Real Sociedad vs Athletic Bilbao: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 04 March

Real Sociedad

No standing data

1-0

Real Sociedad
Win Probability 44%

04/03/2026 16:00

Athletic Bilbao

No standing data

Spanish Copa Del Rey

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Real Sociedad vs Athletic Bilbao on 04 March 2026 (kick-off: 16:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Real Sociedad vs Athletic Bilbao preview before placing your bet.

Real Sociedad will face Athletic Bilbao in Spanish Copa Del Rey on March 4, 2026 at 16:00.
Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 1 - 1 and average coefficient 2.01.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

16:00

2026-03-04

Real Sociedad vs Athletic Bilbao - Prediction & Odds

Real Sociedad

Athletic Bilbao

2026-03-04 16:00

STANDINGS UP TO 04/03/2026

The standings compare the rankings (Rank-XH) of Real Sociedad and Athletic Bilbao in the Spanish Copa Del Rey football standings for the 2025-2026 season, updated before kickoff and immediately after the match ends.

Head To Head

11/02/2026 16:00

Athletic Bilbao

0 - 1

Real Sociedad

SPA CUP

01/02/2026 16:00

Athletic Bilbao

1 - 1

Real Sociedad

SPA D1

01/11/2025 13:30

Real Sociedad

3 - 2

Athletic Bilbao

SPA D1

04/05/2025 15:00

Real Sociedad

0 - 0

Athletic Bilbao

SPA D1

24/11/2024 16:00

Athletic Bilbao

1 - 0

Real Sociedad

SPA D1

13/01/2024 13:30

Athletic Bilbao

2 - 1

Real Sociedad

SPA D1

Athletic Bilbao

50%

Draw

33%

Real Sociedad

17%

Real Sociedad Last 6 matches

28/02/2026 13:30

Mallorca 0 - 1 Real Sociedad

SPA D1

21/02/2026 09:00

Real Sociedad 3 - 3 Real Oviedo

SPA D1

14/02/2026 16:00

Real Madrid 4 - 1 Real Sociedad

SPA D1

11/02/2026 16:00

Athletic Bilbao 0 - 1 Real Sociedad

SPA CUP

07/02/2026 16:00

Real Sociedad 3 - 1 Elche

SPA D1

04/02/2026 16:00

Alaves 2 - 3 Real Sociedad

SPA CUP

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Athletic Bilbao

28/02/2026 09:00

Rayo Vallecano 1 - 1 Athletic Bilbao

SPA D1

20/02/2026 16:00

Athletic Bilbao 2 - 1 Elche

SPA D1

15/02/2026 09:00

Real Oviedo 1 - 2 Athletic Bilbao

SPA D1

11/02/2026 16:00

Athletic Bilbao 0 - 1 Real Sociedad

SPA CUP

08/02/2026 11:15

Athletic Bilbao 4 - 2 Levante

SPA D1

04/02/2026 16:00

Valencia 1 - 2 Athletic Bilbao

SPA CUP

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Spanish Copa Del Rey

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Real Sociedad

Athletic Bilbao

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.63

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.72

Scored

Avg. per game

0.49

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.61

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 46 matches

YesNo

24 (52%)22 (48%)

In last 46 matches

NoYes

17 (33%)34 (67%)

Real Sociedad

Recent matches

Athletic Bilbao

Under /Over

(80%)36 9(20%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

/Yes

(73%)33 12(27%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Real Sociedad

Athletic Bilbao

Shots

Real Sociedad

Total shots

13.04 avg / game

Blocked

145 total

Avg. 3.37

Athletic Bilbao

Total shots

13.62 avg / game

Blocked

197 total

Avg. 3.94

Real Sociedad Pass Athletic Bilbao

Total passes

20107

Avg. 457 / game

Accurate

82%

Ball possession

52%

Total passes

20100

Avg. 402 / game

Accurate

79%

Ball possession

48%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Real Sociedad

Played games

Athletic Bilbao

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.15

Clean sheets

0.18

5.37

247

Corners

277

5.43

19.07

877

Throw-ins

1035

20.29

2.33

107

Offsides

1.27

2.54

117

GK saves

137

2.69

Real Sociedad

DISCIPLINARY

Athletic Bilbao

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.13

107

2.10

0.09

0.10

13.89

639

Fouls

702

13.76

10.43

480

Tackles

507

9.94

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Real Sociedad vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Real Sociedad vs Athletic Bilbao on 04 March 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Spanish Copa Del Rey fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Real Sociedad vs Athletic Bilbao Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Real Sociedad's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Athletic Bilbao's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Spanish Copa Del Rey Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Spanish Copa Del Rey standings and the Spanish Copa Del Rey form table to understand exactly where Real Sociedad and Athletic Bilbao sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Spanish Copa Del Rey predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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