Vitoria BA vs Bahia: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 16 October

Vitoria BA

D D W W L

15th place in Brazil Serie A

2-1

16/10/2025 20:30

Bahia

D L W D W

7th place in Brazil Serie A

Brazil Serie A

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Vitoria BA vs Bahia on 16 October 2025 (kick-off: 20:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Vitoria BA vs Bahia preview before placing your bet.

Vitoria BA are currently 15th with 45 points after 38 matches.
Bahia sit 7th with 60 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Bahia to win with probability 38%.
Head-to-head history favors Bahia, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Vitoria BA have no wins, while 3 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

20:30

2025-10-16

Vitoria BA vs Bahia - Prediction & Odds

Vitoria BA

Bahia

2025-10-16 20:30

STANDINGS UP TO 16/10/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Flamengo	79	38	23	10	5	78	27	51
02 Palmeiras	76	38	23	7	8	66	33	33
03 Cruzeiro	70	38	19	13	6	55	31	24
04 Mirassol	67	38	18	13	7	63	39	24
05 Fluminense RJ	64	38	19	7	12	50	39	11
06 Botafogo RJ	63	38	17	12	9	58	38	20
07 Bahia	60	38	17	9	12	50	46	4
08 Sao Paulo	51	38	14	9	15	43	47	-4
09 Gremio (RS)	49	38	13	10	15	47	50	-3
10 Bragantino	48	38	14	6	18	45	57	-12
11 Atletico Mineiro	48	38	12	12	14	43	44	-1
12 Santos	47	38	12	11	15	45	50	-5
13 Corinthians Paulista (SP)	47	38	12	11	15	42	47	-5
14 Vasco da Gama	45	38	13	6	19	55	60	-5
15 Vitoria BA	45	38	11	12	15	35	52	-17
16 Internacional RS	44	38	11	11	16	44	57	-13
17 Ceara	43	38	11	10	17	34	40	-6
18 Fortaleza	43	38	11	10	17	43	58	-15
19 Juventude	35	38	9	8	21	35	69	-34
20 Sport Club do Recife	17	38	2	11	25	28	75	-47

Head To Head

18/05/2025 15:00

Bahia

2 - 1

Vitoria BA

BRA D1

23/03/2025 15:00

Vitoria BA

1 - 1

Bahia

BRA CBD

16/03/2025 17:00

Bahia

2 - 0

Vitoria BA

BRA CBD

01/02/2025 15:00

Bahia

0 - 0

Vitoria BA

BRA CBD

11/08/2024 15:00

Bahia

2 - 0

Vitoria BA

BRA D1

21/04/2024 15:00

Vitoria BA

2 - 2

Bahia

BRA D1

Vitoria BA

Draw

50%

Bahia

50%

Vitoria BA Last 6 matches

05/10/2025 15:00

Vasco da Gama 4 - 3 Vitoria BA BRA D1

02/10/2025 18:00

Vitoria BA 1 - 0 Ceara BRA D1

28/09/2025 10:00

Gremio (RS) 3 - 1 Vitoria BA BRA D1

20/09/2025 15:00

Vitoria BA 0 - 1 Fluminense RJ BRA D1

13/09/2025 15:00

Fortaleza 2 - 0 Vitoria BA BRA D1

31/08/2025 17:30

Vitoria BA 1 - 0 Atletico Mineiro BRA D1

Win

33%

Draw

Lost

67%

Last 6 matches Bahia

05/10/2025 17:30

Bahia 1 - 0 Flamengo BRA D1

01/10/2025 20:30

Botafogo RJ 2 - 1 Bahia BRA D1

28/09/2025 15:00

Bahia 1 - 0 Palmeiras BRA D1

24/09/2025 18:30

Vasco da Gama 3 - 1 Bahia BRA D1

20/09/2025 17:30

Ceara 1 - 1 Bahia BRA D1

15/09/2025 19:00

Bahia 1 - 2 Cruzeiro BRA D1

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Brazil Serie A

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

202

Avg. per game

0.67

Conceded

174

Avg. per game

0.58

Scored

227

Avg. per game

0.76

Conceded

180

Avg. per game

0.60

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

144 (48%)156 (52%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

154 (51%)146 (49%)

Vitoria BA

Recent matches

Bahia

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(87%)39 6(13%)

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

/Yes

(49%)22 23(51%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(64%)29 16(36%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Vitoria BA

Bahia

Shots

Vitoria BA

Total shots

11.82 avg / game

Blocked

409 total

Avg. 3.10

Bahia

Total shots

12.63 avg / game

Blocked

541 total

Avg. 3.30

Vitoria BA Pass Bahia

Total passes

57898

Avg. 347 / game

Accurate

80%

Ball possession

49%

Total passes

82312

Avg. 416 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

55%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Vitoria BA

300

Played games

Bahia

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.38

114

Clean sheets

102

0.34

4.72

1417

Corners

1537

5.12

5.82

1745

Throw-ins

2481

8.27

0.77

230

Offsides

280

0.93

1.63

489

GK saves

545

1.82

Vitoria BA

DISCIPLINARY

Bahia

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.27

681

563

1.88

0.11

0.09

7.50

2251

Fouls

2444

8.15

7.14

2141

Tackles

2632

8.77

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Vitoria BA vs Bahia Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Vitoria BA vs Bahia on 16 October 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Brazil Serie A fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Vitoria BA vs Bahia Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Vitoria BA's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Bahia's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Brazil Serie A Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Brazil Serie A standings and the Brazil Serie A form table to understand exactly where Vitoria BA and Bahia sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Brazil Serie A predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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