AEK Larnaca vs APOEL Nicosia: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 04 May

AEK Larnaca

W D W W W

3rd place in League

3-0

04/05/2025 12:00

APOEL Nicosia

D D W L L

5th place in League

Cyprus 1 Division

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for AEK Larnaca vs APOEL Nicosia on 04 May 2025 (kick-off: 12:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full AEK Larnaca vs APOEL Nicosia preview before placing your bet.

AEK Larnaca are currently 3rd with 54 points after 26 matches.
APOEL Nicosia sit 5th with 43 points from 26 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: AEK Larnaca to win with probability 46%.
Head-to-head history favors AEK Larnaca, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. APOEL Nicosia have one win, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

12:00

2025-05-04

AEK Larnaca vs APOEL Nicosia - Prediction & Odds

AEK Larnaca

APOEL Nicosia

2025-05-04 12:00

STANDINGS UP TO 04/05/2025

League	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 AEP Paphos	62	26	20	2	4	50	12	38
02 Aris Limassol	61	26	18	7	1	53	15	38
03 AEK Larnaca	54	26	16	6	4	45	21	24
04 Omonia Nicosia FC	52	26	16	4	6	53	26	27
05 APOEL Nicosia	43	26	12	7	7	52	25	27
06 Apollon Limassol FC	40	26	11	7	8	28	23	5
07 Anorthosis Famagusta FC	37	26	10	7	9	34	33	1
08 Ethnikos Achnas FC	29	26	6	11	9	33	42	-9
09 Karmiotissa Polemidion	27	26	7	6	13	26	51	-25
10 Omonia Aradippou	26	26	7	5	14	23	49	-26
11 AEL Limassol	24	26	6	6	14	26	46	-20
12 E.N.Paralimniou	19	26	5	4	17	18	41	-23
13 Nea Salamis	17	26	4	5	17	22	52	-30
14 Omonia 29is Maiou	14	26	3	5	18	19	46	-27

Championship Playoffs	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 AEP Paphos	82	10	6	2	2	17	9	8
02 Aris Limassol	75	10	4	2	4	13	16	-3
03 AEK Larnaca	68	10	3	5	2	13	9	4
04 Omonia Nicosia FC	68	10	4	4	2	16	14	2
05 APOEL Nicosia	53	10	2	4	4	7	11	-4
06 Apollon Limassol FC	46	10	1	3	6	9	16	-7

Relegation	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Anorthosis Famagusta FC	52	7	5	0	2	16	9	7
02 Ethnikos Achnas FC	39	7	3	1	3	11	11	0
03 AEL Limassol	39	7	5	0	2	12	7	5
04 E.N.Paralimniou	35	7	5	1	1	13	7	6
05 Omonia Aradippou	35	7	3	0	4	9	9	0
06 Karmiotissa Polemidion	34	7	2	1	4	4	6	-2
07 Nea Salamis	26	7	2	3	2	9	10	-1
08 Omonia 29is Maiou	14	7	0	0	7	4	19	-15

Head To Head

02/04/2025 12:30

APOEL Nicosia

0 - 1

AEK Larnaca

CYP D1

20/01/2025 13:00

AEK Larnaca

2 - 1

APOEL Nicosia

CYP D1

06/10/2024 13:00

APOEL Nicosia

0 - 1

AEK Larnaca

CYP D1

17/07/2024 11:59

AEK Larnaca

0 - 0

APOEL Nicosia

INT CF

11/05/2024 11:59

APOEL Nicosia

1 - 1

AEK Larnaca

CYP D1

31/03/2024 10:00

AEK Larnaca

1 - 2

APOEL Nicosia

CYP D1

AEK Larnaca

50%

Draw

33%

APOEL Nicosia

17%

AEK Larnaca Last 6 matches

22/04/2025 12:00

AEK Larnaca 1 - 1 Omonia Nicosia FC CYP D1

13/04/2025 12:00

AEK Larnaca 2 - 2 AEP Paphos CYP D1

06/04/2025 11:00

Apollon Limassol FC 1 - 1 AEK Larnaca CYP D1

02/04/2025 12:30

APOEL Nicosia 0 - 1 AEK Larnaca CYP D1

29/03/2025 13:00

AEK Larnaca 1 - 1 Aris Limassol CYP D1

16/03/2025 14:30

Omonia Nicosia FC 1 - 1 AEK Larnaca CYP D1

Win

17%

Draw

83%

Lost

Last 6 matches APOEL Nicosia

26/04/2025 12:00

Apollon Limassol FC 0 - 0 APOEL Nicosia CYP D1

22/04/2025 12:00

APOEL Nicosia 2 - 1 Aris Limassol CYP D1

13/04/2025 12:00

APOEL Nicosia 1 - 1 Omonia Nicosia FC CYP D1

06/04/2025 11:00

AEP Paphos 0 - 1 APOEL Nicosia CYP D1

02/04/2025 12:30

APOEL Nicosia 0 - 1 AEK Larnaca CYP D1

29/03/2025 11:00

APOEL Nicosia 1 - 1 Apollon Limassol FC CYP D1

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Cyprus 1 Division

Played games

Goals

Scored

461

Avg. per game

1.54

Conceded

311

Avg. per game

1.04

Scored

441

Avg. per game

1.47

Conceded

285

Avg. per game

0.95

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

229 (76%)71 (24%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

222 (74%)78 (26%)

AEK Larnaca

Recent matches

APOEL Nicosia

Under /Over

(67%)30 15(33%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(82%)37 8(18%)

Under /Over

(27%)12 33(73%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(56%)25 20(44%)

/Yes

(51%)23 22(49%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

AEK Larnaca

APOEL Nicosia

Shots

AEK Larnaca

Total shots

11.49 avg / game

Blocked

116 total

Avg. 2.58

APOEL Nicosia

Total shots

11.69 avg / game

Blocked

93 total

Avg. 3.21

AEK Larnaca Pass APOEL Nicosia

Total passes

9130

Avg. 351 / game

Accurate

79%

Ball possession

53%

Total passes

3219

Avg. 402 / game

Accurate

82%

Ball possession

53%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

AEK Larnaca

300

Played games

APOEL Nicosia

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.37

110

Clean sheets

118

0.39

4.96

1488

Corners

1488

4.96

3.61

1084

Throw-ins

760

2.53

0.83

248

Offsides

185

0.62

1.91

572

GK saves

498

1.66

AEK Larnaca

DISCIPLINARY

APOEL Nicosia

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.86

558

647

2.16

0.08

0.12

6.08

1824

Fouls

1884

6.28

0.75

225

Tackles

104

0.35

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

Anorthosis Famagusta FC

How We Build the AEK Larnaca vs APOEL Nicosia Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for AEK Larnaca vs APOEL Nicosia on 04 May 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Cyprus 1 Division fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

AEK Larnaca vs APOEL Nicosia Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess AEK Larnaca's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against APOEL Nicosia's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Cyprus 1 Division Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Cyprus 1 Division standings and the Cyprus 1 Division form table to understand exactly where AEK Larnaca and APOEL Nicosia sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Cyprus 1 Division predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

Explore More Cyprus 1 Division Predictions

Find every upcoming Cyprus 1 Division fixtures and predictions for this matchday, or browse all football predictions for today across every major league on Betiball.com.

View More View Less