AC Milan vs Borussia Dortmund: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 28 November

AC Milan

W D W L D

3rd place in Group F

1-3

28/11/2023 20:00

Borussia Dortmund

W L W L W

1st place in Group F

UEFA Champions League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for AC Milan vs Borussia Dortmund on 28 November 2023 (kick-off: 20:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full AC Milan vs Borussia Dortmund preview before placing your bet.

AC Milan are currently 3rd with 8 points after 6 matches.
Borussia Dortmund sit 1st with 11 points from 6 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: AC Milan to win with probability 45%.
Head-to-head history favors Borussia Dortmund, who have won 1 of the last 2 meetings. AC Milan have no wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

20:00

2023-11-28

AC Milan vs Borussia Dortmund - Prediction & Odds

AC Milan

Borussia Dortmund

2023-11-28 20:00

STANDINGS UP TO 28/11/2023

Group F	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Borussia Dortmund	11	6	3	2	1	7	4	3
02 Paris Saint Germain (PSG)	8	6	2	2	2	9	8	1
03 AC Milan	8	6	2	2	2	5	8	-3
04 Newcastle United	5	6	1	2	3	6	7	-1

Head To Head

04/10/2023 19:00

Borussia Dortmund

0 - 0

AC Milan

UEFA CL

18/07/2017 11:20

AC Milan

1 - 3

Borussia Dortmund

ICC

AC Milan

Draw

50%

Borussia Dortmund

50%

AC Milan Last 6 matches

25/11/2023 19:45

AC Milan 1 - 0 Fiorentina ITA D1

11/11/2023 14:00

Lecce 2 - 2 AC Milan ITA D1

07/11/2023 20:00

AC Milan 2 - 1 Paris Saint Germain (PSG) UEFA CL

04/11/2023 19:45

AC Milan 0 - 1 Udinese ITA D1

29/10/2023 19:45

Napoli 2 - 2 AC Milan ITA D1

25/10/2023 19:00

Paris Saint Germain (PSG) 3 - 0 AC Milan UEFA CL

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Borussia Dortmund

25/11/2023 14:30

Borussia Dortmund 4 - 2 Borussia Monchengladbach GER D1

11/11/2023 14:30

VfB Stuttgart 2 - 1 Borussia Dortmund GER D1

07/11/2023 17:45

Borussia Dortmund 2 - 0 Newcastle United UEFA CL

04/11/2023 17:30

Borussia Dortmund 0 - 4 Bayern Munchen GER D1

01/11/2023 17:00

Borussia Dortmund 1 - 0 TSG Hoffenheim GERC

29/10/2023 14:30

Eintracht Frankfurt 3 - 3 Borussia Dortmund GER D1

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues UEFA Champions League

Played games

AC Milan

Borussia Dortmund

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.00

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.33

Scored

Avg. per game

1.43

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.71

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

2 (67%)1 (33%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

AC Milan

Recent matches

Borussia Dortmund

Under /Over

(67%)2 1(33%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(71%)5 2(29%)

Under /Over

(67%)2 1(33%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(14%)1 6(86%)

Under /Over

(33%)1 2(67%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(43%)3 4(57%)

/Yes

(67%)2 1(33%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(29%)2 5(71%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

AC Milan

Borussia Dortmund

Shots

AC Milan

Total shots

19.33 avg / game

Blocked

15 total

Avg. 5.00

Borussia Dortmund

Total shots

15.00 avg / game

Blocked

28 total

Avg. 4.00

AC Milan Pass Borussia Dortmund

Total passes

1155

Avg. 385 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

49%

Total passes

3138

Avg. 448 / game

Accurate

83%

Ball possession

47%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

AC Milan

Played games

Borussia Dortmund

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.33

Clean sheets

0.57

6.33

Corners

5.86

18.00

Throw-ins

117

16.71

1.67

Offsides

2.00

2.33

GK saves

3.71

AC Milan

DISCIPLINARY

Borussia Dortmund

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.00

1.71

0.00

0.00

10.00

Fouls

10.57

14.33

Tackles

161

23.00

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the AC Milan vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for AC Milan vs Borussia Dortmund on 28 November 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this UEFA Champions League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

AC Milan vs Borussia Dortmund Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess AC Milan's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Borussia Dortmund's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

UEFA Champions League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live UEFA Champions League standings and the UEFA Champions League form table to understand exactly where AC Milan and Borussia Dortmund sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our UEFA Champions League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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