Winterthur vs Thun: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 25 February

Winterthur

D D W L L

12th place in League

0-3

25/02/2026 14:00

Thun

D W W L L

1st place in League

Swiss Super League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Winterthur vs Thun on 25 February 2026 (kick-off: 14:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Winterthur vs Thun preview before placing your bet.

Winterthur are currently 12th with 19 points after 33 matches.
Thun sit 1st with 74 points from 33 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Thun to win with probability 67%.
Head-to-head history favors Thun, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Winterthur have 2 wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

14:00

2026-02-25

Winterthur vs Thun - Prediction & Odds

Winterthur

Thun

2026-02-25 14:00

STANDINGS UP TO 25/02/2026

League	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Thun	74	33	24	2	7	75	37	38
02 St. Gallen	60	33	17	9	7	64	40	24
03 Lugano	57	33	16	9	8	50	38	12
04 Basel	53	33	15	8	10	51	45	6
05 FC Sion	52	33	13	13	7	51	35	16
06 Young Boys	48	33	13	9	11	65	60	5
07 Luzern	40	33	10	10	13	64	61	3
08 Servette	40	33	9	13	11	57	57	0
09 Lausanne Sports	39	33	10	9	14	47	57	-10
10 FC Zurich	34	33	10	4	19	45	63	-18
11 Grasshopper	27	33	6	9	18	40	65	-25
12 Winterthur	19	33	4	7	22	35	86	-51

Championship Group	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Thun	75	5	0	1	4	5	15	-10
02 St. Gallen	70	5	3	1	1	8	7	1
03 Lugano	67	5	3	1	1	9	4	5
04 FC Sion	63	5	3	2	0	12	5	7
05 Basel	56	5	1	0	4	4	13	-9
06 Young Boys	55	5	2	1	2	15	9	6

Relegation	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Servette	53	5	4	1	0	14	6	8
02 Luzern	53	5	4	1	0	12	5	7
03 Lausanne Sports	42	5	1	0	4	6	10	-4
04 FC Zurich	38	5	1	1	3	4	9	-5
05 Grasshopper	33	5	2	0	3	8	9	-1
06 Winterthur	23	5	1	1	3	9	14	-5

Head To Head

16/12/2025 15:30

Winterthur

1 - 4

Thun

SUI SL

28/10/2025 15:30

Thun

3 - 0

Winterthur

SUI SL

05/09/2024 10:00

Winterthur

0 - 1

Thun

INT CF

06/05/2022 13:30

Winterthur

2 - 2

Thun

SUI CL

18/02/2022 15:15

Thun

2 - 4

Winterthur

SUI CL

15/10/2021 14:30

Thun

0 - 2

Winterthur

SUI CL

Winterthur

33%

Draw

17%

Thun

50%

Winterthur Last 6 matches

18/02/2026 14:00

Winterthur 1 - 5 St. Gallen SUI SL

14/02/2026 15:30

Young Boys 6 - 1 Winterthur SUI SL

11/02/2026 15:30

FC Zurich 3 - 0 Winterthur SUI SL

07/02/2026 13:00

Winterthur 1 - 1 Lugano SUI SL

31/01/2026 13:00

Winterthur 2 - 1 Lausanne Sports SUI SL

24/01/2026 13:00

Lugano 4 - 1 Winterthur SUI SL

Win

17%

Draw

17%

Lost

67%

Last 6 matches Thun

15/02/2026 09:00

Thun 1 - 0 FC Sion SUI SL

12/02/2026 15:30

Thun 5 - 1 Lausanne Sports SUI SL

08/02/2026 09:00

Servette 1 - 3 Thun SUI SL

01/02/2026 11:30

Basel 1 - 2 Thun SUI SL

25/01/2026 09:00

Thun 4 - 1 Young Boys SUI SL

18/01/2026 11:30

Grasshopper 1 - 3 Thun SUI SL

Win

100%

Draw

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Swiss Super League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

203

Avg. per game

0.68

Conceded

220

Avg. per game

0.73

Scored

237

Avg. per game

0.82

Conceded

165

Avg. per game

0.57

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

139 (46%)161 (54%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

159 (55%)129 (45%)

Winterthur

Recent matches

Thun

Under /Over

(93%)42 3(7%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(87%)39 6(13%)

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(56%)25 20(44%)

Under /Over

(62%)28 17(38%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(56%)25 20(44%)

/Yes

(69%)31 14(31%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(69%)31 14(31%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Winterthur

Thun

Shots

Winterthur

Total shots

10.47 avg / game

Blocked

274 total

Avg. 3.15

Thun

Total shots

12.77 avg / game

Blocked

213 total

Avg. 4.73

Winterthur Pass Thun

Total passes

54158

Avg. 366 / game

Accurate

75%

Ball possession

47%

Total passes

23346

Avg. 329 / game

Accurate

74%

Ball possession

49%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Winterthur

300

Played games

Thun

288

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.25

Clean sheets

0.25

3.86

1158

Corners

1412

4.90

6.40

1921

Throw-ins

1594

5.53

1.23

370

Offsides

528

1.83

2.62

787

GK saves

624

2.17

Winterthur

DISCIPLINARY

Thun

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.76

527

557

1.93

0.07

0.06

8.73

2619

Fouls

3093

10.74

6.76

2027

Tackles

803

2.79

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Winterthur vs Thun Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Winterthur vs Thun on 25 February 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Swiss Super League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Winterthur vs Thun Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Winterthur's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Thun's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Swiss Super League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Swiss Super League standings and the Swiss Super League form table to understand exactly where Winterthur and Thun sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Swiss Super League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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