Qarabag vs Samaxı FC: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 04 March

Qarabag

No standing data

3-1

Qarabag
Win Probability 78%

04/03/2026 11:00

Samaxı FC

No standing data

Azerbaijan Cup

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Qarabag vs Samaxı FC on 04 March 2026 (kick-off: 11:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Qarabag vs Samaxı FC preview before placing your bet.

Qarabag will face Samaxı FC in Azerbaijan Cup on March 4, 2026 at 11:00.
Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 2 - 1 and average coefficient 1.14.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

11:00

2026-03-04

Qarabag vs Samaxı FC - Prediction & Odds

Qarabag

Samaxı FC

2026-03-04 11:00

STANDINGS UP TO 04/03/2026

The standings compare the rankings (Rank-XH) of Qarabag and Samaxı FC in the Azerbaijan Cup football standings for the 2025-2026 season, updated before kickoff and immediately after the match ends.

Head To Head

10/02/2026 06:50

Samaxı FC

1 - 2

Qarabag

AZE D1

05/02/2026 06:30

Samaxı FC

2 - 1

Qarabag

AZE CUP

26/10/2025 10:30

Qarabag

0 - 0

Samaxı FC

AZE D1

24/05/2025 09:00

Samaxı FC

0 - 1

Qarabag

AZE D1

17/01/2025 11:00

Qarabag

3 - 2

Samaxı FC

AZE D1

19/12/2024 06:00

Samaxı FC

0 - 1

Qarabag

AZE D1

Samaxı FC

33%

Draw

17%

Qarabag

50%

Qarabag Last 6 matches

01/03/2026 11:00

Qarabag 3 - 3 Sabah FK Baku

AZE D1

24/02/2026 16:00

Newcastle United 3 - 2 Qarabag

UEFA CL

18/02/2026 13:45

Qarabag 1 - 6 Newcastle United

UEFA CL

14/02/2026 06:30

Mil Mugan 0 - 1 Qarabag

AZE D1

10/02/2026 06:50

Samaxı FC 1 - 2 Qarabag

AZE D1

05/02/2026 06:30

Samaxı FC 2 - 1 Qarabag

AZE CUP

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Samaxı FC

28/02/2026 06:30

Samaxı FC 2 - 2 FC Neftci Baku

AZE D1

22/02/2026 06:30

Mil Mugan 0 - 0 Samaxı FC

AZE D1

16/02/2026 06:30

Samaxı FC 0 - 0 Turan Tovuz

AZE D1

10/02/2026 06:50

Samaxı FC 1 - 2 Qarabag

AZE D1

05/02/2026 06:30

Samaxı FC 2 - 1 Qarabag

AZE CUP

31/01/2026 06:30

FK Kapaz Ganca 0 - 2 Samaxı FC

AZE D1

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Azerbaijan Cup

Played games

Qarabag

Samaxı FC

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

2.25

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.11

Scored

Avg. per game

1.11

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.32

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 28 home matches

YesNo

24 (86%)4 (14%)

In last 28 home matches

NoYes

13 (68%)6 (32%)

Qarabag

Recent matches

Samaxı FC

Under /Over

(79%)22 6(21%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(68%)13 6(32%)

Under /Over

(39%)11 17(61%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(26%)5 14(74%)

Under /Over

(57%)16 12(43%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(47%)9 10(53%)

/Yes

(43%)12 16(57%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(47%)9 10(53%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Qarabag

Samaxı FC

Shots

Qarabag

Total shots

14.11 avg / game

Blocked

16 total

Avg. 2.29

Samaxı FC

Total shots

9.22 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Qarabag Pass Samaxı FC

Total passes

2273

Avg. 325 / game

Accurate

83%

Ball possession

59%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

46%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Qarabag

Played games

Samaxı FC

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.46

Clean sheets

0.37

6.36

178

Corners

4.26

3.96

111

Throw-ins

0.00

0.64

Offsides

0.16

0.93

GK saves

0.26

Qarabag

DISCIPLINARY

Samaxı FC

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.14

1.68

0.00

0.05

2.82

Fouls

1.53

1.82

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Qarabag vs Samaxı FC Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Qarabag vs Samaxı FC on 04 March 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Azerbaijan Cup fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Qarabag vs Samaxı FC Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Qarabag's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Samaxı FC's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Azerbaijan Cup Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Azerbaijan Cup standings and the Azerbaijan Cup form table to understand exactly where Qarabag and Samaxı FC sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Azerbaijan Cup predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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