Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory Prediction, Live H2H & Live Stats | 17 January 2026

Adelaide United
2nd place in Australia A-League
2
2-1
FT
17/01/2026 04:35
Melbourne Victory
4th place in Australia A-League
MATCH INTRO

Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory takes place on 17 January 2026 in. Betiball's match analysis compares recent form, home and away performance, scoring records, defensive numbers and head-to-head data to estimate the most likely outcome.

Explore the latest Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory prediction, including 1X2 probabilities, expected score, Under/Over 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score and key match statistics. Kick-off is scheduled for 04:35.

  • Adelaide United are currently 2nd with 43 points after 26 matches.
  • Melbourne Victory sit 4th with 40 points from 26 matches.
  • Our algorithm prediction: Melbourne Victory to win with probability 41%.
  • Head-to-head history favors Melbourne Victory, who have won 5 of the last 6 meetings. Adelaide United have one win, while no match ended in a draw.
favorite match
04:35

2026-01-17

Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory - Prediction & Odds

Adelaide United
Adelaide United
Melbourne Victory
Melbourne Victory
2026-01-17 04:35
34
25
41
2
2 - 1
2 - 1
3.00
2.19
FT
2-1 1-0
-
weather
23℃~24℃
STANDINGS UP TO 17/01/2026
Overall Table PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets
48 26 15 3 8 55 39 16
02 Adelaide United Adelaide United
43 26 12 7 7 46 36 10
03 Auckland FC Auckland FC
42 26 11 9 6 42 29 13
04 Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory
40 26 11 7 8 44 33 11
05 Sydney FC Sydney FC
39 26 11 6 9 33 25 8
06 Melbourne City Melbourne City
38 26 10 8 8 33 33 0
07 FC Macarthur FC Macarthur
34 26 9 7 10 37 44 -7
08 Wellington Phoenix Wellington Phoenix
33 26 9 6 11 36 48 -12
09 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners
32 26 8 8 10 35 42 -7
10 Perth Glory Perth Glory
31 26 8 7 11 32 39 -7
11 Brisbane Roar Brisbane Roar
26 26 6 8 12 27 36 -9
12 Western Sydney Western Sydney
21 26 5 6 15 27 43 -16
Head To Head
13/12/2025 04:35
Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory
2 - 1
Adelaide United Adelaide United
AUS D1
29/03/2025 04:35
Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory
5 - 3
Adelaide United Adelaide United
AUS D1
18/01/2025 04:35
Adelaide United Adelaide United
3 - 2
Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory
AUS D1
21/09/2024 05:30
Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory
1 - 0
Adelaide United Adelaide United
AUS CUP
09/03/2024 05:15
Adelaide United Adelaide United
1 - 2
Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory
AUS D1
30/12/2023 04:45
Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory
2 - 0
Adelaide United Adelaide United
AUS D1
Adelaide United
1
17%
Draw
0
0%
Melbourne Victory
5
83%
Adelaide United Adelaide United Last 6 matches
10/01/2026 22:00
Wellington Phoenix 2 - 2 Adelaide United AUS D1
04/01/2026 04:35
Adelaide United 0 - 4 Central Coast Mariners AUS D1
27/12/2025 04:35
Adelaide United 3 - 2 Western Sydney AUS D1
20/12/2025 06:45
Perth Glory 0 - 1 Adelaide United AUS D1
13/12/2025 04:35
Melbourne Victory 2 - 1 Adelaide United AUS D1
07/12/2025 04:35
Adelaide United 0 - 1 Brisbane Roar AUS D1
Win
33%
Draw
17%
Lost
50%
Last 6 matches Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory
10/01/2026 02:00
Melbourne Victory 0 - 1 Western Sydney AUS D1
02/01/2026 04:35
Melbourne Victory 3 - 2 Perth Glory AUS D1
29/12/2025 04:00
Melbourne Victory 5 - 1 Wellington Phoenix AUS D1
20/12/2025 04:35
Melbourne City 0 - 1 Melbourne Victory AUS D1
13/12/2025 04:35
Melbourne Victory 2 - 1 Adelaide United AUS D1
05/12/2025 04:35
FC Macarthur 0 - 0 Melbourne Victory AUS D1
Win
67%
Draw
17%
Lost
17%
Goals
Scored
47
Avg. per game
1.68
Conceded
40
Avg. per game
1.43
Scored
44
Avg. per game
1.63
Conceded
34
Avg. per game
1.26
Scored a goal
In last 6 matches
YesNo
5 (83%)1 (17%)
In last 6 matches
NoYes
4 (67%)2 (33%)
In last 28 matches
YesNo
25 (89%)3 (11%)
In last 28 matches
NoYes
18 (67%)9 (33%)
Adelaide United

Adelaide United

Recent matches

Melbourne Victory

Melbourne Victory

Under /Over

(93%)26 2(7%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(70%)19 8(30%)

Under /Over

(32%)9 19(68%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(33%)9 18(67%)

Under /Over

(61%)17 11(39%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(52%)14 13(48%)

/Yes

(79%)22 6(21%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(52%)14 13(48%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
Adelaide United Adelaide United
Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory
Shots
Adelaide United
Adelaide United
Total shots
14.44 avg / game
Blocked
103 total
Avg. 4.12
Melbourne Victory
Melbourne Victory
Total shots
17.30 avg / game
Blocked
128 total
Avg. 4.74
Total passes
12074
Avg. 447 / game
Accurate
81%
Ball possession
53%
Total passes
11592
Avg. 429 / game
Accurate
78%
Ball possession
50%
OTHERS
Adelaide United
Adelaide United
28
Played games
Melbourne Victory
Melbourne Victory
27
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.11
3
Clean sheets
6
0.22
5.61
157
Corners
171
6.33
17.79
498
Throw-ins
657
24.33
1.68
47
Offsides
46
1.70
3.61
101
GK saves
63
2.33
Adelaide United
Adelaide United
DISCIPLINARY
Melbourne Victory
Melbourne Victory
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
1.39
39
Yellow card
46
1.70
0.11
3
Red card
1
0.04
9.43
264
Fouls
258
9.56
10.18
285
Tackles
286
10.59