AC Milan vs Napoli: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 11 February

AC Milan
LDDWL
2nd place in Italian Serie A
1
1-0
FT
11/02/2024 15:45
Napoli
LDDLD
10th place in Italian Serie A
Italian Serie A
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for AC Milan vs Napoli on 11 February 2024 (kick-off: 15:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full AC Milan vs Napoli preview before placing your bet.

  • AC Milan are currently 2nd with 75 points after 38 matches.
  • Napoli sit 10th with 53 points from 38 matches.
  • Our algorithm prediction: AC Milan to win with probability 46%.
  • Head-to-head history favors AC Milan, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Napoli have one win, while 2 matches ended in draws.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
favorite match
15:45

2024-02-11

AC Milan vs Napoli - Prediction & Odds

AC Milan
AC Milan
Napoli
Napoli
2024-02-11 15:45
46
27
27
1
2 - 1
2 - 1
2.75
1.95
FT
1-0 1-0
-
weather
9℃～10℃
STANDINGS UP TO 11/02/2024
Overall Table PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Inter Milan Inter Milan
94 38 29 7 2 89 22 67
02 AC Milan AC Milan
75 38 22 9 7 76 49 27
03 Juventus Juventus
71 38 19 14 5 54 31 23
04 Atalanta Atalanta
69 38 21 6 11 72 42 30
05 Bologna Bologna
68 38 18 14 6 54 32 22
06 AS Roma AS Roma
63 38 18 9 11 65 46 19
07 Lazio Lazio
61 38 18 7 13 49 39 10
08 Fiorentina Fiorentina
60 38 17 9 12 61 46 15
09 Torino Torino
53 38 13 14 11 36 36 0
10 Napoli Napoli
53 38 13 14 11 55 48 7
11 Genoa Genoa
49 38 12 13 13 45 45 0
12 Monza Monza
45 38 11 12 15 39 51 -12
13 Verona Verona
38 38 9 11 18 38 51 -13
14 Lecce Lecce
38 38 8 14 16 32 54 -22
15 Udinese Udinese
37 38 6 19 13 37 53 -16
16 Cagliari Cagliari
36 38 8 12 18 42 68 -26
17 Empoli Empoli
36 38 9 9 20 29 54 -25
18 Frosinone Frosinone
35 38 8 11 19 44 69 -25
19 Sassuolo Sassuolo
30 38 7 9 22 43 75 -32
20 Salernitana Salernitana
17 38 2 11 25 32 81 -49
Head To Head
29/10/2023 15:45
Napoli Napoli
2 - 2
AC Milan AC Milan
ITA D1
18/04/2023 15:00
Napoli Napoli
1 - 1
AC Milan AC Milan
UEFA CL
12/04/2023 15:00
AC Milan AC Milan
1 - 0
Napoli Napoli
UEFA CL
02/04/2023 14:45
Napoli Napoli
0 - 4
AC Milan AC Milan
ITA D1
18/09/2022 14:45
AC Milan AC Milan
1 - 2
Napoli Napoli
ITA D1
06/03/2022 15:45
Napoli Napoli
0 - 1
AC Milan AC Milan
ITA D1
AC Milan
3
50%
Draw
2
33%
Napoli
1
17%
AC Milan AC Milan Last 6 matches
03/02/2024 13:00
Frosinone 2 - 3 AC Milan ITA D1
27/01/2024 15:45
AC Milan 2 - 2 Bologna ITA D1
20/01/2024 15:45
Udinese 2 - 3 AC Milan ITA D1
14/01/2024 15:45
AC Milan 3 - 1 AS Roma ITA D1
10/01/2024 16:00
AC Milan 1 - 2 Atalanta ITA Cup
07/01/2024 07:30
Empoli 0 - 3 AC Milan ITA D1
Win
67%
Draw
17%
Lost
17%
Last 6 matches Napoli Napoli
04/02/2024 10:00
Napoli 2 - 1 Verona ITA D1
28/01/2024 13:00
Lazio 0 - 0 Napoli ITA D1
22/01/2024 15:00
Napoli 0 - 1 Inter Milan ITA SC
18/01/2024 15:00
Napoli 3 - 0 Fiorentina ITA SC
13/01/2024 10:00
Napoli 2 - 1 Salernitana ITA D1
07/01/2024 10:00
Torino 3 - 0 Napoli ITA D1
Win
50%
Draw
17%
Lost
33%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues Italian Serie A

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games
AC Milan
AC Milan
300
 Napoli
Napoli
300
Goals
Scored
270
Avg. per game
0.90
Conceded
183
Avg. per game
0.61
Scored
288
Avg. per game
0.96
Conceded
184
Avg. per game
0.61
Scored a goal
In last 6 matches
YesNo
3 (50%)3 (50%)
In last 6 matches
NoYes
3 (50%)3 (50%)
In last 300 matches
YesNo
178 (59%)122 (41%)
In last 300 matches
NoYes
190 (63%)110 (37%)
AC Milan

AC Milan

Recent matches

Napoli

Napoli

Under /Over

(69%)31 14(31%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(73%)33 12(27%)

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

/Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
AC Milan AC Milan
Napoli Napoli
Shots
AC Milan
AC Milan
Total shots
14.07 avg / game
Blocked
911 total
Avg. 3.78
Napoli
Napoli
Total shots
14.52 avg / game
Blocked
1014 total
Avg. 4.17
AC Milan AC Milan Pass Napoli Napoli
Total passes
129020
Avg. 471 / game
Accurate
85%
Ball possession
54%
Total passes
140567
Avg. 541 / game
Accurate
86%
Ball possession
57%
TOTAL ATTACKS
AC Milan
AC Milan
30578
Avg. 101.93 / game
 Napoli
Napoli
31371
Avg. 104.57 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
AC Milan
AC Milan
14133
Avg. 47.11 / game
 Napoli
Napoli
15508
Avg. 51.69 / game
OTHERS
AC Milan
AC Milan
300
Played games
Napoli
Napoli
300
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.34
102
Clean sheets
112
0.37
4.89
1468
Corners
1688
5.63
15.04
4513
Throw-ins
4893
16.31
1.62
486
Offsides
467
1.56
2.69
806
GK saves
642
2.14
AC Milan
AC Milan
DISCIPLINARY
Napoli
Napoli
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
1.86
558
Yellow card
450
1.50
0.10
29
Red card
18
0.06
10.94
3281
Fouls
3037
10.12
13.40
4021
Tackles
3447
11.49
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How We Build the AC Milan vs Napoli Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for AC Milan vs Napoli on 11 February 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Italian Serie A fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

AC Milan vs Napoli Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess AC Milan's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Napoli's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Italian Serie A Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Italian Serie A standings and the Italian Serie A form table to understand exactly where AC Milan and Napoli sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Italian Serie A predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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