	19
05 AFC Ajax	56	34	14	14	6	62	41	21
06 FC Utrecht	53	34	15	8	11	55	42	13
07 AZ Alkmaar	52	34	14	10	10	58	51	7
08 SC Heerenveen	51	34	14	9	11	57	53	4
09 Groningen	48	34	14	6	14	49	45	4
10 Sparta Rotterdam	43	34	12	7	15	40	62	-22
11 Fortuna Sittard	39	34	11	6	17	49	63	-14
12 Go Ahead Eagles	38	34	8	14	12	54	53	1
13 Excelsior SBV	38	34	10	8	16	43	56	-13
14 SC Telstar	37	34	9	10	15	49	55	-6
15 PEC Zwolle	37	34	9	10	15	44	71	-27
16 Volendam	32	34	8	8	18	35	55	-20
17 NAC Breda	29	34	6	11	17	35	58	-23
18 Heracles Almelo	19	34	5	4	25	35	85	-50

Head To Head

07/03/2026 11:30

Groningen

3 - 1

AFC Ajax

HOL D1

02/12/2025 09:30

AFC Ajax

2 - 0

Groningen

HOL D1

14/05/2025 14:00

Groningen

2 - 2

AFC Ajax

HOL D1

06/10/2024 10:45

AFC Ajax

3 - 1

Groningen

HOL D1

16/05/2023 09:00

Groningen

2 - 3

AFC Ajax

HOL D1

14/08/2022 08:30

AFC Ajax

6 - 1

Groningen

HOL D1

AFC Ajax

67%

Draw

17%

Groningen

17%

AFC Ajax Last 6 matches

17/05/2026 08:30

SC Heerenveen 0 - 0 AFC Ajax HOL D1

10/05/2026 10:45

AFC Ajax 1 - 2 FC Utrecht HOL D1

02/05/2026 14:00

AFC Ajax 2 - 2 PSV Eindhoven HOL D1

25/04/2026 14:00

NAC Breda 0 - 2 AFC Ajax HOL D1

11/04/2026 15:00

Heracles Almelo 0 - 3 AFC Ajax HOL D1

04/04/2026 15:00

AFC Ajax 1 - 2 FC Twente Enschede HOL D1

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Groningen

17/05/2026 08:30

Heracles Almelo 1 - 2 Groningen HOL D1

10/05/2026 10:45

Groningen 2 - 1 NEC Nijmegen HOL D1

02/05/2026 12:45

Groningen 2 - 3 Excelsior SBV HOL D1

25/04/2026 10:30

Feyenoord 3 - 1 Groningen HOL D1

11/04/2026 14:10

Groningen 0 - 0 Go Ahead Eagles HOL D1

04/04/2026 12:45

SC Telstar 0 - 2 Groningen HOL D1

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Holland Eredivisie

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

335

Avg. per game

1.12

Conceded

225

Avg. per game

0.75

Scored

216

Avg. per game

0.79

Conceded

224

Avg. per game

0.82

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

199 (66%)101 (34%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

149 (54%)125 (46%)

AFC Ajax

Recent matches

Groningen

Under /Over

(89%)40 5(11%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(89%)40 5(11%)

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

Under /Over

(53%)24 21(47%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(60%)27 18(40%)

/Yes

(62%)28 17(38%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(58%)26 19(42%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

AFC Ajax

Groningen

Shots

AFC Ajax

Total shots

15.04 avg / game

Blocked

918 total

Avg. 3.99

Groningen

Total shots

12.06 avg / game

Blocked

642 total

Avg. 3.51

AFC Ajax Pass Groningen

Total passes

146232

Avg. 567 / game

Accurate

86%

Ball possession

60%

Total passes

86165

Avg. 416 / game

Accurate

77%

Ball possession

50%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

AFC Ajax

300

Played games

Groningen

274

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.34

101

Clean sheets

0.26

5.70

1710

Corners

1226

4.47

14.58

4373

Throw-ins

3400

12.41

1.65

496

Offsides

338

1.23

2.55

765

GK saves

639

2.33

AFC Ajax

DISCIPLINARY

Groningen

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.47

441

359

1.31

0.08

0.09

9.79

2938

Fouls

2258

8.24

12.01

3603

Tackles

3207

11.70

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the AFC Ajax vs Groningen Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for AFC Ajax vs Groningen on 21 May 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Holland Eredivisie fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

AFC Ajax vs Groningen Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess AFC Ajax's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Groningen's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Holland Eredivisie Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Holland Eredivisie standings and the Holland Eredivisie form table to understand exactly where AFC Ajax and Groningen sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Holland Eredivisie predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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