HJK Helsinki vs IFK Mariehamn: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 16 January

HJK Helsinki

2nd place in Finland League Cup

0-1

HJK Helsinki
Win Probability 69%

16/01/2026 11:30

IFK Mariehamn

3rd place in Finland League Cup

Finland League Cup

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for HJK Helsinki vs IFK Mariehamn on 16 January 2026 (kick-off: 11:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full HJK Helsinki vs IFK Mariehamn preview before placing your bet.

HJK Helsinki will face IFK Mariehamn in Finland League Cup on January 16, 2026 at 11:30.
HJK Helsinki are currently 2nd with 9 points after 5 matches.
IFK Mariehamn sit 3rd with 8 points from 5 matches.
Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 3 - 1 and average coefficient 1.28.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

11:30

2026-01-16

HJK Helsinki vs IFK Mariehamn - Prediction & Odds

HJK Helsinki

IFK Mariehamn

2026-01-16 11:30

STANDINGS UP TO 16/01/2026

Group A	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Inter Turku	12	5	4	0	1	9	3	6
02 HJK Helsinki	9	5	3	0	2	9	6	3
03 IFK Mariehamn	8	5	2	2	1	8	4	4
04 Lahti	7	5	2	1	2	7	6	1
05 Gnistan Helsinki	5	5	1	2	2	5	8	-3
06 TPS Turku	1	5	0	1	4	3	14	-11

Head To Head

24/08/2025 08:00

HJK Helsinki

8 - 2

IFK Mariehamn

FIN D1

24/05/2025 12:00

IFK Mariehamn

0 - 4

HJK Helsinki

FIN D1

14/02/2025 09:00

HJK Helsinki

2 - 1

IFK Mariehamn

FIN LC

30/06/2024 09:00

IFK Mariehamn

1 - 2

HJK Helsinki

FIN D1

20/04/2024 08:00

HJK Helsinki

2 - 1

IFK Mariehamn

FIN D1

26/01/2024 08:00

HJK Helsinki

1 - 0

IFK Mariehamn

FIN LC

HJK Helsinki

67%

Draw

IFK Mariehamn

33%

HJK Helsinki Last 6 matches

09/11/2025 09:50

HJK Helsinki 0 - 2 KuPs

FIN D1

03/11/2025 13:00

Gnistan Helsinki 2 - 2 HJK Helsinki

FIN D1

30/10/2025 13:00

Ilves Tampere 3 - 1 HJK Helsinki

FIN D1

26/10/2025 11:00

HJK Helsinki 1 - 1 Inter Turku

FIN D1

22/10/2025 12:00

HJK Helsinki 3 - 4 SJK Seinajoen

FIN D1

19/10/2025 11:30

KuPs 3 - 1 HJK Helsinki

FIN D1

Win

Draw

33%

Lost

67%

Last 6 matches IFK Mariehamn

18/10/2025 10:00

IFK Mariehamn 2 - 0 AC Oulu

FIN D1

04/10/2025 10:00

KTP Kotka 1 - 1 IFK Mariehamn

FIN D1

28/09/2025 09:00

Jaro 2 - 3 IFK Mariehamn

FIN D1

21/09/2025 11:30

IFK Mariehamn 2 - 1 Vaasa VPS

FIN D1

13/09/2025 08:00

IFK Mariehamn 1 - 1 FC Haka

FIN D1

31/08/2025 10:00

Ilves Tampere 2 - 1 IFK Mariehamn

FIN D1

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Finland League Cup

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

HJK Helsinki

IFK Mariehamn

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.21

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.69

Scored

Avg. per game

0.59

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.04

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 29 matches

YesNo

19 (66%)10 (34%)

In last 29 matches

NoYes

11 (41%)16 (59%)

HJK Helsinki

Recent matches

IFK Mariehamn

Under /Over

(79%)23 6(21%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(78%)21 6(22%)

Under /Over

(38%)11 18(62%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(26%)7 20(74%)

Under /Over

(59%)17 12(41%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(48%)13 14(52%)

/Yes

(52%)15 14(48%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(41%)11 16(59%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

HJK Helsinki

IFK Mariehamn

Shots

HJK Helsinki

Total shots

12.73 avg / game

Blocked

58 total

Avg. 4.46

IFK Mariehamn

Total shots

8.57 avg / game

Blocked

35 total

Avg. 2.50

HJK Helsinki Pass IFK Mariehamn

Total passes

6750

Avg. 482 / game

Accurate

83%

Ball possession

54%

Total passes

5748

Avg. 411 / game

Accurate

77%

Ball possession

47%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

HJK Helsinki

Played games

IFK Mariehamn

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.28

Clean sheets

0.15

5.38

156

Corners

3.37

10.97

318

Throw-ins

318

11.78

0.97

Offsides

1.33

1.38

GK saves

2.89

HJK Helsinki

DISCIPLINARY

IFK Mariehamn

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.21

1.44

0.14

0.04

6.69

194

Fouls

203

7.52

5.45

158

Tackles

210

7.78

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the HJK Helsinki vs IFK Mariehamn Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for HJK Helsinki vs IFK Mariehamn on 16 January 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Finland League Cup fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

HJK Helsinki vs IFK Mariehamn Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess HJK Helsinki's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against IFK Mariehamn's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Finland League Cup Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Finland League Cup standings and the Finland League Cup form table to understand exactly where HJK Helsinki and IFK Mariehamn sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Finland League Cup predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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