Adelaide United vs Wellington Phoenix: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 04 January

Adelaide United

W W L D W

8th place in Australia A-League

2-2

04/01/2024 04:45

Wellington Phoenix

W W L W D

2nd place in Australia A-League

Australia A-League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Adelaide United vs Wellington Phoenix on 04 January 2024 (kick-off: 04:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Adelaide United vs Wellington Phoenix preview before placing your bet.

Adelaide United are currently 8th with 32 points after 27 matches.
Wellington Phoenix sit 2nd with 53 points from 27 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Adelaide United to win with probability 44%.
Head-to-head history favors Adelaide United, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Wellington Phoenix have one win, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

04:45

2024-01-04

Adelaide United vs Wellington Phoenix - Prediction & Odds

Adelaide United

Wellington Phoenix

2024-01-04 04:45

STANDINGS UP TO 04/01/2024

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Central Coast Mariners	55	27	17	4	6	49	27	22
02 Wellington Phoenix	53	27	15	8	4	42	26	16
03 Melbourne Victory	42	27	10	12	5	43	33	10
04 Sydney FC	41	27	12	5	10	52	41	11
05 FC Macarthur	41	27	11	8	8	45	48	-3
06 Melbourne City	39	27	11	6	10	50	38	12
07 Western Sydney	37	27	11	4	12	44	48	-4
08 Adelaide United	32	27	9	5	13	52	53	-1
09 Brisbane Roar	30	27	8	6	13	42	55	-13
10 Newcastle Jets	28	27	6	10	11	39	47	-8
11 Western United FC	26	27	7	5	15	36	55	-19
12 Perth Glory	22	27	5	7	15	46	69	-23

Head To Head

05/05/2023 05:45

Adelaide United

2 - 0

Wellington Phoenix

AUS D1

17/03/2023 04:45

Adelaide United

5 - 1

Wellington Phoenix

AUS D1

16/12/2022 22:00

Wellington Phoenix

3 - 1

Adelaide United

AUS D1

08/10/2022 22:00

Wellington Phoenix

1 - 1

Adelaide United

AUS D1

12/02/2022 01:50

Wellington Phoenix

1 - 1

Adelaide United

AUS D1

01/01/2022 04:45

Adelaide United

4 - 0

Wellington Phoenix

AUS D1

Adelaide United

50%

Draw

33%

Wellington Phoenix

17%

Adelaide United Last 6 matches

30/12/2023 04:45

Melbourne Victory 2 - 0 Adelaide United AUS D1

22/12/2023 04:45

Adelaide United 3 - 1 Newcastle Jets AUS D1

15/12/2023 04:45

Western Sydney 1 - 0 Adelaide United AUS D1

10/12/2023 00:00

Adelaide United 0 - 2 Brisbane Roar AUS D1

04/12/2023 04:00

FC Macarthur 4 - 3 Adelaide United AUS D1

26/11/2023 02:00

Western United FC 1 - 3 Adelaide United AUS D1

Win

33%

Draw

Lost

67%

Last 6 matches Wellington Phoenix

29/12/2023 04:45

Sydney FC 3 - 1 Wellington Phoenix AUS D1

23/12/2023 00:30

Wellington Phoenix 2 - 0 Western Sydney AUS D1

18/12/2023 04:00

FC Macarthur 0 - 3 Wellington Phoenix AUS D1

09/12/2023 02:30

Wellington Phoenix 0 - 3 Newcastle Jets AUS D1

02/12/2023 02:30

Western United FC 0 - 1 Wellington Phoenix AUS D1

24/11/2023 23:30

Wellington Phoenix 1 - 0 Melbourne City AUS D1

Win

67%

Draw

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Australia A-League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Adelaide United

Wellington Phoenix

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.78

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.00

Scored

Avg. per game

0.52

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.31

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

1 (17%)5 (83%)

In last 27 matches

YesNo

14 (52%)13 (48%)

In last 27 matches

NoYes

12 (41%)17 (59%)

Adelaide United

Recent matches

Wellington Phoenix

Under /Over

(89%)24 3(11%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(69%)20 9(31%)

Under /Over

(44%)12 15(56%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(21%)6 23(79%)

Under /Over

(67%)18 9(33%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(52%)15 14(48%)

/Yes

(67%)18 9(33%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(52%)15 14(48%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Adelaide United

Wellington Phoenix

Shots

Adelaide United

Total shots

18.56 avg / game

Blocked

126 total

Avg. 4.85

Wellington Phoenix

Total shots

11.52 avg / game

Blocked

70 total

Avg. 2.69

Adelaide United Pass Wellington Phoenix

Total passes

12288

Avg. 455 / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

52%

Total passes

14452

Avg. 498 / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

49%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Adelaide United

Played games

Wellington Phoenix

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.11

Clean sheets

0.41

7.41

200

Corners

126

4.34

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

1.85

Offsides

1.97

4.04

109

GK saves

114

3.93

Adelaide United

DISCIPLINARY

Wellington Phoenix

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.81

1.83

0.11

0.07

10.96

296

Fouls

266

9.17

18.96

512

Tackles

484

16.69

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Adelaide United vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Adelaide United vs Wellington Phoenix on 04 January 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Australia A-League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Adelaide United vs Wellington Phoenix Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Adelaide United's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Wellington Phoenix's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Australia A-League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Australia A-League standings and the Australia A-League form table to understand exactly where Adelaide United and Wellington Phoenix sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Australia A-League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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