Nacional da Madeira vs Vitoria Guimaraes: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 16 May

Nacional da Madeira

LWWLL

14th place in Portugal Primera Liga

2-0

Nacional da Madeira
Win Probability 48%

16/05/2026 13:00

Vitoria Guimaraes

DWWLL

9th place in Portugal Primera Liga

Portugal Primera Liga

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Nacional da Madeira vs Vitoria Guimaraes on 16 May 2026 (kick-off: 13:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Nacional da Madeira vs Vitoria Guimaraes preview before placing your bet.

Nacional da Madeira will face Vitoria Guimaraes in Portugal Primera Liga on May 16, 2026 at 13:00.
Nacional da Madeira are currently 14th with 34 points after 34 matches.
Vitoria Guimaraes sit 9th with 42 points from 34 matches.
Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 2 - 1 and average coefficient 1.95.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

13:00

2026-05-16

Nacional da Madeira vs Vitoria Guimaraes - Prediction & Odds

Nacional da Madeira

Vitoria Guimaraes

2026-05-16 13:00

STANDINGS UP TO 16/05/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 FC Porto	88	34	28	4	2	66	18	48
02 Sporting CP	82	34	25	7	2	89	24	65
03 Benfica	80	34	23	11	0	74	25	49
04 Sporting Braga	59	34	16	11	7	64	36	28
05 FC Famalicao	56	34	15	11	8	42	29	13
06 Gil Vicente	50	34	13	11	10	47	38	9
07 Moreirense	43	34	12	7	15	37	49	-12
08 FC Arouca	42	34	12	6	16	47	64	-17
09 Vitoria Guimaraes	42	34	12	6	16	39	51	-12
10 Estoril	39	34	10	9	15	54	57	-3
11 Alverca	39	34	10	9	15	35	52	-17
12 Rio Ave	36	34	8	12	14	35	57	-22
13 Santa Clara	36	34	9	9	16	32	41	-9
14 Nacional da Madeira	34	34	9	7	18	37	45	-8
15 Estrela da Amadora	30	34	6	12	16	38	56	-18
16 Casa Pia AC	30	34	6	12	16	31	57	-26
17 CD Tondela	28	34	6	10	18	27	55	-28
18 AVS Futebol SAD	21	34	3	12	19	27	67	-40

Nacional da Madeira Last 6 matches

11/07/2026 16:30

Nacional da Madeira 1 - 2 Machico

International Club Friendly

17/05/2026 00:00

Nacional da Madeira 2 - 0 Vitoria Guimaraes

Liga Portugal 1

12/05/2026 02:15

Santa Clara 2 - 0 Nacional da Madeira

Liga Portugal 1

02/05/2026 21:30

Nacional da Madeira 1 - 2 AVS Futebol SAD

Liga Portugal 1

25/04/2026 21:30

CD Tondela 0 - 2 Nacional da Madeira

Liga Portugal 1

18/04/2026 21:30

Nacional da Madeira 1 - 0 Alverca

Liga Portugal 1

Win

50%

Draw

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Vitoria Guimaraes

11/07/2026 19:00

Vitoria Guimaraes 3 - 1 FC Felgueiras

International Club Friendly

17/05/2026 00:00

Nacional da Madeira 2 - 0 Vitoria Guimaraes

Liga Portugal 1

12/05/2026 02:15

Vitoria Guimaraes 0 - 1 Casa Pia AC

Liga Portugal 1

05/05/2026 02:15

Sporting CP 5 - 1 Vitoria Guimaraes

Liga Portugal 1

26/04/2026 02:30

Vitoria Guimaraes 2 - 0 Rio Ave

Liga Portugal 1

19/04/2026 02:30

Gil Vicente 0 - 1 Vitoria Guimaraes

Liga Portugal 1

Win

50%

Draw

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Portugal Primera Liga

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Nacional da Madeira

Vitoria Guimaraes

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.67

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.81

Scored

Avg. per game

0.80

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.70

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 36 matches

YesNo

16 (44%)20 (56%)

In last 36 matches

NoYes

20 (50%)20 (50%)

Nacional da Madeira

Recent matches

Vitoria Guimaraes

Under /Over

(75%)27 9(25%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(75%)30 10(25%)

Under /Over

(31%)11 25(69%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(38%)15 25(62%)

Under /Over

(39%)14 22(61%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(50%)20 20(50%)

/Yes

(50%)18 18(50%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(43%)17 23(57%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Nacional da Madeira

Vitoria Guimaraes

Shots

Nacional da Madeira

Total shots

12.77 avg / game

Blocked

107 total

Avg. 3.34

Vitoria Guimaraes

Total shots

13.33 avg / game

Blocked

112 total

Avg. 3.39

Nacional da Madeira Pass Vitoria Guimaraes

Total passes

11086

Avg. 336 / game

Accurate

76%

Ball possession

47%

Total passes

13944

Avg. 387 / game

Accurate

82%

Ball possession

51%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Nacional da Madeira

Played games

Vitoria Guimaraes

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.22

Clean sheets

0.30

4.33

156

Corners

178

4.45

17.64

635

Throw-ins

772

19.30

1.25

Offsides

1.68

2.83

102

GK saves

119

2.98

Nacional da Madeira

DISCIPLINARY

Vitoria Guimaraes

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.86

103

2.25

0.19

0.10

13.61

490

Fouls

539

13.48

9.67

348

Tackles

351

8.78

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Nacional da Madeira vs Vitoria Guimaraes Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Nacional da Madeira vs Vitoria Guimaraes on 16 May 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Portugal Primera Liga fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Nacional da Madeira vs Vitoria Guimaraes Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Nacional da Madeira's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Vitoria Guimaraes's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Portugal Primera Liga Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Portugal Primera Liga standings and the Portugal Primera Liga form table to understand exactly where Nacional da Madeira and Vitoria Guimaraes sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Portugal Primera Liga predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

Explore More Portugal Primera Liga Predictions

Find every upcoming Portugal Primera Liga fixtures and predictions for this matchday, or browse all football predictions for today across every major league on Betiball.com.

View More View Less