Zambia vs Lesotho: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 23 March

Zambia

L L L D D

1st place in Group H

3 - 1

23/03/2023 11:59

Lesotho

D L W W D

4th place in Group H

African Nations Cup

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Zambia vs Lesotho on 23 March 2023 (kick-off: 11:59) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Zambia vs Lesotho preview before placing your bet.

Zambia are currently 1st with 13 points after 6 matches.
Lesotho sit 4th with 1 points from 6 matches.
Head-to-head history favors Zambia, who have won 2 of the last 4 meetings. Lesotho have one win, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

STANDINGS UP TO 23/03/2023

Group H	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Zambia	13	6	4	1	1	12	6	6
02 Ivory Coast	13	6	4	1	1	9	5	4
03 Comoros	7	6	2	1	3	6	8	-2
04 Lesotho	1	6	0	1	5	1	9	-8

Group F	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Morocco	7	3	2	1	0	5	1	4
02 Democratic Rep Congo	3	3	0	3	0	2	2	0
03 Zambia	2	3	0	2	1	2	3	-1
04 Tanzania	2	3	0	2	1	1	4	-3

Head To Head

08/07/2021 06:00

Zambia

1 - 2

Lesotho

SACC

21/06/2016 11:59

Lesotho

2 - 3

Zambia

INT CF

08/06/2013 09:00

Zambia

4 - 0

Lesotho

WCPAF

24/03/2013 09:00

Lesotho

1 - 1

Zambia

WCPAF

Zambia

50%

Draw

25%

Lesotho

25%

Zambia Last 6 matches

17/11/2022 14:30

Israel 4 - 2 Zambia INT FRL

23/09/2022 15:00

Mali 1 - 0 Zambia INT FRL

30/07/2022 09:00

Zambia 0 - 1 Mozambique CAF SC

24/07/2022 09:00

Mozambique 0 - 0 Zambia CAF SC

17/07/2022 13:00

Namibia 0 - 0 Zambia SACC

15/07/2022 13:00

Zambia 4 - 3 Senegal SACC

Win

17%

Draw

33%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Lesotho

25/02/2023 09:00

Malawi 1 - 1 Lesotho INT FRL

10/07/2022 11:00

Eswatini 2 - 0 Lesotho SACC

08/07/2022 11:00

Lesotho 2 - 1 Mauritius SACC

06/07/2022 11:00

Lesotho 2 - 1 Malawi SACC

09/06/2022 13:00

Lesotho 0 - 0 Ivory Coast CAF NC

03/06/2022 09:00

Comoros 2 - 0 Lesotho CAF NC

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues African Nations Cup

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Zambia

Lesotho

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.80

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.71

Scored

Avg. per game

0.37

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.76

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 93 matches

YesNo

50 (54%)43 (46%)

In last 93 matches

NoYes

21 (31%)47 (69%)

Zambia

Recent matches

Lesotho

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(60%)27 18(40%)

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(24%)11 34(76%)

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

/Yes

(40%)18 27(60%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(29%)13 32(71%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Zambia

Lesotho

Shots

Zambia

Total shots

9.17 avg / game

Blocked

28 total

Avg. 1.65

Lesotho

Total shots

7.56 avg / game

Blocked

13 total

Avg. 1.63

Zambia Pass Lesotho

Total passes

8525

Avg. 371 / game

Accurate

82%

Ball possession

49%

Total passes

3661

Avg. 282 / game

Accurate

73%

Ball possession

44%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Zambia

Played games

Lesotho

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.24

Clean sheets

0.28

3.85

358

Corners

153

2.25

3.82

355

Throw-ins

252

3.71

0.59

Offsides

0.72

0.90

GK saves

1.06

Zambia

DISCIPLINARY

Lesotho

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.52

141

106

1.56

0.05

0.07

4.53

421

Fouls

287

4.22

2.53

235

Tackles

157

2.31

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Zambia vs Lesotho Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Zambia vs Lesotho on 23 March 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this African Nations Cup fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Zambia vs Lesotho Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Zambia's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Lesotho's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

African Nations Cup Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live African Nations Cup standings and the African Nations Cup form table to understand exactly where Zambia and Lesotho sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our African Nations Cup predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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