Riga FC vs Jelgava: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 16 May

Riga FC

WWWDW

2nd place in Latvian Higher League

2-2

Riga FC
Win Probability 80%

16/05/2026 12:00

Jelgava

DLWWW

6th place in Latvian Higher League

Latvian Higher League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Riga FC vs Jelgava on 16 May 2026 (kick-off: 12:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Riga FC vs Jelgava preview before placing your bet.

Riga FC will face Jelgava in Latvian Higher League on May 16, 2026 at 12:00.
Riga FC are currently 2nd with 55 points after 22 matches.
Jelgava sit 6th with 25 points from 22 matches.
Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 3 - 1 and average coefficient 1.17.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

12:00

2026-05-16

Riga FC vs Jelgava - Prediction & Odds

Riga FC

Jelgava

2026-05-16 12:00

STANDINGS UP TO 16/05/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 FK Rigas Futbola skola	56	22	18	2	2	54	16	38
02 Riga FC	55	22	17	4	1	65	19	46
03 FK Auda Riga	40	22	12	4	6	37	26	11
04 FK Liepaja	28	22	8	4	10	28	34	-6
05 BFC Daugavpils	27	22	7	6	9	25	29	-4
06 Jelgava	25	22	6	7	9	24	38	-14
07 Super Nova	24	22	7	3	12	23	35	-12
08 Grobina	20	22	4	8	10	15	33	-18
09 Tukums-2000	17	22	3	8	11	37	44	-7
10 Ogre United	13	22	3	4	15	21	55	-34

Riga FC Last 6 matches

11/07/2026 00:00

Saldus SS/Leevon 2 - 3 Riga FC

Latvia Cup

07/07/2026 23:00

FC Ararat Armenia 2 - 0 Riga FC

UEFA Champions League

03/07/2026 23:00

Riga FC 3 - 0 Jelgava

Latvian Higher League

29/06/2026 22:00

FK Auda Riga 0 - 2 Riga FC

Latvian Higher League

25/06/2026 22:00

BFC Daugavpils 0 - 0 Riga FC

Latvian Higher League

21/06/2026 22:00

Riga FC 4 - 0 FK Liepaja

Latvian Higher League

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Jelgava

03/07/2026 23:00

Riga FC 3 - 0 Jelgava

Latvian Higher League

29/06/2026 22:00

Jelgava 2 - 0 Grobina

Latvian Higher League

26/06/2026 00:00

Super Nova 1 - 5 Jelgava

Latvian Higher League

21/06/2026 20:00

Jelgava 4 - 1 Tukums-2000

Latvian Higher League

17/06/2026 22:00

Jelgava 0 - 2 Ogre United

Latvian Higher League

13/06/2026 22:00

FK Auda Riga 1 - 1 Jelgava

Latvian Higher League

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Latvian Higher League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Riga FC

Jelgava

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.27

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.63

Scored

Avg. per game

0.48

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.93

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 30 matches

YesNo

23 (77%)7 (23%)

In last 30 matches

NoYes

8 (30%)19 (70%)

Riga FC

Recent matches

Jelgava

Under /Over

(93%)28 2(7%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(74%)20 7(26%)

Under /Over

(67%)20 10(33%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(37%)10 17(63%)

Under /Over

(57%)17 13(43%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(37%)10 17(63%)

/Yes

(63%)19 11(37%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(41%)11 16(59%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Riga FC

Jelgava

Shots

Riga FC

Total shots

16.16 avg / game

Blocked

104 total

Avg. 4.73

Jelgava

Total shots

11.36 avg / game

Blocked

68 total

Avg. 3.24

Riga FC Pass Jelgava

Total passes

10971

Avg. 499 / game

Accurate

83%

Ball possession

61%

Total passes

7021

Avg. 334 / game

Accurate

72%

Ball possession

45%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Riga FC

Played games

Jelgava

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.37

Clean sheets

0.15

4.33

130

Corners

138

5.11

16.30

489

Throw-ins

555

20.56

1.83

Offsides

0.85

1.27

GK saves

2.56

Riga FC

DISCIPLINARY

Jelgava

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.47

1.67

0.00

0.04

9.13

274

Fouls

300

11.11

9.93

298

Tackles

299

11.07

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

FK Rigas Futbola skola

FK Rigas Futbola skola

How We Build the Riga FC vs Jelgava Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Riga FC vs Jelgava on 16 May 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Latvian Higher League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Riga FC vs Jelgava Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Riga FC's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Jelgava's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Latvian Higher League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Latvian Higher League standings and the Latvian Higher League form table to understand exactly where Riga FC and Jelgava sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Latvian Higher League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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