AD Tarma vs Alianza Atletico Sullana: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 26 September

AD Tarma

W D L L W

9th place in Clausura

1-0

26/09/2025 14:15

Alianza Atletico Sullana

W L L D W

10th place in Clausura

Peru Primera Division

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for AD Tarma vs Alianza Atletico Sullana on 26 September 2025 (kick-off: 14:15) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full AD Tarma vs Alianza Atletico Sullana preview before placing your bet.

AD Tarma are currently 9th with 25 points after 17 matches.
Alianza Atletico Sullana sit 10th with 23 points from 17 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: AD Tarma to win with probability 51%.
Head-to-head history is evenly balanced: AD Tarma and Alianza Atletico Sullana have each won 2 of the last 6 meetings, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

14:15

2025-09-26

AD Tarma vs Alianza Atletico Sullana - Prediction & Odds

AD Tarma

Alianza Atletico Sullana

2025-09-26 14:15

STANDINGS UP TO 26/09/2025

Clausura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Universitario De Deportes	40	17	12	4	1	29	13	16
02 Cusco FC	36	17	11	3	3	29	15	14
03 Sporting Cristal	31	17	9	4	4	29	13	16
04 Alianza Lima	31	17	9	4	4	30	19	11
05 Cienciano	27	17	8	3	6	25	21	4
06 Los Chankas	27	17	9	0	8	21	28	-7
07 FBC Melgar	25	17	6	7	4	24	17	7
08 Deportivo Garcilaso	25	17	6	7	4	20	21	-1
09 AD Tarma	25	17	7	4	6	19	20	-1
10 Alianza Atletico Sullana	23	17	6	5	6	15	12	3
11 Comerciantes Unidos	23	17	6	5	6	17	22	-5
12 Sport Huancayo	18	17	5	3	9	28	28	0
13 Ayacucho Futbol Club	17	17	5	2	10	17	26	-9
14 Alianza Universidad	17	17	5	2	10	23	33	-10
15 Atletico Grau	16	17	4	4	9	19	24	-5
16 Sport Boys	16	17	4	4	9	14	25	-11
17 Juan Pablo II College	14	17	3	5	9	13	23	-10
18 UTC Cajamarca	13	17	3	4	10	16	28	-12
19 EM Deportivo Binacional	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Apertura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Universitario De Deportes	39	18	12	3	3	38	12	26
02 Alianza Lima	37	18	11	4	3	23	11	12
03 Cusco FC	34	18	10	4	4	34	20	14
04 Alianza Atletico Sullana	34	18	11	1	6	28	18	10
05 Sporting Cristal	32	18	10	2	6	31	24	7
06 FBC Melgar	31	18	8	7	3	28	20	8
07 Sport Huancayo	30	18	9	3	6	23	21	2
08 Deportivo Garcilaso	27	18	8	3	7	28	19	9
09 AD Tarma	24	18	6	6	6	24	30	-6
10 Cienciano	23	18	5	8	5	29	25	4
11 Los Chankas	23	18	5	8	5	24	25	-1
12 Atletico Grau	22	18	5	7	6	23	24	-1
13 Sport Boys	20	18	5	5	8	26	28	-2
14 Juan Pablo II College	19	18	5	4	9	20	28	-8
15 UTC Cajamarca	19	18	5	4	9	17	34	-17
16 EM Deportivo Binacional	18	18	4	6	8	20	33	-13
17 Ayacucho Futbol Club	15	18	4	3	11	14	27	-13
18 Comerciantes Unidos	11	18	2	5	11	17	31	-14
19 Alianza Universidad	11	18	2	5	11	16	33	-17

Head To Head

04/05/2025 16:30

Alianza Atletico Sullana

2 - 0

AD Tarma

PER D1

28/09/2024 16:00

AD Tarma

0 - 1

Alianza Atletico Sullana

PER D1

28/04/2024 15:30

Alianza Atletico Sullana

1 - 2

AD Tarma

PER D1

24/09/2023 14:00

AD Tarma

1 - 0

Alianza Atletico Sullana

PER D1

06/05/2023 14:00

Alianza Atletico Sullana

1 - 1

AD Tarma

PER D1

10/09/2022 14:15

Alianza Atletico Sullana

2 - 2

AD Tarma

PER D1

AD Tarma

33%

Draw

33%

Alianza Atletico Sullana

33%

AD Tarma Last 6 matches

22/09/2025 20:15

Cusco FC 0 - 2 AD Tarma PER D1

16/09/2025 16:00

AD Tarma 3 - 1 UTC Cajamarca PER D1

31/08/2025 16:00

Atletico Grau 2 - 0 AD Tarma PER D1

24/08/2025 14:00

AD Tarma 2 - 2 FBC Melgar PER D1

16/08/2025 21:00

Alianza Lima 3 - 1 AD Tarma PER D1

09/08/2025 16:15

AD Tarma 1 - 0 Sport Huancayo PER D1

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Alianza Atletico Sullana

22/09/2025 16:00

Alianza Atletico Sullana 3 - 0 Ayacucho Futbol Club PER D1

17/09/2025 14:00

Sporting Cristal 0 - 0 Alianza Atletico Sullana PER D1

13/09/2025 16:15

Alianza Atletico Sullana 0 - 1 Juan Pablo II College PER D1

17/08/2025 19:30

Cusco FC 1 - 0 Alianza Atletico Sullana PER D1

11/08/2025 16:00

Alianza Atletico Sullana 2 - 0 UTC Cajamarca PER D1

06/08/2025 18:30

EM Deportivo Binacional 2 - 0 Alianza Atletico Sullana PER D1

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Peru Primera Division

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

AD Tarma

Alianza Atletico Sullana

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.77

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.83

Scored

Avg. per game

0.60

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.43

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 35 matches

YesNo

19 (54%)16 (46%)

In last 35 matches

NoYes

15 (43%)20 (57%)

AD Tarma

Recent matches

Alianza Atletico Sullana

Under /Over

(69%)24 11(31%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(54%)19 16(46%)

Under /Over

(26%)9 26(74%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(29%)10 25(71%)

Under /Over

(43%)15 20(57%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(26%)9 26(74%)

/Yes

(49%)17 18(51%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(34%)12 23(66%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

AD Tarma

Alianza Atletico Sullana

Shots

AD Tarma

Total shots

13.69 avg / game

Blocked

39 total

Avg. 3.00

Alianza Atletico Sullana

Total shots

11.66 avg / game

Blocked

44 total

Avg. 2.59

AD Tarma Pass Alianza Atletico Sullana

Total passes

11671

Avg. 343 / game

Accurate

80%

Ball possession

52%

Total passes

8449

Avg. 256 / game

Accurate

71%

Ball possession

44%

TOTAL ATTACKS

AD Tarma

2999

Avg. 85.69 / game

Alianza Atletico Sullana

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

Alianza Atletico Sullana

1198

Avg. 34.23 / game

OTHERS

AD Tarma

Played games

Alianza Atletico Sullana

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.29

Clean sheets

0.43

4.26

149

Corners

134

3.83

10.49

367

Throw-ins

378

10.80

1.97

Offsides

1.20

2.40

GK saves

2.29

AD Tarma

DISCIPLINARY

Alianza Atletico Sullana

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.06

2.34

0.31

0.17

11.51

403

Fouls

447

12.77

10.43

365

Tackles

344

9.83

NEXT MATCHES

Alianza Atletico Sullana

PER

08/22

Juan Pablo II College

NEXT MATCHES

Alianza Atletico Sullana

Alianza Atletico Sullana

PER

08/22

Alianza Atletico Sullana

Alianza Atletico Sullana

PER

09/05

Alianza Atletico Sullana

UTC Cajamarca

PER

How We Build the AD Tarma vs Alianza Atletico Sullana Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for AD Tarma vs Alianza Atletico Sullana on 26 September 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Peru Primera Division fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

AD Tarma vs Alianza Atletico Sullana Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess AD Tarma's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Alianza Atletico Sullana's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Peru Primera Division Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Peru Primera Division standings and the Peru Primera Division form table to understand exactly where AD Tarma and Alianza Atletico Sullana sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Peru Primera Division predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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