AC Milan vs Napoli: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 11 February

AC Milan
LDDWL
2nd place in Italian Serie A
1
1-0
FT
11/02/2024 15:45
Napoli
LDDLD
10th place in Italian Serie A
Italian Serie A
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for AC Milan vs Napoli on 11 February 2024 (kick-off: 15:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full AC Milan vs Napoli preview before placing your bet.

  • AC Milan will face Napoli in Italian Serie A on February 11, 2024 at 15:45.
  • AC Milan are currently 2nd with 75 points after 38 matches.
  • Napoli sit 10th with 53 points from 38 matches.
  • Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 2 - 1 and average coefficient 1.95.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
favorite match
15:45

2024-02-11

AC Milan vs Napoli - Prediction & Odds

AC Milan
AC Milan
Napoli
Napoli
2024-02-11 15:45
46
27
27
1
2 - 1
2 - 1
2.75
1.95
FT
1-0 1-0
-
weather
9℃～10℃
STANDINGS UP TO 11/02/2024
Overall Table PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Inter Milan Inter Milan
94 38 29 7 2 89 22 67
02 AC Milan AC Milan
75 38 22 9 7 76 49 27
03 Juventus Juventus
71 38 19 14 5 54 31 23
04 Atalanta Atalanta
69 38 21 6 11 72 42 30
05 Bologna Bologna
68 38 18 14 6 54 32 22
06 AS Roma AS Roma
63 38 18 9 11 65 46 19
07 Lazio Lazio
61 38 18 7 13 49 39 10
08 Fiorentina Fiorentina
60 38 17 9 12 61 46 15
09 Torino Torino
53 38 13 14 11 36 36 0
10 Napoli Napoli
53 38 13 14 11 55 48 7
11 Genoa Genoa
49 38 12 13 13 45 45 0
12 Monza Monza
45 38 11 12 15 39 51 -12
13 Verona Verona
38 38 9 11 18 38 51 -13
14 Lecce Lecce
38 38 8 14 16 32 54 -22
15 Udinese Udinese
37 38 6 19 13 37 53 -16
16 Cagliari Cagliari
36 38 8 12 18 42 68 -26
17 Empoli Empoli
36 38 9 9 20 29 54 -25
18 Frosinone Frosinone
35 38 8 11 19 44 69 -25
19 Sassuolo Sassuolo
30 38 7 9 22 43 75 -32
20 Salernitana Salernitana
17 38 2 11 25 32 81 -49
Head To Head
29/10/2023 15:45
Napoli Napoli
2 - 2
AC Milan AC Milan
ITA D1
18/04/2023 15:00
Napoli Napoli
1 - 1
AC Milan AC Milan
UEFA CL
12/04/2023 15:00
AC Milan AC Milan
1 - 0
Napoli Napoli
UEFA CL
02/04/2023 14:45
Napoli Napoli
0 - 4
AC Milan AC Milan
ITA D1
18/09/2022 14:45
AC Milan AC Milan
1 - 2
Napoli Napoli
ITA D1
06/03/2022 15:45
Napoli Napoli
0 - 1
AC Milan AC Milan
ITA D1
Napoli
1
17%
Draw
2
33%
AC Milan
3
50%
AC Milan AC Milan Last 6 matches
03/02/2024 13:00
Frosinone 2 - 3 AC Milan
ITA D1
27/01/2024 15:45
AC Milan 2 - 2 Bologna
ITA D1
20/01/2024 15:45
Udinese 2 - 3 AC Milan
ITA D1
14/01/2024 15:45
AC Milan 3 - 1 AS Roma
ITA D1
10/01/2024 16:00
AC Milan 1 - 2 Atalanta
ITA Cup
07/01/2024 07:30
Empoli 0 - 3 AC Milan
ITA D1
Win
67%
Draw
17%
Lost
17%
Last 6 matches Napoli Napoli
04/02/2024 10:00
Napoli 2 - 1 Verona
ITA D1
28/01/2024 13:00
Lazio 0 - 0 Napoli
ITA D1
22/01/2024 15:00
Napoli 0 - 1 Inter Milan
ITA SC
18/01/2024 15:00
Napoli 3 - 0 Fiorentina
ITA SC
13/01/2024 10:00
Napoli 2 - 1 Salernitana
ITA D1
07/01/2024 10:00
Torino 3 - 0 Napoli
ITA D1
Win
50%
Draw
17%
Lost
33%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues Italian Serie A

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games
AC Milan
AC Milan
38
 Napoli
Napoli
38
Goals
Scored
40
Avg. per game
1.05
Conceded
31
Avg. per game
0.82
Scored
36
Avg. per game
0.95
Conceded
28
Avg. per game
0.74
Scored a goal
In last 6 matches
YesNo
5 (83%)1 (17%)
In last 6 matches
NoYes
3 (50%)3 (50%)
In last 38 matches
YesNo
27 (71%)11 (29%)
In last 38 matches
NoYes
23 (61%)15 (39%)
AC Milan

AC Milan

Recent matches

Napoli

Napoli

Under /Over

(74%)28 10(26%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(79%)30 8(21%)

Under /Over

(53%)20 18(47%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(29%)11 27(71%)

Under /Over

(55%)21 17(45%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(55%)21 17(45%)

/Yes

(61%)23 15(39%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(58%)22 16(42%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
AC Milan AC Milan
Napoli Napoli
Shots
AC Milan
AC Milan
Total shots
14.84 avg / game
Blocked
134 total
Avg. 3.72
Napoli
Napoli
Total shots
17.08 avg / game
Blocked
186 total
Avg. 4.89
AC Milan AC Milan Pass Napoli Napoli
Total passes
19132
Avg. 503 / game
Accurate
87%
Ball possession
57%
Total passes
21167
Avg. 557 / game
Accurate
87%
Ball possession
61%
TOTAL ATTACKS
AC Milan
AC Milan
3989
Avg. 104.97 / game
 Napoli
Napoli
4322
Avg. 113.74 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
AC Milan
AC Milan
1707
Avg. 44.92 / game
 Napoli
Napoli
2115
Avg. 55.66 / game
OTHERS
AC Milan
AC Milan
38
Played games
Napoli
Napoli
38
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.34
13
Clean sheets
7
0.18
5.05
192
Corners
240
6.32
16.16
614
Throw-ins
803
21.13
1.50
57
Offsides
69
1.82
3.05
116
GK saves
81
2.13
AC Milan
AC Milan
DISCIPLINARY
Napoli
Napoli
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
2.11
80
Yellow card
76
2.00
0.21
8
Red card
5
0.13
11.24
427
Fouls
382
10.05
15.24
579
Tackles
576
15.16
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How We Build the AC Milan vs Napoli Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for AC Milan vs Napoli on 11 February 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Italian Serie A fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

AC Milan vs Napoli Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess AC Milan's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Napoli's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Italian Serie A Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Italian Serie A standings and the Italian Serie A form table to understand exactly where AC Milan and Napoli sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Italian Serie A predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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