AEK Larnaca vs Pafos FC: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 16 May

AEK Larnaca

W L L D W

2nd place in League

2-2

16/05/2026 11:00

Pafos FC

L W D D W

4th place in League

Cyprus 1 Division

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for AEK Larnaca vs Pafos FC on 16 May 2026 (kick-off: 11:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full AEK Larnaca vs Pafos FC preview before placing your bet.

AEK Larnaca are currently 2nd with 53 points after 26 matches.
Pafos FC sit 4th with 51 points from 26 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: AEK Larnaca to win with probability 41%.
Head-to-head history favors Pafos FC, who have won 2 of the last 6 meetings. AEK Larnaca have one win, while 3 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

11:00

2026-05-16

AEK Larnaca vs Pafos FC - Prediction & Odds

AEK Larnaca

Pafos FC

2026-05-16 11:00

STANDINGS UP TO 16/05/2026

League	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Omonia Nicosia FC	61	26	19	4	3	63	17	46
02 AEK Larnaca	53	26	16	5	5	49	22	27
03 Apollon Limassol FC	53	26	16	5	5	36	22	14
04 AEP Paphos	51	26	16	3	7	53	24	29
05 APOEL Nicosia	45	26	13	6	7	45	27	18
06 Aris Limassol	43	26	12	7	7	48	26	22
07 Omonia Aradippou	34	26	10	4	12	23	31	-8
08 AEL Limassol	33	26	10	3	13	31	38	-7
09 Anorthosis Famagusta FC	32	26	7	11	8	23	33	-10
10 Krasava ENY Ypsonas FC	28	26	8	4	14	26	36	-10
11 Olympiakos Nicosia FC	28	26	6	10	10	22	37	-15
12 Akritas Chloraka	26	26	7	5	14	23	48	-25
13 Ethnikos Achnas FC	23	26	7	2	17	25	44	-19
14 E.N.Paralimniou	1	26	0	1	25	5	67	-62

Championship Playoffs	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Omonia Nicosia FC	87	10	8	2	0	25	7	18
02 AEK Larnaca	69	10	4	4	2	13	11	2
03 Apollon Limassol FC	67	10	4	2	4	16	19	-3
04 AEP Paphos	62	10	2	5	3	13	14	-1
05 APOEL Nicosia	52	10	2	1	7	8	18	-10
06 Aris Limassol	51	10	2	2	6	13	19	-6

Playoffs	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Anorthosis Famagusta FC	45	7	4	1	2	12	7	5
02 AEL Limassol	44	7	3	2	2	10	8	2
03 Omonia Aradippou	42	7	2	2	3	8	11	-3
04 Krasava ENY Ypsonas FC	40	7	3	3	1	10	8	2
05 Olympiakos Nicosia FC	40	7	4	0	3	10	7	3
06 Akritas Chloraka	35	7	3	0	4	8	10	-2
07 Ethnikos Achnas FC	33	7	3	1	3	9	9	0
08 E.N.Paralimniou	5	7	1	1	5	6	13	-7

Head To Head

18/04/2026 11:00

AEP Paphos

1 - 1

AEK Larnaca

CYP D1

25/01/2026 13:00

AEP Paphos

1 - 2

AEK Larnaca

CYP D1

30/10/2025 13:00

AEP Paphos

1 - 1

AEK Larnaca

CYP SCUP

05/10/2025 12:00

AEK Larnaca

2 - 4

AEP Paphos

CYP D1

24/05/2025 13:00

AEK Larnaca

0 - 0

AEP Paphos

CYP Cup

18/05/2025 11:00

AEP Paphos

2 - 0

AEK Larnaca

CYP D1

AEK Larnaca

17%

Draw

50%

Pafos FC

33%

AEK Larnaca Last 6 matches

10/05/2026 11:00

Omonia Nicosia FC 1 - 1 AEK Larnaca CYP D1

06/05/2026 12:00

AEK Larnaca 1 - 0 Apollon Limassol FC CYP D1

03/05/2026 10:00

APOEL Nicosia 1 - 0 AEK Larnaca CYP D1

25/04/2026 12:00

AEK Larnaca 2 - 0 Aris Limassol CYP D1

18/04/2026 11:00

AEP Paphos 1 - 1 AEK Larnaca CYP D1

14/04/2026 12:00

AEK Larnaca 0 - 2 Omonia Nicosia FC CYP D1

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Pafos FC

10/05/2026 11:00

AEP Paphos 2 - 0 Aris Limassol CYP D1

06/05/2026 12:00

AEP Paphos 0 - 2 Omonia Nicosia FC CYP D1

03/05/2026 12:00

Apollon Limassol FC 2 - 1 AEP Paphos CYP D1

26/04/2026 10:00

APOEL Nicosia 3 - 3 AEP Paphos CYP D1

22/04/2026 10:00

AEP Paphos 3 - 1 AEL Limassol CYP Cup

18/04/2026 11:00

AEP Paphos 1 - 1 AEK Larnaca CYP D1

Win

Draw

100%

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Cyprus 1 Division

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

AEK Larnaca

Pafos FC

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.83

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.56

Scored

Avg. per game

0.97

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.64

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 36 matches

YesNo

23 (64%)13 (36%)

In last 36 matches

NoYes

21 (58%)15 (42%)

AEK Larnaca

Recent matches

Pafos FC

Under /Over

(78%)28 8(22%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(86%)31 5(14%)

Under /Over

(28%)10 26(72%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(36%)13 23(64%)

Under /Over

(39%)14 22(61%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(56%)20 16(44%)

/Yes

(53%)19 17(47%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(47%)17 19(53%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

AEK Larnaca

Pafos FC

Shots

AEK Larnaca

Total shots

11.29 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Pafos FC

Total shots

11.63 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

AEK Larnaca Pass Pafos FC

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

54%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

52%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

AEK Larnaca

Played games

Pafos FC

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.33

Clean sheets

0.42

4.81

173

Corners

181

5.03

16.58

597

Throw-ins

715

19.86

1.42

Offsides

1.56

0.08

GK saves

0.17

AEK Larnaca

DISCIPLINARY

Pafos FC

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.86

2.22

0.08

0.06

10.19

367

Fouls

502

13.94

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

Karmiotissa Polemidion

Olympiakos Nicosia FC

How We Build the AEK Larnaca vs Pafos FC Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for AEK Larnaca vs Pafos FC on 16 May 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Cyprus 1 Division fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

AEK Larnaca vs Pafos FC Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess AEK Larnaca's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Pafos FC's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Cyprus 1 Division Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Cyprus 1 Division standings and the Cyprus 1 Division form table to understand exactly where AEK Larnaca and Pafos FC sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Cyprus 1 Division predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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