Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – February 06

Wellington Phoenix

W W W L W

8th place in Australia A-League

2-3

06/02/2026 02:00

Melbourne Victory

W W L D D

4th place in Australia A-League

Australia A-League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory on February 06, 2026 (kick-off: 02:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory preview before placing for you.

Wellington Phoenix are currently 8th with 33 points after 26 matches.
Melbourne Victory sit 4th with 40 points from 26 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Melbourne Victory to win with probability 45%.
Head-to-head history favors Melbourne Victory, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Wellington Phoenix have one win, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

02:00

2026-02-06

Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory - Prediction & Odds

Wellington Phoenix

Melbourne Victory

2026-02-06 02:00

STANDINGS UP TO 06/02/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Newcastle Jets	48	26	15	3	8	55	39	16
02 Adelaide United	43	26	12	7	7	46	36	10
03 Auckland FC	42	26	11	9	6	42	29	13
04 Melbourne Victory	40	26	11	7	8	44	33	11
05 Sydney FC	39	26	11	6	9	33	25	8
06 Melbourne City	38	26	10	8	8	33	33	0
07 FC Macarthur	34	26	9	7	10	37	44	-7
08 Wellington Phoenix	33	26	9	6	11	36	48	-12
09 Central Coast Mariners	32	26	8	8	10	35	42	-7
10 Perth Glory	31	26	8	7	11	32	39	-7
11 Brisbane Roar	26	26	6	8	12	27	36	-9
12 Western Sydney	21	26	5	6	15	27	43	-16

Head To Head

29/12/2025 04:00

Melbourne Victory

5 - 1

Wellington Phoenix

AUS D1

12/04/2025 01:00

Wellington Phoenix

2 - 3

Melbourne Victory

AUS D1

14/02/2025 04:35

Melbourne Victory

1 - 0

Wellington Phoenix

AUS D1

23/11/2024 22:30

Wellington Phoenix

1 - 0

Melbourne Victory

AUS D1

18/05/2024 02:30

Wellington Phoenix

1 - 1

Melbourne Victory

AUS D1

12/05/2024 02:00

Melbourne Victory

0 - 0

Wellington Phoenix

AUS D1

Wellington Phoenix

17%

Draw

33%

Melbourne Victory

50%

Wellington Phoenix Last 6 matches

30/01/2026 02:00

Wellington Phoenix 2 - 2 Melbourne City AUS D1

23/01/2026 04:35

Newcastle Jets 4 - 1 Wellington Phoenix AUS D1

18/01/2026 02:00

Sydney FC 0 - 2 Wellington Phoenix AUS D1

10/01/2026 22:00

Wellington Phoenix 2 - 2 Adelaide United AUS D1

03/01/2026 02:00

Brisbane Roar 0 - 3 Wellington Phoenix AUS D1

29/12/2025 04:00

Melbourne Victory 5 - 1 Wellington Phoenix AUS D1

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Melbourne Victory

01/02/2026 02:00

Central Coast Mariners 1 - 0 Melbourne Victory AUS D1

26/01/2026 02:40

Melbourne Victory 4 - 0 Sydney FC AUS D1

17/01/2026 04:35

Adelaide United 2 - 1 Melbourne Victory AUS D1

10/01/2026 02:00

Melbourne Victory 0 - 1 Western Sydney AUS D1

02/01/2026 04:35

Melbourne Victory 3 - 2 Perth Glory AUS D1

29/12/2025 04:00

Melbourne Victory 5 - 1 Wellington Phoenix AUS D1

Win

50%

Draw

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Australia A-League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Wellington Phoenix

Melbourne Victory

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.00

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.77

Scored

Avg. per game

1.14

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.50

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 13 home matches

YesNo

9 (69%)4 (31%)

In last 13 home matches

NoYes

6 (43%)8 (57%)

Wellington Phoenix

Recent matches

Melbourne Victory

Under /Over

(85%)11 2(15%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(71%)10 4(29%)

Under /Over

(46%)6 7(54%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(36%)5 9(64%)

Under /Over

(62%)8 5(38%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(43%)6 8(57%)

/Yes

(69%)9 4(31%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(57%)8 6(43%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Wellington Phoenix

Melbourne Victory

Shots

Wellington Phoenix

Total shots

13.62 avg / game

Blocked

43 total

Avg. 3.58

Melbourne Victory

Total shots

18.14 avg / game

Blocked

68 total

Avg. 4.86

Wellington Phoenix Pass Melbourne Victory

Total passes

5396

Avg. 415 / game

Accurate

78%

Ball possession

52%

Total passes

6240

Avg. 446 / game

Accurate

79%

Ball possession

52%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Wellington Phoenix

Played games

Melbourne Victory

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.08

Clean sheets

0.14

6.23

Corners

6.29

23.85

310

Throw-ins

334

23.86

1.69

Offsides

1.64

2.38

GK saves

2.29

Wellington Phoenix

DISCIPLINARY

Melbourne Victory

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.46

1.57

0.00

0.00

10.31

134

Fouls

137

9.79

10.38

135

Tackles

131

9.36

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory on 06 February 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Australia A-League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Wellington Phoenix's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Melbourne Victory's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Australia A-League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Australia A-League standings and the Australia A-League form table to understand exactly where Wellington Phoenix and Melbourne Victory sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Australia A-League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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