Adelaide United (W) vs Melbourne Victory (W): Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 04 May

Adelaide United (W)

W L W L W

3rd place in Australia W-League

1-3

04/05/2025 02:00

Melbourne Victory (W)

W W W W W

2nd place in Australia W-League

Australia W-League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Adelaide United (W) vs Melbourne Victory (W) on 04 May 2025 (kick-off: 02:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Adelaide United (W) vs Melbourne Victory (W) preview before placing your bet.

Adelaide United (W) are currently 3rd with 45 points after 23 matches.
Melbourne Victory (W) sit 2nd with 53 points from 23 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Melbourne Victory (W) to win with probability 42%.
Head-to-head history favors Melbourne Victory (W), who have won 5 of the last 6 meetings. Adelaide United (W) have no wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

02:00

2025-05-04

Adelaide United (W) vs Melbourne Victory (W) - Prediction & Odds

Adelaide United (W)

Melbourne Victory (W)

2025-05-04 02:00

STANDINGS UP TO 04/05/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Melbourne City (W)	55	23	16	7	0	56	22	34
02 Melbourne Victory (W)	53	23	16	5	2	42	21	21
03 Adelaide United (W)	45	23	14	3	6	44	30	14
04 Central Coast Mariners (W)	34	23	9	7	7	31	25	6
05 Canberra United (W)	33	22	9	6	7	28	29	-1
06 Western United (W)	33	23	9	6	8	39	46	-7
07 Brisbane Roar (W)	26	23	8	2	13	46	42	4
08 Wellington Phoenix (W)	24	23	7	3	13	25	30	-5
09 Sydney FC (W)	22	22	6	4	12	21	29	-8
10 Perth Glory (W)	22	23	6	4	13	27	43	-16
11 Newcastle Jets (W)	20	23	5	5	13	29	53	-24
12 WS Wanderers (W)	16	23	4	4	15	28	46	-18

Head To Head

29/03/2025 01:50

Melbourne Victory (W)

2 - 1

Adelaide United (W)

AUS WAL

02/11/2024 02:00

Adelaide United (W)

2 - 3

Melbourne Victory (W)

AUS WAL

10/03/2024 04:30

Adelaide United (W)

1 - 4

Melbourne Victory (W)

AUS WAL

04/11/2023 02:00

Melbourne Victory (W)

2 - 0

Adelaide United (W)

AUS WAL

26/02/2023 02:55

Melbourne Victory (W)

2 - 2

Adelaide United (W)

AUS WAL

21/01/2023 01:00

Adelaide United (W)

1 - 2

Melbourne Victory (W)

AUS WAL

Adelaide United (W)

Draw

17%

Melbourne Victory (W)

83%

Adelaide United (W) Last 6 matches

27/04/2025 02:00

Adelaide United (W) 1 - 0 Western United (W) AUS WAL

18/04/2025 02:50

Adelaide United (W) 2 - 1 Sydney FC (W) AUS WAL

12/04/2025 02:00

Western United (W) 1 - 3 Adelaide United (W) AUS WAL

29/03/2025 01:50

Melbourne Victory (W) 2 - 1 Adelaide United (W) AUS WAL

23/03/2025 01:30

Adelaide United (W) 3 - 1 Brisbane Roar (W) AUS WAL

16/03/2025 01:00

Melbourne City (W) 4 - 3 Adelaide United (W) AUS WAL

Win

67%

Draw

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Melbourne Victory (W)

19/04/2025 00:15

Melbourne Victory (W) 2 - 0 Brisbane Roar (W) AUS WAL

11/04/2025 05:00

Central Coast Mariners (W) 0 - 1 Melbourne Victory (W) AUS WAL

06/04/2025 03:00

WS Wanderers (W) 0 - 1 Melbourne Victory (W) AUS WAL

29/03/2025 01:50

Melbourne Victory (W) 2 - 1 Adelaide United (W) AUS WAL

21/03/2025 04:00

Melbourne Victory (W) 4 - 3 Newcastle Jets (W) AUS WAL

09/03/2025 02:00

Melbourne Victory (W) 2 - 0 Canberra United (W) AUS WAL

Win

100%

Draw

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Australia W-League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Adelaide United (W)

Melbourne Victory (W)

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.96

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.77

Scored

Avg. per game

0.88

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.46

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 26 matches

YesNo

18 (69%)8 (31%)

In last 26 matches

NoYes

17 (65%)9 (35%)

Adelaide United (W)

Recent matches

Melbourne Victory (W)

Under /Over

(81%)21 5(19%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(81%)21 5(19%)

Under /Over

(42%)11 15(58%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(42%)11 15(58%)

Under /Over

(42%)11 15(58%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(38%)10 16(62%)

/Yes

(65%)17 9(35%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(54%)14 12(46%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Adelaide United (W)

Melbourne Victory (W)

Shots

Adelaide United (W)

Total shots

14.73 avg / game

Blocked

18 total

Avg. 2.57

Melbourne Victory (W)

Total shots

12.88 avg / game

Blocked

23 total

Avg. 2.09

Adelaide United (W) Pass Melbourne Victory (W)

Total passes

10541

Avg. 405 / game

Accurate

72%

Ball possession

51%

Total passes

10583

Avg. 407 / game

Accurate

75%

Ball possession

53%

TOTAL ATTACKS

Adelaide United (W)

2392

Avg. 92.00 / game

Melbourne Victory (W)

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

Melbourne Victory (W)

1301

Avg. 50.04 / game

OTHERS

Adelaide United (W)

Played games

Melbourne Victory (W)

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.31

Clean sheets

0.42

4.85

126

Corners

122

4.69

30.35

789

Throw-ins

756

29.08

0.54

Offsides

0.77

3.65

GK saves

3.04

Adelaide United (W)

DISCIPLINARY

Melbourne Victory (W)

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.69

1.27

0.04

0.00

7.92

206

Fouls

240

9.23

16.35

425

Tackles

410

15.77

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Adelaide United (W) vs Melbourne Victory (W) Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Adelaide United (W) vs Melbourne Victory (W) on 04 May 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Australia W-League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Adelaide United (W) vs Melbourne Victory (W) Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Adelaide United (W)'s recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Melbourne Victory (W)'s away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Australia W-League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Australia W-League standings and the Australia W-League form table to understand exactly where Adelaide United (W) and Melbourne Victory (W) sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Australia W-League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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