AEK Larnaca vs AEP Paphos: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 16 May

Prediction Match Centre

AEK Larnaca

WLLDW

2nd place in Cyprus 1 Division

2-2

AEK Larnaca
Win Probability 41%

16/05/2026 08:00

AEP Paphos

LWDDW

4th place in Cyprus 1 Division

Cyprus 1 Division

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for AEK Larnaca vs AEP Paphos on 16 May 2026 (kick-off: 08:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full AEK Larnaca vs AEP Paphos preview before placing your bet.

AEK Larnaca will face AEP Paphos in Cyprus 1 Division on May 16, 2026 at 08:00.
AEK Larnaca are currently 2nd with 53 points after 26 matches.
AEP Paphos sit 4th with 51 points from 26 matches.
Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 1 - 1 and average coefficient 2.22.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

08:00

2026-05-16

AEK Larnaca vs AEP Paphos - Prediction & Odds

AEK Larnaca

AEP Paphos

2026-05-16 08:00

STANDINGS UP TO 16/05/2026

League	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Omonia Nicosia FC	61	26	19	4	3	63	17	46
02 AEK Larnaca	53	26	16	5	5	49	22	27
03 Apollon Limassol FC	53	26	16	5	5	36	22	14
04 AEP Paphos	51	26	16	3	7	53	24	29
05 APOEL Nicosia	45	26	13	6	7	45	27	18
06 Aris Limassol	43	26	12	7	7	48	26	22
07 Omonia Aradippou	34	26	10	4	12	23	31	-8
08 AEL Limassol	33	26	10	3	13	31	38	-7
09 Anorthosis Famagusta FC	32	26	7	11	8	23	33	-10
10 Krasava ENY Ypsonas FC	28	26	8	4	14	26	36	-10
11 Olympiakos Nicosia FC	28	26	6	10	10	22	37	-15
12 Akritas Chloraka	26	26	7	5	14	23	48	-25
13 Ethnikos Achnas FC	23	26	7	2	17	25	44	-19
14 E.N.Paralimniou	1	26	0	1	25	5	67	-62

Championship Playoffs	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Omonia Nicosia FC	87	10	8	2	0	25	7	18
02 AEK Larnaca	69	10	4	4	2	13	11	2
03 Apollon Limassol FC	67	10	4	2	4	16	19	-3
04 AEP Paphos	62	10	2	5	3	13	14	-1
05 APOEL Nicosia	52	10	2	1	7	8	18	-10
06 Aris Limassol	51	10	2	2	6	13	19	-6

Playoffs	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Anorthosis Famagusta FC	45	7	4	1	2	12	7	5
02 AEL Limassol	44	7	3	2	2	10	8	2
03 Omonia Aradippou	42	7	2	2	3	8	11	-3
04 Krasava ENY Ypsonas FC	40	7	3	3	1	10	8	2
05 Olympiakos Nicosia FC	40	7	4	0	3	10	7	3
06 Akritas Chloraka	35	7	3	0	4	8	10	-2
07 Ethnikos Achnas FC	33	7	3	1	3	9	9	0
08 E.N.Paralimniou	5	7	1	1	5	6	13	-7

Head To Head

18/04/2026 08:00

AEP Paphos

1 - 1

AEK Larnaca

CYP D1

25/01/2026 10:00

AEP Paphos

1 - 2

AEK Larnaca

CYP D1

30/10/2025 10:00

AEP Paphos

1 - 1

AEK Larnaca

CYP SCUP

05/10/2025 09:00

AEK Larnaca

2 - 4

AEP Paphos

CYP D1

24/05/2025 10:00

AEK Larnaca

0 - 0

AEP Paphos

CYP Cup

18/05/2025 08:00

AEP Paphos

2 - 0

AEK Larnaca

CYP D1

AEP Paphos

17%

Draw

50%

AEK Larnaca

33%

AEK Larnaca Last 6 matches

10/05/2026 08:00

Omonia Nicosia FC 1 - 1 AEK Larnaca

CYP D1

06/05/2026 09:00

AEK Larnaca 1 - 0 Apollon Limassol FC

CYP D1

03/05/2026 07:00

APOEL Nicosia 1 - 0 AEK Larnaca

CYP D1

25/04/2026 09:00

AEK Larnaca 2 - 0 Aris Limassol

CYP D1

18/04/2026 08:00

AEP Paphos 1 - 1 AEK Larnaca

CYP D1

14/04/2026 09:00

AEK Larnaca 0 - 2 Omonia Nicosia FC

CYP D1

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches AEP Paphos

10/05/2026 08:00

AEP Paphos 2 - 0 Aris Limassol

CYP D1

06/05/2026 09:00

AEP Paphos 0 - 2 Omonia Nicosia FC

CYP D1

03/05/2026 09:00

Apollon Limassol FC 2 - 1 AEP Paphos

CYP D1

26/04/2026 07:00

APOEL Nicosia 3 - 3 AEP Paphos

CYP D1

22/04/2026 07:00

AEP Paphos 3 - 1 AEL Limassol

CYP Cup

18/04/2026 08:00

AEP Paphos 1 - 1 AEK Larnaca

CYP D1

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Cyprus 1 Division

Played games

AEK Larnaca

AEP Paphos

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.53

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.92

Scored

Avg. per game

1.71

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.00

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 53 matches

YesNo

43 (81%)10 (19%)

In last 53 matches

NoYes

46 (84%)9 (16%)

AEK Larnaca

Recent matches

AEP Paphos

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(87%)39 6(13%)

Under /Over

(24%)11 34(76%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(53%)24 21(47%)

/Yes

(49%)22 23(51%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(51%)23 22(49%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

AEK Larnaca

AEP Paphos

Shots

AEK Larnaca

Total shots

10.67 avg / game

Blocked

26 total

Avg. 2.36

AEP Paphos

Total shots

11.56 avg / game

Blocked

28 total

Avg. 2.55

AEK Larnaca Pass AEP Paphos

Total passes

4454

Avg. 343 / game

Accurate

81%

Ball possession

52%

Total passes

3121

Avg. 240 / game

Accurate

75%

Ball possession

49%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

AEK Larnaca

Played games

AEP Paphos

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.36

Clean sheets

0.42

4.51

239

Corners

271

4.93

15.55

824

Throw-ins

872

15.85

1.51

Offsides

1.45

0.81

GK saves

1.04

AEK Larnaca

DISCIPLINARY

AEP Paphos

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.02

107

115

2.09

0.13

0.09

10.57

560

Fouls

710

12.91

1.42

Tackles

1.62

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

How We Build the AEK Larnaca vs AEP Paphos Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for AEK Larnaca vs AEP Paphos on 16 May 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Cyprus 1 Division fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

AEK Larnaca vs AEP Paphos Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess AEK Larnaca's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against AEP Paphos's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Cyprus 1 Division Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Cyprus 1 Division standings and the Cyprus 1 Division form table to understand exactly where AEK Larnaca and AEP Paphos sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Cyprus 1 Division predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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