Adelaide United vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – March 17

Adelaide United

W W D L D

3rd place in Australia A-League

5-1

17/03/2023 04:45

Wellington Phoenix

L L L D L

6th place in Australia A-League

Australia A-League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Adelaide United vs Wellington Phoenix on March 17, 2023 (kick-off: 04:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Adelaide United vs Wellington Phoenix preview before placing for you.

Adelaide United are currently 3rd with 42 points after 26 matches.
Wellington Phoenix sit 6th with 35 points from 26 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Adelaide United to win with probability 45%.
Head-to-head history favors Wellington Phoenix, who have won 2 of the last 6 meetings. Adelaide United have one win, while 3 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

04:45

2023-03-17

Adelaide United vs Wellington Phoenix - Prediction & Odds

Adelaide United

Wellington Phoenix

2023-03-17 04:45

STANDINGS UP TO 17/03/2023

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Melbourne City	55	26	16	7	3	61	32	29
02 Central Coast Mariners	44	26	13	5	8	55	35	20
03 Adelaide United	42	26	11	9	6	53	46	7
04 Western Sydney	41	26	11	8	7	43	27	16
05 Sydney FC	38	26	11	5	10	40	39	1
06 Wellington Phoenix	35	26	9	8	9	39	45	-6
07 Western United FC	32	26	9	5	12	34	47	-13
08 Brisbane Roar	30	26	7	9	10	26	33	-7
09 Perth Glory	29	26	7	8	11	36	46	-10
10 Newcastle Jets	29	26	8	5	13	30	45	-15
11 Melbourne Victory	28	26	8	4	14	29	34	-5
12 FC Macarthur	26	26	7	5	14	31	48	-17

Head To Head

16/12/2022 22:00

Wellington Phoenix

3 - 1

Adelaide United

AUS D1

08/10/2022 22:00

Wellington Phoenix

1 - 1

Adelaide United

AUS D1

12/02/2022 01:50

Wellington Phoenix

1 - 1

Adelaide United

AUS D1

01/01/2022 04:45

Adelaide United

4 - 0

Wellington Phoenix

AUS D1

07/05/2021 05:35

Adelaide United

0 - 0

Wellington Phoenix

AUS D1

25/04/2021 02:10

Wellington Phoenix

2 - 1

Adelaide United

AUS D1

Adelaide United

17%

Draw

50%

Wellington Phoenix

33%

Adelaide United Last 6 matches

03/03/2023 04:45

Adelaide United 4 - 2 Melbourne City AUS D1

26/02/2023 00:00

Melbourne Victory 1 - 1 Adelaide United AUS D1

19/02/2023 00:00

Adelaide United 4 - 4 Western Sydney AUS D1

11/02/2023 02:00

Western United FC 2 - 3 Adelaide United AUS D1

04/02/2023 04:45

Adelaide United 2 - 1 Brisbane Roar AUS D1

29/01/2023 00:00

Melbourne City 3 - 3 Adelaide United AUS D1

Win

50%

Draw

50%

Lost

Last 6 matches Wellington Phoenix

03/03/2023 22:00

Wellington Phoenix 2 - 1 Newcastle Jets AUS D1

24/02/2023 04:45

Central Coast Mariners 1 - 1 Wellington Phoenix AUS D1

17/02/2023 04:45

Western United FC 0 - 3 Wellington Phoenix AUS D1

12/02/2023 02:00

FC Macarthur 2 - 1 Wellington Phoenix AUS D1

03/02/2023 04:45

Melbourne Victory 3 - 1 Wellington Phoenix AUS D1

27/01/2023 22:00

Wellington Phoenix 2 - 2 Perth Glory AUS D1

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Australia A-League

Played games

Adelaide United

Wellington Phoenix

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.93

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.27

Scored

Avg. per game

1.85

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.54

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 15 home matches

YesNo

13 (87%)2 (13%)

In last 15 home matches

NoYes

13 (100%)0 (0%)

Adelaide United

Recent matches

Wellington Phoenix

Under /Over

(80%)12 3(20%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(92%)12 1(8%)

Under /Over

(47%)7 8(53%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(46%)6 7(54%)

Under /Over

(40%)6 9(60%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(62%)8 5(38%)

/Yes

(60%)9 6(40%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(92%)12 1(8%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Adelaide United

Wellington Phoenix

Shots

Adelaide United

Total shots

13.07 avg / game

Blocked

19 total

Avg. 2.71

Wellington Phoenix

Total shots

11.38 avg / game

Blocked

19 total

Avg. 3.17

Adelaide United Pass Wellington Phoenix

Total passes

6906

Avg. 460 / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

51%

Total passes

6054

Avg. 466 / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

49%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Adelaide United

Played games

Wellington Phoenix

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.27

Clean sheets

0.08

6.40

Corners

5.54

17.87

268

Throw-ins

237

18.23

1.13

Offsides

1.85

3.67

GK saves

3.54

Adelaide United

DISCIPLINARY

Wellington Phoenix

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.27

1.62

0.07

0.15

10.93

164

Fouls

130

10.00

8.67

130

Tackles

6.54

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Adelaide United vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Adelaide United vs Wellington Phoenix on 17 March 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Australia A-League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Adelaide United vs Wellington Phoenix Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Adelaide United's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Wellington Phoenix's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Australia A-League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Australia A-League standings and the Australia A-League form table to understand exactly where Adelaide United and Wellington Phoenix sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Australia A-League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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