Alianza Lima vs UCV Moquegua: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 02 May

Alianza Lima

WWDWW

1st place in Peru Primera Division

2-1

Alianza Lima
Win Probability 79%

02/05/2026 21:00

UCV Moquegua

WLDLD

14th place in Peru Primera Division

Peru Primera Division

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Alianza Lima vs UCV Moquegua on 02 May 2026 (kick-off: 21:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Alianza Lima vs UCV Moquegua preview before placing your bet.

Alianza Lima will face UCV Moquegua in Peru Primera Division on May 2, 2026 at 21:00.
Alianza Lima are currently 1st with 40 points after 17 matches.
UCV Moquegua sit 14th with 18 points from 17 matches.
Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 3 - 1 and average coefficient 1.15.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

21:00

2026-05-02

Alianza Lima vs UCV Moquegua - Prediction & Odds

Alianza Lima

UCV Moquegua

2026-05-02 21:00

STANDINGS UP TO 02/05/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Alianza Lima	40	17	12	4	1	30	8	22
02 Los Chankas	34	17	10	4	3	25	21	4
03 Cienciano	33	17	10	3	4	34	22	12
04 Universitario De Deportes	29	17	8	5	4	24	15	9
05 FBC Melgar	28	17	8	4	5	29	20	9
06 Cusco FC	27	17	8	3	6	21	24	-3
07 Deportivo Garcilaso	26	17	7	5	5	21	18	3
08 Alianza Atletico Sullana	21	17	5	6	6	20	18	2
09 Comerciantes Unidos	21	17	5	6	6	18	20	-2
10 AD Tarma	20	17	5	5	7	22	21	1
11 Sport Boys	20	17	5	5	7	15	19	-4
12 Sporting Cristal	19	17	5	4	8	28	30	-2
13 UTC Cajamarca	18	17	4	6	7	21	26	-5
14 UCV Moquegua	18	17	5	3	9	17	24	-7
15 FC Cajamarca	17	17	4	5	8	23	28	-5
16 Atletico Grau	16	17	4	4	9	12	18	-6
17 Sport Huancayo	16	17	4	4	9	21	31	-10
18 Juan Pablo II College	16	17	4	4	9	22	40	-18

Alianza Lima Last 6 matches

26/04/2026 16:30

Atletico Grau 0 - 1 Alianza Lima

PER L1

18/04/2026 21:00

Alianza Lima 8 - 0 Cusco FC

PER L1

14/04/2026 16:15

AD Tarma 0 - 1 Alianza Lima

PER L1

04/04/2026 21:00

Universitario De Deportes 1 - 0 Alianza Lima

PER L1

21/03/2026 19:30

Alianza Lima 2 - 0 Juan Pablo II College

PER L1

14/03/2026 19:00

Deportivo Garcilaso 1 - 1 Alianza Lima

PER L1

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches UCV Moquegua

25/04/2026 14:00

UCV Moquegua 2 - 1 FC Cajamarca

PER L1

19/04/2026 20:30

Cienciano 2 - 1 UCV Moquegua

PER L1

14/04/2026 14:00

UCV Moquegua 3 - 0 Juan Pablo II College

PER L1

03/04/2026 12:00

Sporting Cristal 1 - 2 UCV Moquegua

PER L1

21/03/2026 12:00

UCV Moquegua 1 - 2 Cusco FC

PER L1

15/03/2026 16:30

Alianza Atletico Sullana 3 - 0 UCV Moquegua

PER L1

Win

50%

Draw

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Peru Primera Division

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Alianza Lima

UCV Moquegua

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.92

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.58

Scored

Avg. per game

0.62

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.86

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

1 (17%)5 (83%)

In last 26 matches

YesNo

18 (69%)8 (31%)

In last 26 matches

NoYes

10 (48%)11 (52%)

Alianza Lima

Recent matches

UCV Moquegua

Under /Over

(65%)17 9(35%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(62%)13 8(38%)

Under /Over

(19%)5 21(81%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(14%)3 18(86%)

Under /Over

(50%)13 13(50%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(57%)12 9(43%)

/Yes

(50%)13 13(50%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(43%)9 12(57%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Alianza Lima

UCV Moquegua

Shots

Alianza Lima

Total shots

11.20 avg / game

Blocked

49 total

Avg. 3.06

UCV Moquegua

Total shots

10.35 avg / game

Blocked

32 total

Avg. 2.29

Alianza Lima Pass UCV Moquegua

Total passes

6163

Avg. 342 / game

Accurate

81%

Ball possession

52%

Total passes

4132

Avg. 243 / game

Accurate

68%

Ball possession

43%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Alianza Lima

Played games

UCV Moquegua

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.42

Clean sheets

0.29

3.38

Corners

3.00

12.42

323

Throw-ins

305

14.52

1.85

Offsides

0.90

1.46

GK saves

2.76

Alianza Lima

DISCIPLINARY

UCV Moquegua

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.65

2.48

0.04

0.24

9.92

258

Fouls

224

10.67

5.31

138

Tackles

134

6.38

NEXT MATCHES

Alianza Atletico Sullana

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Alianza Lima vs UCV Moquegua Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Alianza Lima vs UCV Moquegua on 02 May 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Peru Primera Division fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Alianza Lima vs UCV Moquegua Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Alianza Lima's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against UCV Moquegua's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Peru Primera Division Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Peru Primera Division standings and the Peru Primera Division form table to understand exactly where Alianza Lima and UCV Moquegua sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Peru Primera Division predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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