AFC Ajax vs Fortuna Sittard Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – February 14

AFC Ajax

L W W D L

5th place in Holland Eredivisie

4-1

14/02/2026 15:00

Fortuna Sittard

L D L L W

11th place in Holland Eredivisie

Holland Eredivisie

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for AFC Ajax vs Fortuna Sittard on February 14, 2026 (kick-off: 15:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full AFC Ajax vs Fortuna Sittard preview before placing for you.

AFC Ajax are currently 5th with 56 points after 34 matches.
Fortuna Sittard sit 11th with 39 points from 34 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: AFC Ajax to win with probability 69%.
Head-to-head history favors AFC Ajax, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Fortuna Sittard have no wins, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

15:00

2026-02-14

AFC Ajax vs Fortuna Sittard - Prediction & Odds

AFC Ajax

Fortuna Sittard

2026-02-14 15:00

STANDINGS UP TO 14/02/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 PSV Eindhoven	84	34	27	3	4	101	45	56
02 Feyenoord	65	34	19	8	7	70	44	26
03 NEC Nijmegen	59	34	16	11	7	77	53	24
04 FC Twente Enschede	58	34	15	13	6	59	40	19
05 AFC Ajax	56	34	14	14	6	62	41	21
06 FC Utrecht	53	34	15	8	11	55	42	13
07 AZ Alkmaar	52	34	14	10	10	58	51	7
08 SC Heerenveen	51	34	14	9	11	57	53	4
09 Groningen	48	34	14	6	14	49	45	4
10 Sparta Rotterdam	43	34	12	7	15	40	62	-22
11 Fortuna Sittard	39	34	11	6	17	49	63	-14
12 Go Ahead Eagles	38	34	8	14	12	54	53	1
13 Excelsior SBV	38	34	10	8	16	43	56	-13
14 SC Telstar	37	34	9	10	15	49	55	-6
15 PEC Zwolle	37	34	9	10	15	44	71	-27
16 Volendam	32	34	8	8	18	35	55	-20
17 NAC Breda	29	34	6	11	17	35	58	-23
18 Heracles Almelo	19	34	5	4	25	35	85	-50

Head To Head

06/12/2025 13:45

Fortuna Sittard

1 - 3

AFC Ajax

HOL D1

09/02/2025 09:30

Fortuna Sittard

0 - 2

AFC Ajax

HOL D1

18/09/2024 14:00

AFC Ajax

5 - 0

Fortuna Sittard

HOL D1

10/03/2024 09:30

AFC Ajax

2 - 2

Fortuna Sittard

HOL D1

03/09/2023 08:30

Fortuna Sittard

0 - 0

AFC Ajax

HOL D1

09/04/2023 10:45

AFC Ajax

4 - 0

Fortuna Sittard

HOL D1

AFC Ajax

67%

Draw

33%

Fortuna Sittard

AFC Ajax Last 6 matches

01/02/2026 07:15

Excelsior SBV 2 - 2 AFC Ajax HOL D1

28/01/2026 16:00

AFC Ajax 1 - 2 Olympiakos Piraeus UEFA CL

24/01/2026 11:30

AFC Ajax 2 - 0 Volendam HOL D1

20/01/2026 16:00

Villarreal 1 - 2 AFC Ajax UEFA CL

17/01/2026 11:30

AFC Ajax 2 - 2 Go Ahead Eagles HOL D1

14/01/2026 16:00

AZ Alkmaar 6 - 0 AFC Ajax HOLC

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Fortuna Sittard

01/02/2026 09:30

Heracles Almelo 2 - 1 Fortuna Sittard HOL D1

25/01/2026 09:30

Groningen 1 - 2 Fortuna Sittard HOL D1

17/01/2026 15:00

Fortuna Sittard 1 - 2 PSV Eindhoven HOL D1

11/01/2026 09:30

Go Ahead Eagles 2 - 2 Fortuna Sittard HOL D1

21/12/2025 11:45

Fortuna Sittard 4 - 3 AZ Alkmaar HOL D1

17/12/2025 15:00

Fortuna Sittard 2 - 3 Almere City FC HOLC

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Holland Eredivisie

Played games

Goals

Scored

651

Avg. per game

2.17

Conceded

378

Avg. per game

1.26

Scored

340

Avg. per game

1.30

Conceded

447

Avg. per game

1.71

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

259 (86%)41 (14%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

191 (73%)70 (27%)

AFC Ajax

Recent matches

Fortuna Sittard

Under /Over

(89%)40 5(11%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(87%)39 6(13%)

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(53%)24 21(47%)

Under /Over

(56%)25 20(44%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(56%)25 20(44%)

/Yes

(64%)29 16(36%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(78%)35 10(22%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

AFC Ajax

Fortuna Sittard

Shots

AFC Ajax

Total shots

15.05 avg / game

Blocked

917 total

Avg. 3.99

Fortuna Sittard

Total shots

11.50 avg / game

Blocked

521 total

Avg. 2.76

AFC Ajax Pass Fortuna Sittard

Total passes

146219

Avg. 567 / game

Accurate

86%

Ball possession

60%

Total passes

73820

Avg. 367 / game

Accurate

74%

Ball possession

45%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

AFC Ajax

300

Played games

Fortuna Sittard

261

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.34

101

Clean sheets

0.22

5.70

1709

Corners

1051

4.03

14.57

4370

Throw-ins

3917

15.01

1.65

495

Offsides

319

1.22

2.55

765

GK saves

727

2.79

AFC Ajax

DISCIPLINARY

Fortuna Sittard

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.47

440

391

1.50

0.08

0.07

9.79

2936

Fouls

2408

9.23

11.99

3597

Tackles

3198

12.25

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the AFC Ajax vs Fortuna Sittard Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for AFC Ajax vs Fortuna Sittard on 14 February 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Holland Eredivisie fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

AFC Ajax vs Fortuna Sittard Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess AFC Ajax's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Fortuna Sittard's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Holland Eredivisie Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Holland Eredivisie standings and the Holland Eredivisie form table to understand exactly where AFC Ajax and Fortuna Sittard sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Holland Eredivisie predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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