Watford vs Derby County: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 21 February

Watford

D L L L L

16th place in England Championship

2-0

21/02/2026 15:00

Derby County

W L W L W

8th place in England Championship

England Championship

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Watford vs Derby County on 21 February 2026 (kick-off: 15:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Watford vs Derby County preview before placing your bet.

Watford are currently 16th with 57 points after 46 matches.
Derby County sit 8th with 69 points from 46 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Watford to win with probability 41%.
Head-to-head history favors Watford, who have won 5 of the last 6 meetings. Derby County have no wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

15:00

2026-02-21

Watford vs Derby County - Prediction & Odds

Watford

Derby County

2026-02-21 15:00

STANDINGS UP TO 21/02/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Coventry City	95	46	28	11	7	97	45	52
02 Ipswich Town	84	46	23	15	8	80	47	33
03 Millwall	83	46	24	11	11	64	49	15
04 Southampton	80	46	22	14	10	82	56	26
05 Middlesbrough	80	46	22	14	10	72	47	25
06 Hull City	73	46	21	10	15	70	66	4
07 Wrexham	71	46	19	14	13	69	65	4
08 Derby County	69	46	20	9	17	67	59	8
09 Norwich City	65	46	19	8	19	63	56	7
10 Birmingham City	64	46	17	13	16	57	56	1
11 Swansea City	64	46	18	10	18	57	59	-2
12 Bristol City	62	46	17	11	18	59	59	0
13 Sheffield United	60	46	18	6	22	66	66	0
14 Preston North End	60	46	15	15	16	55	62	-7
15 Queens Park Rangers (QPR)	58	46	16	10	20	61	73	-12
16 Watford	57	46	14	15	17	53	65	-12
17 Stoke City	55	46	15	10	21	51	56	-5
18 Portsmouth	55	46	14	13	19	49	64	-15
19 Charlton Athletic	53	46	13	14	19	44	58	-14
20 Blackburn Rovers	52	46	13	13	20	42	56	-14
21 West Bromwich(WBA)	51	46	13	14	19	48	58	-10
22 Oxford United	47	46	11	14	21	45	59	-14
23 Leicester City	46	46	12	16	18	58	68	-10
24 Sheffield Wednesday	0	46	2	12	32	29	89	-60

Head To Head

22/11/2025 15:00

Derby County

2 - 3

Watford

ENG LCH

18/01/2025 15:00

Derby County

0 - 2

Watford

ENG LCH

24/08/2024 14:00

Watford

2 - 1

Derby County

ENG LCH

19/02/2021 19:45

Watford

2 - 1

Derby County

ENG LCH

16/10/2020 18:45

Derby County

0 - 1

Watford

ENG LCH

03/04/2015 18:45

Derby County

2 - 2

Watford

ENG LCH

Watford

83%

Draw

17%

Derby County

Watford Last 6 matches

07/02/2026 12:30

Southampton 1 - 0 Watford ENG LCH

03/02/2026 19:45

Hull City 0 - 0 Watford ENG LCH

31/01/2026 15:00

Watford 0 - 2 Swansea City ENG LCH

24/01/2026 15:00

Blackburn Rovers 1 - 1 Watford ENG LCH

21/01/2026 19:45

Watford 1 - 1 Portsmouth ENG LCH

17/01/2026 12:30

Watford 0 - 2 Millwall ENG LCH

Win

Draw

50%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Derby County

07/02/2026 12:30

Derby County 1 - 2 Ipswich Town ENG LCH

30/01/2026 20:00

Bristol City 0 - 5 Derby County ENG LCH

23/01/2026 20:00

Derby County 1 - 1 West Bromwich(WBA) ENG LCH

20/01/2026 19:45

Charlton Athletic 1 - 2 Derby County ENG LCH

17/01/2026 15:00

Preston North End 0 - 1 Derby County ENG LCH

11/01/2026 12:00

Derby County 1 - 3 Leeds United ENG FAC

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues England Championship

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

109

Avg. per game

0.70

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.61

Scored

127

Avg. per game

0.77

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.57

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 155 home matches

YesNo

79 (51%)76 (49%)

In last 155 home matches

NoYes

92 (55%)74 (45%)

Watford

Recent matches

Derby County

Under /Over

(76%)34 11(24%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(69%)31 14(31%)

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(22%)10 35(78%)

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

/Yes

(51%)23 22(49%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(51%)23 22(49%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Watford

Derby County

Shots

Watford

Total shots

13.05 avg / game

Blocked

441 total

Avg. 3.59

Derby County

Total shots

12.22 avg / game

Blocked

512 total

Avg. 3.76

Watford Pass Derby County

Total passes

59835

Avg. 434 / game

Accurate

80%

Ball possession

52%

Total passes

59203

Avg. 400 / game

Accurate

74%

Ball possession

50%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Watford

155

Played games

Derby County

166

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.35

Clean sheets

0.39

5.32

825

Corners

848

5.11

19.16

2970

Throw-ins

3639

21.92

1.54

238

Offsides

321

1.93

2.41

374

GK saves

323

1.95

Watford

DISCIPLINARY

Derby County

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.75

272

276

1.66

0.07

0.04

10.79

1673

Fouls

1658

9.99

13.25

2054

Tackles

2083

12.55

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Watford vs Derby County Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Watford vs Derby County on 21 February 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this England Championship fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Watford vs Derby County Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Watford's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Derby County's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

England Championship Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live England Championship standings and the England Championship form table to understand exactly where Watford and Derby County sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our England Championship predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

Explore More England Championship Predictions

Find every upcoming England Championship fixtures and predictions for this matchday, or browse all football predictions for today across every major league on Betiball.com.

View More View Less