Wales vs Croatia: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 15 October

Wales

W D L L W

3rd place in Group D

2-1

15/10/2023 14:45

Croatia

W W D D W

2nd place in Group D

UEFA European Championship

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Wales vs Croatia on 15 October 2023 (kick-off: 14:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Wales vs Croatia preview before placing your bet.

Wales are currently 3rd with 12 points after 8 matches.
Croatia sit 2nd with 16 points from 8 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Croatia to win with probability 45%.
Head-to-head history favors Croatia, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Wales have no wins, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

14:45

2023-10-15

Wales vs Croatia - Prediction & Odds

Wales

Croatia

2023-10-15 14:45

STANDINGS UP TO 15/10/2023

Group D	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Turkey	17	8	5	2	1	14	7	7
02 Croatia	16	8	5	1	2	13	4	9
03 Wales	12	8	3	3	2	10	10	0
04 Armenia	8	8	2	2	4	9	11	-2
05 Latvia	3	8	1	0	7	5	19	-14

Group B	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Spain	9	3	3	0	0	5	0	5
02 Italy	4	3	1	1	1	3	3	0
03 Croatia	2	3	0	2	1	3	6	-3
04 Albania	1	3	0	1	2	3	5	-2

Head To Head

25/03/2023 15:45

Croatia

1 - 1

Wales

EURO Cup

13/10/2019 14:45

Wales

1 - 1

Croatia

EURO Cup

08/06/2019 09:00

Croatia

2 - 1

Wales

EURO Cup

26/03/2013 15:45

Wales

1 - 2

Croatia

WCPEU

16/10/2012 14:00

Croatia

2 - 0

Wales

WCPEU

23/05/2010 13:00

Croatia

2 - 0

Wales

INT CF

Wales

Draw

33%

Croatia

67%

Wales Last 6 matches

11/09/2023 14:45

Latvia 0 - 2 Wales EURO Cup

07/09/2023 14:45

Wales 0 - 0 South Korea INT FRL

19/06/2023 14:45

Turkey 2 - 0 Wales EURO Cup

16/06/2023 14:45

Wales 2 - 4 Armenia EURO Cup

28/03/2023 14:45

Wales 1 - 0 Latvia EURO Cup

25/03/2023 15:45

Croatia 1 - 1 Wales EURO Cup

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Croatia

11/09/2023 11:59

Armenia 0 - 1 Croatia EURO Cup

08/09/2023 14:45

Croatia 5 - 0 Latvia EURO Cup

18/06/2023 14:45

Croatia 0 - 0 Spain UEFA NL

14/06/2023 14:45

Netherlands 2 - 2 Croatia UEFA NL

28/03/2023 14:45

Turkey 0 - 2 Croatia EURO Cup

25/03/2023 15:45

Croatia 1 - 1 Wales EURO Cup

Win

50%

Draw

50%

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues UEFA European Champion...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Wales

Croatia

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.66

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.61

Scored

Avg. per game

0.98

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.53

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 77 matches

YesNo

38 (49%)39 (51%)

In last 77 matches

NoYes

51 (58%)37 (42%)

Wales

Recent matches

Croatia

Under /Over

(73%)33 12(27%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(76%)34 11(24%)

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

/Yes

(56%)25 20(44%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(49%)22 23(51%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Wales

Croatia

Shots

Wales

Total shots

12.12 avg / game

Blocked

182 total

Avg. 3.37

Croatia

Total shots

14.25 avg / game

Blocked

202 total

Avg. 3.21

Wales Pass Croatia

Total passes

26423

Avg. 456 / game

Accurate

82%

Ball possession

51%

Total passes

38013

Avg. 567 / game

Accurate

87%

Ball possession

58%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Wales

Played games

Croatia

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.38

Clean sheets

0.35

3.92

302

Corners

398

4.52

12.87

991

Throw-ins

1207

13.72

1.13

Offsides

150

1.70

2.05

158

GK saves

198

2.25

Wales

DISCIPLINARY

Croatia

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.56

120

117

1.33

0.10

0.05

8.86

682

Fouls

834

9.48

9.22

710

Tackles

885

10.06

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Wales vs Croatia Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Wales vs Croatia on 15 October 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this UEFA European Championship fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Wales vs Croatia Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Wales's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Croatia's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

UEFA European Championship Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live UEFA European Championship standings and the UEFA European Championship form table to understand exactly where Wales and Croatia sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our UEFA European Championship predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

Explore More UEFA European Championship Predictions

Find every upcoming UEFA European Championship fixtures and predictions for this matchday, or browse all football predictions for today across every major league on Betiball.com.

View More View Less