Abergavenny vs Baglan Dragons: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 18 August

Abergavenny
LLLLL
16th place in South
2 - 3
FT
18/08/2023 14:30
Baglan Dragons
LDWDD
10th place in South
Wales FAW Championship
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Abergavenny vs Baglan Dragons on 18 August 2023 (kick-off: 14:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Abergavenny vs Baglan Dragons preview before placing your bet.

  • Abergavenny are currently 16th with 8 points after 30 matches.
  • Baglan Dragons sit 10th with 41 points from 30 matches.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
STANDINGS UP TO 18/08/2023
South PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Briton Ferry Athletic Briton Ferry Athletic
71 30 23 2 5 87 39 48
02 Llanelli Llanelli
64 30 20 4 6 80 40 40
03 Ammanford Ammanford
57 30 17 6 7 60 42 18
04 Cambrian Clydach Cambrian Clydach
50 30 14 8 8 60 37 23
05 Caerau Ely Caerau Ely
49 30 15 4 11 72 60 12
06 Carmarthen Carmarthen
47 30 12 11 7 50 39 11
07 Afan Lido Afan Lido
46 30 14 4 12 68 56 12
08 Goytre Utd Goytre Utd
43 30 12 7 11 58 59 -1
09 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic
42 30 12 6 12 69 64 5
10 Baglan Dragons Baglan Dragons
41 30 11 8 11 46 41 5
11 Trefelin Trefelin
38 30 10 8 12 47 63 -16
12 Llantwit Major Llantwit Major
35 30 9 8 13 44 54 -10
13 Taffs Well Taffs Well
32 30 8 8 14 44 49 -5
14 Pontardawe Town Pontardawe Town
32 30 8 8 14 52 70 -18
15 Abertillery Bluebirds Abertillery Bluebirds
15 30 3 6 21 34 94 -60
16 Abergavenny Abergavenny
8 30 2 2 26 20 84 -64
North PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Holywell Holywell
81 30 26 3 1 79 17 62
02 Flint Town Flint Town
78 30 25 3 2 93 30 63
03 Airbus UK Broughton Airbus UK Broughton
74 30 23 5 2 84 28 56
04 Mold Alexandra Mold Alexandra
55 30 18 1 11 66 50 16
05 Bangor 1876 Bangor 1876
53 30 17 2 11 62 55 7
06 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town
49 30 15 4 11 71 60 11
07 Ruthin Town FC Ruthin Town FC
42 29 12 6 11 56 49 7
08 Guilsfield Guilsfield
40 30 11 7 12 48 46 2
09 Caersws Caersws
39 30 10 9 11 60 53 7
10 Gresford Gresford
37 30 10 7 13 47 54 -7
11 Buckley Town Buckley Town
33 29 9 6 14 51 58 -7
12 Llandudno Llandudno
31 30 10 1 19 59 80 -21
13 Prestatyn Town FC Prestatyn Town FC
26 30 7 5 18 39 74 -35
14 Porthmadog Porthmadog
22 30 6 4 20 35 66 -31
15 Chirk AAA Chirk AAA
13 30 3 4 23 32 82 -50
16 Llanidloes Town Llanidloes Town
9 30 2 3 25 25 105 -80
Abergavenny Abergavenny Last 6 matches
11/08/2023 14:30
Abergavenny 1 - 2 Afan Lido WAL FAWC
08/08/2023 14:30
Abergavenny 0 - 1 Llantwit Major WAL FAWC
29/07/2023 09:30
Caerau Ely 4 - 0 Abergavenny WAL FAWC
21/07/2023 14:30
Abergavenny 0 - 2 Briton Ferry Athletic WAL CLC
22/04/2023 09:30
Abergavenny 0 - 2 Briton Ferry Athletic WAL FAWC
07/04/2023 09:30
Carmarthen 4 - 1 Abergavenny WAL FAWC
Win
0%
Draw
0%
Lost
100%
Last 6 matches Baglan Dragons Baglan Dragons
12/08/2023 09:30
Llantwit Major 1 - 4 Baglan Dragons WAL FAWC
08/08/2023 14:30
Carmarthen 0 - 0 Baglan Dragons WAL FAWC
29/07/2023 09:30
Pontardawe Town 1 - 2 Baglan Dragons WAL FAWC
21/07/2023 13:30
Baglan Dragons 1 - 3 Afan Lido WAL CLC
17/09/2022 09:30
Baglan Dragons 1 - 1 Pontardawe Town WALC
Win
40%
Draw
40%
Lost
20%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues Wales FAW Championship
Played games
Abergavenny
Abergavenny
66
 Baglan Dragons
Baglan Dragons
102
Goals
Scored
61
Avg. per game
0.92
Conceded
154
Avg. per game
2.33
Scored
131
Avg. per game
1.28
Conceded
149
Avg. per game
1.46
Scored a goal
In last 6 matches
YesNo
1 (17%)5 (83%)
In last 6 matches
NoYes
2 (33%)4 (67%)
In last 66 matches
YesNo
41 (62%)25 (38%)
In last 66 matches
NoYes
68 (67%)34 (33%)
Abergavenny

Abergavenny

Recent matches

Baglan Dragons

Baglan Dragons

Under /Over

(82%)37 8(18%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

Under /Over

(53%)24 21(47%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

/Yes

(44%)20 25(56%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
Abergavenny Abergavenny
Baglan Dragons Baglan Dragons
Shots
Abergavenny
Abergavenny
Total shots
6.32 avg / game
Blocked
0 total
Avg. —
Baglan Dragons
Baglan Dragons
Total shots
9.20 avg / game
Blocked
0 total
Avg. —
Abergavenny Abergavenny Pass Baglan Dragons Baglan Dragons
Total passes
—
Avg. — / game
Accurate
—
Ball possession
44%
Total passes
—
Avg. — / game
Accurate
—
Ball possession
48%
TOTAL ATTACKS
Abergavenny
Abergavenny
3664
Avg. 55.52 / game
 Baglan Dragons
Baglan Dragons
6680
Avg. 65.49 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
Abergavenny
Abergavenny
1741
Avg. 26.38 / game
 Baglan Dragons
Baglan Dragons
3683
Avg. 36.11 / game
OTHERS
Abergavenny
Abergavenny
66
Played games
Baglan Dragons
Baglan Dragons
102
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.11
7
Clean sheets
24
0.24
2.76
182
Corners
324
3.18
0.00
0
Throw-ins
0
0.00
0.00
0
Offsides
44
0.43
0.00
0
GK saves
0
0.00
Abergavenny
Abergavenny
DISCIPLINARY
Baglan Dragons
Baglan Dragons
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
1.23
81
Yellow card
111
1.09
0.14
9
Red card
13
0.13
0.00
0
Fouls
170
1.67
0.00
0
Tackles
0
0.00
NEXT MATCHES
No upcoming matches.
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How We Build the Abergavenny vs Baglan Dragons Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Abergavenny vs Baglan Dragons on 18 August 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Wales FAW Championship fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Abergavenny vs Baglan Dragons Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Abergavenny's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Baglan Dragons's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Wales FAW Championship Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Wales FAW Championship standings and the Wales FAW Championship form table to understand exactly where Abergavenny and Baglan Dragons sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Wales FAW Championship predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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