AD Ceuta vs Malaga: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 16 May

AD Ceuta
DWDLW
11th place in Spanish Segunda Division
2
1-4
FT
16/05/2026 10:15
Malaga
LWWWD
4th place in Spanish Segunda Division
Spanish Segunda Division
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for AD Ceuta vs Malaga on 16 May 2026 (kick-off: 10:15) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full AD Ceuta vs Malaga preview before placing your bet.

  • AD Ceuta will face Malaga in Spanish Segunda Division on May 16, 2026 at 10:15.
  • AD Ceuta are currently 11th with 61 points after 42 matches.
  • Malaga sit 4th with 73 points from 42 matches.
  • Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 2 - 1 and average coefficient 1.70.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
favorite match
10:15

2026-05-16

AD Ceuta vs Malaga - Prediction & Odds

AD Ceuta
AD Ceuta
Malaga
Malaga
2026-05-16 10:15
24
24
52
2
2 - 1
2 - 1
2.75
1.70
FT
1-4 0-3
-
weather
21°C
STANDINGS UP TO 16/05/2026
Overall Table PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Racing Santander Racing Santander
82 42 25 7 10 90 61 29
02 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna
77 42 22 11 9 65 44 21
03 Almeria Almeria
74 42 22 8 12 81 63 18
04 Malaga Malaga
73 42 21 10 11 75 52 23
05 Las Palmas Las Palmas
73 42 20 13 9 57 40 17
06 Castellon Castellon
72 42 20 12 10 70 51 19
07 Burgos Burgos
72 42 20 12 10 48 33 15
08 Eibar Eibar
67 42 19 10 13 52 40 12
09 Cordoba Cordoba
61 42 17 10 15 57 61 -4
10 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon
61 42 18 7 17 60 54 6
11 AD Ceuta AD Ceuta
61 42 17 10 15 51 63 -12
12 Albacete Albacete
59 42 16 11 15 56 55 1
13 Andorra FC Andorra FC
58 42 16 10 16 62 54 8
14 Granada CF Granada CF
48 42 12 12 18 50 56 -6
15 Real Sociedad B Real Sociedad B
47 42 12 11 19 52 61 -9
16 Leganes Leganes
46 42 11 13 18 43 51 -8
17 Real Valladolid Real Valladolid
46 42 12 10 20 44 57 -13
18 Cadiz Cadiz
43 42 11 10 21 41 61 -20
19 Mirandes Mirandes
40 42 10 10 22 47 69 -22
20 SD Huesca SD Huesca
38 42 9 11 22 41 63 -22
21 Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa
37 42 9 10 23 39 68 -29
22 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza
36 42 8 12 22 35 59 -24
AD Ceuta AD Ceuta Last 6 matches
30/05/2026 21:15
AD Ceuta 1 - 0 Albacete
Spanish La Liga 2
24/05/2026 21:15
Andorra FC 0 - 2 AD Ceuta
Spanish La Liga 2
16/05/2026 21:15
AD Ceuta 1 - 4 Malaga
Spanish La Liga 2
09/05/2026 19:00
AD Ceuta 1 - 1 Castellon
Spanish La Liga 2
03/05/2026 21:15
Sporting Gijon 1 - 2 AD Ceuta
Spanish La Liga 2
27/04/2026 02:00
AD Ceuta 0 - 0 Racing Santander
Spanish La Liga 2
Win
50%
Draw
33%
Lost
17%
Last 6 matches Malaga Malaga
21/06/2026 02:30
Almeria 1 - 2 Malaga
Spanish La Liga 2
15/06/2026 02:00
Malaga 0 - 0 Almeria
Spanish La Liga 2
11/06/2026 02:00
Malaga 1 - 1 Las Palmas
Spanish La Liga 2
08/06/2026 02:00
Las Palmas 0 - 1 Malaga
Spanish La Liga 2
31/05/2026 23:30
Real Zaragoza 0 - 2 Malaga
Spanish La Liga 2
24/05/2026 23:30
Malaga 1 - 1 Racing Santander
Spanish La Liga 2
Win
50%
Draw
50%
Lost
0%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues Spanish Segunda Divisi...
Played games
AD Ceuta
AD Ceuta
42
 Malaga
Malaga
46
Goals
Scored
51
Avg. per game
1.21
Conceded
63
Avg. per game
1.50
Scored
79
Avg. per game
1.72
Conceded
54
Avg. per game
1.17
Scored a goal
In last 6 matches
YesNo
5 (83%)1 (17%)
In last 6 matches
NoYes
5 (83%)1 (17%)
In last 42 matches
YesNo
31 (74%)11 (26%)
In last 42 matches
NoYes
39 (85%)7 (15%)
AD Ceuta

AD Ceuta

Recent matches

Malaga

Malaga

Under /Over

(74%)31 11(26%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(76%)34 11(24%)

Under /Over

(40%)17 25(60%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

Under /Over

(48%)20 22(52%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

/Yes

(55%)23 19(45%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(60%)27 18(40%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
AD Ceuta AD Ceuta
Malaga Malaga
Shots
AD Ceuta
AD Ceuta
Total shots
10.44 avg / game
Blocked
110 total
Avg. 2.89
Malaga
Malaga
Total shots
14.00 avg / game
Blocked
161 total
Avg. 3.74
AD Ceuta AD Ceuta Pass Malaga Malaga
Total passes
16096
Avg. 393 / game
Accurate
79%
Ball possession
51%
Total passes
19605
Avg. 436 / game
Accurate
83%
Ball possession
52%
TOTAL ATTACKS
AD Ceuta
AD Ceuta
3502
Avg. 83.38 / game
 Malaga
Malaga
4232
Avg. 92.00 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
AD Ceuta
AD Ceuta
1749
Avg. 41.64 / game
 Malaga
Malaga
2100
Avg. 45.65 / game
OTHERS
AD Ceuta
AD Ceuta
42
Played games
Malaga
Malaga
46
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.29
12
Clean sheets
13
0.28
3.76
158
Corners
197
4.28
19.64
825
Throw-ins
919
19.98
1.67
70
Offsides
75
1.63
3.29
138
GK saves
143
3.11
AD Ceuta
AD Ceuta
DISCIPLINARY
Malaga
Malaga
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
2.55
107
Yellow card
99
2.15
0.12
5
Red card
7
0.15
13.64
573
Fouls
536
11.65
9.52
400
Tackles
479
10.41
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How We Build the AD Ceuta vs Malaga Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for AD Ceuta vs Malaga on 16 May 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Spanish Segunda Division fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

AD Ceuta vs Malaga Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess AD Ceuta's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Malaga's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Spanish Segunda Division Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Spanish Segunda Division standings and the Spanish Segunda Division form table to understand exactly where AD Ceuta and Malaga sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Spanish Segunda Division predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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