AEK Athens vs AEL Larisa: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 07 March

Betiball's prediction for AEK Athens vs AEL Larisa on 07 March 2026 (kick-off: 12:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full AEK Athens vs AEL Larisa preview before placing your bet.

AEK Athens vs AEL Larisa: Starting Lineups Time : 07/03/2026 12:00

AEK Athens
1 - 0
Finished
AEL Larisa
90' event Filipe do Bem Relvas Vito Oliveira
84' event Zini / Luka Jovic
79' event Mijat Gacinovic / Niclas Eliasson
67' event Petros Mantalos / Orbelin Pineda Alvarado
67' event Roberto Maximiliano Pereyra / Aboubakary Koita
56' event Luka Jovic
45+6' event Niclas Eliasson
45+5' event Niclas Eliasson Penalty cancelled
5' event Harold Moukoudi
event 84' Vasilis Sourlis
event 80' Leandro Julian Garate / Lubomir Tupta
event 78' Theocharis Iliadis
event 75' David Kristjan Olafsson
event 70' Zisis Chatzistravos / Lazar Rasic
event 58' Vasilis Sourlis / Goni Naor
event 57' Angelo Sagal / Gael Kakuta
event 57' Savvas Mourgos / Facundo Perez
90' event Filipe do Bem Relvas Vito Oliveira
event 84' Vasilis Sourlis
84' event Zini / Luka Jovic
event 80' Leandro Julian Garate / Lubomir Tupta
79' event Mijat Gacinovic / Niclas Eliasson
event 78' Theocharis Iliadis
67' event Petros Mantalos / Orbelin Pineda Alvarado
event 75' David Kristjan Olafsson
67' event Roberto Maximiliano Pereyra / Aboubakary Koita
event 70' Zisis Chatzistravos / Lazar Rasic
56' event Luka Jovic
event 58' Vasilis Sourlis / Goni Naor
45+6' event Niclas Eliasson
event 57' Angelo Sagal / Gael Kakuta
45+5' event Niclas Eliasson Penalty cancelled
event 57' Savvas Mourgos / Facundo Perez
5' event Harold Moukoudi
AEK Athens AEK Athens
Substitutions
#91 Alberto Brignoli
#8 Mijat Gacinovic
#15 Martin Georgiev
#4 Marko Grujic
#10 Joao Mario
#7 Dereck Kutesa
#23 Robert Ljubicic
#20 Petros Mantalos
#37 Roberto Maximiliano Pereyra
#3 Stavros Pilios
#21 Domagoj Vida
#90 Zini
AEK Athens AEK Athens AEL Larisa AEL Larisa
20Shots9
8Shots on Goal2
13Fouls14
7Corner Kick3
13Free kick13
2Yellow card3
3Save7
12Successful Tackles10
7Interceptions6
27Long pass28
7Successful center4
8Shots off goal5
1Hit The Post0
4Blocked2
12Tackle9
6Dribbles7
17Throw-in13
528Passes342
123Attacks71
93Dangerous attacks41
2Corner Kicks(HT)2
4BigChances1
3BigChancesMissed1
15ShotsInsideBox2
5ShotsOutsideBox7
53DuelsWon48
3ExpectedGoals0.53
3.51xGOT0.23
28Touches In Opposition Box12
28AccurateCrosses11
34GroundDuelsWon32
19AerialDuelsWon16
18Clearances32
AEL Larisa AEL Larisa
Substitutions
#18 Zisis Chatzistravos
#17 Dimitrios Diminikos
#14 Erick Ferigra
#23 Leandro Julian Garate
#12 Ahmed Kossonou
#1 Nikolaos Melissas
#11 Savvas Mourgos
#6 Epaminondas Pantelakis
#19 Giannis Pasas
#25 Angelo Sagal
#90 Vasilis Sourlis
#21 Theodoros Venetikidis
Commentary
90' Filipe do Bem Relvas Vito Oliveira - AEK Athens receive a yellow card
84' AEK Athens — substitution: Zini / Luka Jovic
84' Vasilis Sourlis - AEL Larisa receive a yellow card
80' AEL Larisa — substitution: Leandro Julian Garate / Lubomir Tupta
79' AEK Athens — substitution: Mijat Gacinovic / Niclas Eliasson
78' Theocharis Iliadis - AEL Larisa receive a yellow card
75' David Kristjan Olafsson - AEL Larisa receive a yellow card
70' AEL Larisa — substitution: Zisis Chatzistravos / Lazar Rasic
67' AEK Athens — substitution: Petros Mantalos / Orbelin Pineda Alvarado
67' AEK Athens — substitution: Roberto Maximiliano Pereyra / Aboubakary Koita
58' AEL Larisa — substitution: Vasilis Sourlis / Goni Naor
57' AEL Larisa — substitution: Angelo Sagal / Gael Kakuta
57' AEL Larisa — substitution: Savvas Mourgos / Facundo Perez
56' Penalty missed! Luka Jovic - AEK Athens
45+6' Niclas Eliasson - AEK Athens receive a yellow card
45+5' VAR review - AEK Athens
5' Goal! Harold Moukoudi - AEK Athens

How We Build the AEK Athens vs AEL Larisa Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for AEK Athens vs AEL Larisa on 07 March 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

AEK Athens vs AEL Larisa Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess AEK Athens's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against AEL Larisa's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live standings and the form table to understand exactly where AEK Athens and AEL Larisa sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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